Home › Brazil · Brasileirão › Palmeiras vs Remo

Palmeiras vs Remo prediction

Brazil · Brasileirão

Palmeiras#2 · 73 ptsDWLWW

6 - 1Full time

Remo#19 · 29 ptsWLDDD

74%18%8%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ J. Arias 4'⚽ J. Arias 14'⚽ Mauricio 21'⚽ Marcelinho 36' (p.p.)⚽ Ze Welison 45'⚽ J. Lopez 55'⚽ Felipe Anderson 80'

Thursday, November 5 · 17:30 (Peru time) · Nubank Parque · Referee: Wilton Pereira Sampaio

🎯 Model pick

Palmeiras to win

74%

Full data

Palmeiras have won 3 of their last 5 (D W L W W)
At home, Palmeiras are 15W 4D 3L this season
#2 in the table, Remo #19

⚡ Summary

74%Palmeiras to win@1.35 44%Over 2.5 goals@2.30 30%Both teams to score@3.31 66%Corners +9.5 (11.5)@1.5248%Cards +4.5 (4.7)@2.071-0Most likely score · 18%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

85'🟨 Edson FernandoRemo

80'⚽ Felipe Anderson assist J. LopezPalmeiras

78'🔁 Sub: Jaja · Eduardo MeloRemo

74'🔁 Sub: Murilo · E. MartinezPalmeiras

70'🔁 Sub: Marcelinho · Yago PikachuRemo

66'🟨 MarcelinhoRemo

61'🔁 Sub: Mauricio · Felipe AndersonPalmeiras

60'🟨 JajaRemo

55'⚽ J. Lopez assist KhellvenPalmeiras

53'🟨 MarllonRemo

46'🔁 Sub: Marlon Freitas · Lucas EvangelistaPalmeiras

46'🔁 Sub: G. Gomez · A. BarbozaPalmeiras

46'🔁 Sub: J. Arias · J. LopezPalmeiras

46'🔁 Sub: Marlon · MaykRemo

46'🔁 Sub: L. Picco · Edson FernandoRemo

46'🔁 Sub: D. Tchamba · Ze IvaldoRemo

45'+2⚽ Ze WelisonRemo

36'⚽ Marcelinho (own goal)Palmeiras

21'⚽ Mauricio assist Marlon FreitasPalmeiras

14'⚽ J. Arias assist KhellvenPalmeiras

4'⚽ J. Arias assist Vitor RoquePalmeiras

Win probability minute by minute

PalmeirasDrawRemo

At kick-off74%18%8%Full time100%0%0%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

74%Palmeiras to win@1.35

18%Draw@5.57

8%Remo to win@12.94

Over 1.5 goals69%

Over 2.5 goals44%

Over 3.5 goals23%

Both teams to score30%

Palmeiras or draw92%

Remo or draw26%

Palmeiras to score86%

Remo to score35%

Most likely scores

1-018%2-017%3-011%0-09%2-17%

Expected goals per the model: Palmeiras 1.99 · Remo 0.44

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.43.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 11.5 in total · Palmeiras 6.1 · Remo 5.5

75%Over 8.5@1.34

66%Over 9.5@1.52

56%Over 10.5@1.78

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.7 · el árbitro W. Sampaio saca 5.0 por partido

65%Over 3.5@1.54

48%Over 4.5@2.07

34%Over 5.5@2.98

⏱️ First half

41% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.00

63%Goal in the 1st half@1.58

27%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.76

76%Goal in the 2st half@1.32

⚽ Goals per team

59%Palmeiras +1.5@1.69

7%Remo +1.5@13.78

55%Palmeiras to win to nil@1.80

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

9Shots on target5

17Shots10

11Fouls12

4Corners3

1Offsides1

56Possession %44

0Yellow cards3

4Saves4

4.65Expected goals (xG)0.27

Goals in the last 10 matches

Palmeiras · last 10 matches

4/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.5goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Remo · last 10 matches

5/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score2.7goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

PalmeirasRemo

1.6Goals scored per match1.1

0.7Goals conceded per match1.6

67%Matches with over 1.5 goals79%

42%Matches with over 2.5 goals48%

53%Both teams to score61%

42%Clean sheet12%

16%Matches without scoring33%

5.7Corners won per match5.8

2.2Yellow cards per match1.9

Palmeiras: 45 matches · Remo: 33 matches (all competitions with data).

Palmeiras at home · Remo away

Palmeiras at home

15G4E3P

WLWWW

Remo away

2G4E10P

LDLLD

When do they score and concede?

Palmeiras · goals by minute in 31 matches scored conceded

Remo · goals by minute in 21 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Palmeiras

Scores first in 20 of 27 matches and wins 16 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 4.

Remo

Scores first in 8 of 20 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 12 and avoids defeat in 4.

Players in form

Palmeiras

Mauricio · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Joaquín Piquerez · 2 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches

J. Lopez · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches

Remo

Jaja · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Gabriel Taliari · 0 goles, 2 assists in 4 matches

L. Picco · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

0Palmeiras to win

1Draws

0Remo to win

1 matches · 2.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-05-10	Remo 1-1 Palmeiras	Serie A

Standings

Brasileirão standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	34	+42	76
2	Palmeiras	34	+39	73
3	Cruzeiro	34	+7	60
4	Fluminense	34	+13	57
5	Atlético Paranaense	34	+8	54
6	Bahia	34	+5	53
7	Atlético-MG	34	+4	50
8	RB Bragantino	34	+5	47
9	Santos	34	+1	47
10	São Paulo	34	0	44
11	Botafogo	34	-7	42
12	Coritiba	34	-11	42
13	Vasco DA Gama	33	-7	41
14	Mirassol	34	-9	40
15	Vitoria	34	-16	38
16	International	34	-4	38
17	Corinthians	34	-6	37
18	Grêmio	34	-9	37
19	Remo	34	-20	29
20	Chapecoense-sc	33	-35	21

More stats

Referee: W. Sampaio

16 matches · 5.0 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.30 penalties

Half-time

Palmeiras: 8 days since last match · Remo: 7 days

Palmeiras absences

Jefte, Paulinho, R. Sosa

Remo absences

Gabriel Poveda, Joao Lucas, Matheus Felipe, Marlon

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 01:00 UTC.