PickManiaAI predictions

Home › Cyprus · 1. Division › Pafos vs Omonia 29is Maiou

Pafos vs Omonia 29is Maiou prediction

Cyprus · 1. Division
Pafos badgePafos#6 · 16 ptsLDDDD
4 - 2Full time
Omonia 29is Maiou badgeOmonia 29is Maiou#8 · 11 ptsWLWLL

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ J. Noro 24'⚽ Lele 27'⚽ Anderson Silva 45'⚽ V. Dragomir 47'⚽ D. Crnigoj 54'⚽ S. Ambri 87'

Sunday, November 8 · 12:00 (Peru time) · Stelios Kyriakidis · Referee: Konstantinos Neofytou

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Pafos to win

75%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

87'⚽ S. AmbriOmonia 29is Maiou
80'🔁 Sub: K. Pattichis · S. TsoukalasOmonia 29is Maiou
71'🔁 Sub: J. Correia · BrunoPafos
69'🔁 Sub: L. dos Santos · C. AristotelousOmonia 29is Maiou
69'🔁 Sub: D. Crnigoj · Mike MoraisOmonia 29is Maiou
68'🟨 J. CorreiaPafos
66'🔁 Sub: Anderson Silva · GugaPafos
63'🔁 Sub: M. Antoniou · R. FernandesOmonia 29is Maiou
63'🔁 Sub: K. Nwakali · M. SotiriouOmonia 29is Maiou
59'🔁 Sub: Lele · A. PatraoPafos
59'🔁 Sub: K. Sema · M. MammadovPafos
59'🔁 Sub: S. Mmaee · A. BritoPafos
58'🟨 D. CrnigojOmonia 29is Maiou
54'⚽ D. CrnigojOmonia 29is Maiou
47'⚽ V. DragomirPafos
45'⚽ Anderson SilvaPafos
32'🟨 S. AmbriOmonia 29is Maiou
32'🟨 S. MmaeePafos
27'⚽ LelePafos
24'⚽ J. NoroPafos
17'🟨 M. AntoniouOmonia 29is Maiou

Win probability minute by minute

PafosDrawOmonia 29is Maiou
At kick-off75%17%8%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

75%Pafos to win@1.33
17%Draw@5.82
8%Omonia 29is Maiou to win@12.87
Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams to score49%
Pafos or draw92%
Omonia 29is Maiou or draw25%
Pafos to score92%
Omonia 29is Maiou to score56%

Most likely scores

2-011%3-09%2-18%1-08%1-18%

Expected goals per the model: Pafos 2.67 · Omonia 29is Maiou 0.82

How many goals will there be?

3%0 goals11%1 goals19%2 goals22%3 goals19%4 goals27%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.49.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.3 in total · Pafos 5.8 · Omonia 29is Maiou 4.5

65%Over 8.5@1.55
54%Over 9.5@1.84
45%Over 10.5@2.24
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.1

56%Over 3.5@1.78
39%Over 4.5@2.53
26%Over 5.5@3.90

⏱️ First half

36% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.24

71%Goal in the 1st half@1.41
35%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.84
89%Goal in the 2st half@1.12

⚽ Goals per team

75%Pafos +1.5@1.34
20%Omonia 29is Maiou +1.5@5.04
40%Pafos to win to nil@2.50

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

Goals in the last 10 matches

Pafos · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.7goals per match
2.5en AEK Larnaca: 1-0 1-0 vs AEL: 0-2 0-2 en Anorthosis: 3-1 3-1 ambosen Atalanta: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Apoel Nicosia: 0-0 0-0 vs Riga: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Nea Salamis: 0-0 0-0 en Apollon Limassol: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Twente: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Omonia 29is Maiou: 4-2 4-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Omonia 29is Maiou · last 9 matches
7/9+2.5 goals6/9both teams to score3.6goals per match
2.5en Krasava Ypsonas: 3-0 3-0 vs Karmiotissa: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Olympiakos: 3-3 3-3 ambosvs AEK Larnaca: 1-2 1-2 ambosen AEL: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Anorthosis: 1-0 1-0 en Apoel Nicosia: 1-4 1-4 ambosvs Nea Salamis: 1-0 1-0 at Pafos: 2-4 2-4 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

PafosOmonia 29is Maiou
1.3Goals scored per match1.6
1.2Goals conceded per match1.6
71%Matches with over 1.5 goals75%
41%Matches with over 2.5 goals75%
47%Both teams to score63%
35%Clean sheet38%
35%Matches without scoring0%
4.3Corners won per match3.0
2.0Yellow cards per match1.8

Pafos: 17 matches · Omonia 29is Maiou: 8 matches (all competitions with data).

Pafos at home · Omonia 29is Maiou away

Pafos at home
2G4E1P
DDLDW
Omonia 29is Maiou away
1G1E2P
LLDW

When do they score and concede?

Pafos · goals by minute in 17 matches scored conceded
220-151116-304331-455546-601561-7511576-90
Omonia 29is Maiou · goals by minute in 8 matches scored conceded
110-152216-302331-454246-604161-750476-90

The first goal

Pafos

Scores first in 6 of 14 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 4.

Omonia 29is Maiou

Scores first in 5 of 8 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

Pafos

Lele · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Biel · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

Anderson Silva · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Omonia 29is Maiou

F. Tierney · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

S. Ambri · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

A. Vlachomitros · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

3Pafos to win
0Draws
0Omonia 29is Maiou to win

3 matches · 2.3 goals per match

Recent meetings
2025-02-03Pafos 2-1 Omonia 29is Maiou1. Division
2024-10-28Omonia 29is Maiou 1-2 Pafos1. Division
2021-09-22Omonia 29is Maiou 0-1 PafosCup

Standings

1. Division standings
#TeamPGDPts
1AEK Larnaca9+1120
2Omonia Nicosia9+1118
3AEL9018
4Apoel Nicosia9+1017
5Apollon Limassol9+1016
6Pafos9+616
7Aris9015
8Omonia 29is Maiou9-211
9Olympiakos9-19
10Nea Salamis9-48
11Anorthosis9-106
12Karmiotissa9-146
13Omonia Aradippou9-66
14Krasava Ypsonas9-115

More stats

Half-time

Pafos: 2 days since last match · Omonia 29is Maiou: 7 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 19:30 UTC.

Get the AI Top Picks in your inbox

Every morning, the day's picks with their data. Free, and you can unsubscribe any time.