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Paks vs Zalaegerszegi TE prediction

Hungary · NB I

Paks#5 · 20 ptsLWLWW

2 - 1Full time

Zalaegerszegi TE#9 · 13 ptsWDLWL

40%30%31%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Milan Pető 4'⚽ Fernando José Vera García 70'⚽ Milan Pető 86'🟥 Ákos Kinyik 90'

Saturday, November 7 · 07:30 (Peru time) · Fehérvári úti stadion

🎯 Model pick

Paks to score

83%

Full data

Paks scored in 13 of 14 matches this season
Paks average 1.8 goals per match
Zalaegerszegi TE concede 1.8 goals per match

⚡ Summary

40%Paks to win@2.52 64%Over 2.5 goals@1.57 68%Both teams to score@1.48 48%Corners +9.5 (9.7)@2.0941%Cards +4.5 (4.3)@2.421-1Most likely score · 12%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+1🟥 Ákos KinyikPaks

89'🟨 János HahnPaks

86'⚽ Milan PetőPaks

85'🟨 Jose Manuel Calderon PortilloZalaegerszegi TE

85'🟨 Filipe Engin Neves ÇelikkayaZalaegerszegi TE

82'🟨 milan gyorfiPaks

81'🔁 Sub: Maxsuell Alegria · Arthur Henrique Marques MachadoZalaegerszegi TE

81'🔁 Sub: Matheus Machado · Lucas AlfonsoZalaegerszegi TE

80'🟨 Bence KissZalaegerszegi TE

80'🔁 Sub: József Windecker · Gergo GyurkitsPaks

73'🟨 Aiden HarangiZalaegerszegi TE

72'🔁 Sub: Erik Silye · M. SimuțPaks

71'🔁 Sub: Marlon Santos Teodoro · Moises RichardsZalaegerszegi TE

70'⚽ Fernando José Vera García assist Bence KissZalaegerszegi TE

61'🔁 Sub: Zsolt Haraszti · János HahnPaks

57'🔁 Sub: András Mátyás Csonka · Aiden HarangiZalaegerszegi TE

57'🔁 Sub: Emin Kujovic · Bence KissZalaegerszegi TE

50'🟨 Marlon Santos TeodoroZalaegerszegi TE

45'🔁 Sub: Kevin Horvath · József WindeckerPaks

45'🔁 Sub: Mark Gyetvan · Ádám KovácsikPaks

43'🟨 Bence Gundel-TakácsZalaegerszegi TE

43'🟨 joseth perazaZalaegerszegi TE

4'⚽ Milan PetőPaks

Win probability minute by minute

PaksDrawZalaegerszegi TE

At kick-off40%30%31%Full time100%0%0%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

40%Paks to win@2.52

30%Draw@3.37

31%Zalaegerszegi TE to win@3.26

Over 1.5 goals85%

Over 2.5 goals64%

Over 3.5 goals44%

Both teams to score68%

Paks or draw69%

Zalaegerszegi TE or draw60%

Paks to score83%

Zalaegerszegi TE to score79%

Most likely scores

1-112%2-28%2-18%1-27%0-06%

Expected goals per the model: Paks 1.81 · Zalaegerszegi TE 1.59

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.40.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.7 in total · Paks 5.2 · Zalaegerszegi TE 4.5

58%Over 8.5@1.72

48%Over 9.5@2.09

38%Over 10.5@2.62

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.3

58%Over 3.5@1.72

41%Over 4.5@2.42

27%Over 5.5@3.67

⏱️ First half

44% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.49

77%Goal in the 1st half@1.29

44%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.28

85%Goal in the 2st half@1.17

⚽ Goals per team

54%Paks +1.5@1.85

47%Zalaegerszegi TE +1.5@2.12

15%Paks to win to nil@6.64

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

0.67Expected goals (xG)2.45

4Shots on target8

7Saves2

1Red cards0

8Shots14

2Yellow cards6

6Corners2

0Offsides2

18Fouls21

51Possession %49

Goals in the last 10 matches

Paks · last 10 matches

5/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score2.9goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Zalaegerszegi TE · last 10 matches

6/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.6goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

PaksZalaegerszegi TE

1.8Goals scored per match1.3

1.8Goals conceded per match1.8

93%Matches with over 1.5 goals75%

64%Matches with over 2.5 goals67%

64%Both teams to score33%

29%Clean sheet17%

7%Matches without scoring50%

6.4Corners won per match4.3

1.9Yellow cards per match2.3

Paks: 14 matches · Zalaegerszegi TE: 12 matches (all competitions with data).

Paks at home · Zalaegerszegi TE away

Paks at home

3G1E3P

LWLWD

Zalaegerszegi TE away

0G0E6P

LLLLL

When do they score and concede?

Paks · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded

Zalaegerszegi TE · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Paks

Scores first in 7 of 14 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 1.

Zalaegerszegi TE

Scores first in 5 of 12 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

Paks

Barna Tóth · 1 gol, 2 assists in 3 matches

Kevin Horvath · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Milan Pető · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Zalaegerszegi TE

Fabricio Amato · 2 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

D. Krevsun · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Matheus Machado · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

1Paks to win

5Draws

4Zalaegerszegi TE to win

10 matches · 3.6 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-08-03	Zalaegerszegi TE 5-2 Paks	NB I
2026-03-14	Paks 1-1 Zalaegerszegi TE	NB I
2025-11-29	Zalaegerszegi TE 1-0 Paks	NB I
2025-08-17	Paks 2-2 Zalaegerszegi TE	NB I
2025-04-22	Paks 2-1 Zalaegerszegi TE	Magyar Kupa
2025-03-29	Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 Paks	NB I

Standings

NB I standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Puskas Academy	13	+3	24
2	Ferencvarosi TC	12	+12	23
3	Gyori ETO FC	13	+7	23
4	Debreceni VSC	13	+6	22
5	Paks	13	+2	20
6	Ujpest	13	+1	18
7	Vasas	13	+1	16
8	Budapest Honved	12	-3	14
9	Zalaegerszegi TE	13	-7	13
10	MTK Budapest	13	-9	13
11	Kisvarda FC	13	-3	12
12	Nyiregyhaza	13	-10	12

More stats

Half-time

Paks: 5 days since last match · Zalaegerszegi TE: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 15:00 UTC.