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Osasuna vs Athletic Club prediction
Spain · La Liga
Osasuna
Athletic ClubPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 12:30 (Peru time) · Estadio El Sadar · Referee: Miguel Sesma Espinosa
Athletic Club or draw
79%- Athletic Club unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 (W W L D D)
- Osasuna in poor form: 3 defeats in their last 5
- #7 in the table, Osasuna #16
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Osasuna 0.96 · Athletic Club 1.52
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.48.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.7 in total · Osasuna 4.0 · Athletic Club 5.6
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 5.0 · el árbitro Miguel Sesma Espinosa saca 5.2 por partido
⏱️ First half
43% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.06
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Osasuna: 11 matches · Athletic Club: 10 matches (all competitions with data).
Osasuna at home · Athletic Club away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 4 of 10 matches and wins 2 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 4 of 8 matches and wins 4 of them.
Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 1.
Players in form
Ante Budimir · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
A. Osambela · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
R. Garcia · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Alex Berenguer · 3 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches
Iñaki Williams · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Aitor Paredes · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.4 goals per match
| 2026-04-21 | Athletic Club 1-0 Osasuna | La Liga |
| 2026-01-03 | Osasuna 1-1 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| 2025-03-30 | Athletic Club 0-0 Osasuna | La Liga |
| 2025-01-16 | Athletic Club 2-3 Osasuna | Copa del Rey |
| 2024-12-21 | Osasuna 1-2 Athletic Club | La Liga |
| 2024-08-03 | Athletic Club 2-1 Osasuna | Friendlies Clubs |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 12 | +35 | 33 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 12 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 | Atlético Madrid | 12 | +13 | 28 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | +5 | 26 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | +1 | 22 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 12 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 12 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Alavés | 12 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 12 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Getafe | 12 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 | Levante | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 | Elche | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 12 | -12 | 9 |
| 20 | Málaga | 12 | -14 | 5 |
More stats
15 matches · 4.5 yellows and 0.67 reds per match · 1.00 penalties
Osasuna: 4 days since last match · Athletic Club: 5 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 20:00 UTC.