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Orgryte IS vs Vasteras SK FK prediction

Sweden · Allsvenskan

Orgryte IS#15 · 20 ptsLLDWL

0 - 0Full time

Vasteras SK FK#6 · 45 ptsWWLWL

24%29%47%

Pre-match probabilities

Saturday, November 7 · 11:30 (Peru time) · Gamla Ullevi · Referee: Oscar Johnson

🎯 Model pick

Vasteras SK FK to score

81%

Full data

Vasteras SK FK scored in 19 of 27 matches this season
Vasteras SK FK average 1.5 goals per match
Orgryte IS concede 2.2 goals per match

⚡ Summary

47%Vasteras SK FK to win@2.13 53%Over 2.5 goals@1.87 60%Both teams to score@1.68 47%Corners +9.5 (9.6)@2.1126%Cards +4.5 (3.4)@3.791-1Most likely score · 13%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

84'🟨 William KenndalOrgryte IS

82'🔁 Sub: jonathan karlsson · Marcus BaggesenVasteras SK FK

82'🔁 Sub: jens magnusson · Bonaventure LendambiVasteras SK FK

80'🔁 Sub: Daniel Paulson · michael parkerOrgryte IS

73'🔁 Sub: Mikael Dyrestam · Johan HammarOrgryte IS

73'🔁 Sub: william hofvander · Rasmus AlmOrgryte IS

66'🔁 Sub: Mattias Hellisdal · Ismet LushakuVasteras SK FK

62'🔁 Sub: Liam Filip Andersson · Viktor EkblomOrgryte IS

62'🔁 Sub: Anton Andreasson · Adam AnderssonOrgryte IS

49'❌ Abdelrahman Saidi (missed pen.)Vasteras SK FK

49'🟨 Andreas HolmbergOrgryte IS

45'🟨 S.LagerlundOrgryte IS

45'🟨 Herman·MagnussonVasteras SK FK

10'❌ Axel Sountonoma Taonsa (missed pen.)Vasteras SK FK

9'🟨 Alex RahmOrgryte IS

Win probability minute by minute

Orgryte ISDrawVasteras SK FK

At kick-off24%29%47%Full time0%100%0%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

24%Orgryte IS to win@4.18

29%Draw@3.43

47%Vasteras SK FK to win@2.13

Over 1.5 goals78%

Over 2.5 goals53%

Over 3.5 goals33%

Both teams to score60%

Orgryte IS or draw53%

Vasteras SK FK or draw76%

Orgryte IS to score69%

Vasteras SK FK to score81%

Most likely scores

1-113%1-29%0-19%0-08%0-28%

Expected goals per the model: Orgryte IS 1.18 · Vasteras SK FK 1.69

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.87.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.6 in total · Orgryte IS 4.3 · Vasteras SK FK 5.4

58%Over 8.5@1.73

47%Over 9.5@2.11

38%Over 10.5@2.66

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 3.4 · el árbitro Oscar Johnson saca 3.9 por partido

42%Over 3.5@2.37

26%Over 4.5@3.79

15%Over 5.5@6.53

⏱️ First half

45% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.29

72%Goal in the 1st half@1.38

37%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.71

79%Goal in the 2st half@1.26

⚽ Goals per team

33%Orgryte IS +1.5@3.03

50%Vasteras SK FK +1.5@1.99

11%Orgryte IS to win to nil@9.07

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

0.73Expected goals (xG)2.38

3Shots on target6

5Saves3

2Offsides3

11Shots17

3Yellow cards1

5Corners11

7Fouls14

0Red cards0

36Possession %64

Goals in the last 10 matches

Orgryte IS · last 10 matches

7/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score3.0goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Vasteras SK FK · last 10 matches

4/10+2.5 goals3/10both teams to score2.1goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Orgryte ISVasteras SK FK

1.2Goals scored per match1.5

2.2Goals conceded per match1.4

93%Matches with over 1.5 goals67%

63%Matches with over 2.5 goals52%

63%Both teams to score41%

11%Clean sheet37%

30%Matches without scoring30%

3.7Corners won per match4.7

1.4Yellow cards per match1.4

Orgryte IS: 27 matches · Vasteras SK FK: 27 matches (all competitions with data).

Orgryte IS at home · Vasteras SK FK away

Orgryte IS at home

2G6E5P

LWLDD

Vasteras SK FK away

7G1E5P

WLWWL

When do they score and concede?

Orgryte IS · goals by minute in 26 matches scored conceded

Vasteras SK FK · goals by minute in 26 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Orgryte IS

Scores first in 8 of 25 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 17 and avoids defeat in 3.

Vasteras SK FK

Scores first in 12 of 24 matches and wins 9 of them.

Concedes first in 12 and avoids defeat in 4.

Players in form

Orgryte IS

Viktor Ekblom · 3 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Adam Andersson · 0 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches

Tobias Sana · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Vasteras SK FK

Axel Sountonoma Taonsa · 2 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Abdelrahman Saidi · 0 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches

Marcus Baggesen · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

2Orgryte IS to win

6Draws

2Vasteras SK FK to win

10 matches · 2.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-07-24	Vasteras SK FK 2-0 Orgryte IS	Allsvenskan
2025-10-24	Orgryte IS 0-2 Vasteras SK FK	Superettan
2025-04-08	Vasteras SK FK 1-1 Orgryte IS	Superettan
2023-11-04	Orgryte IS 1-0 Vasteras SK FK	Superettan
2023-04-10	Vasteras SK FK 0-0 Orgryte IS	Superettan
2022-08-27	Vasteras SK FK 1-1 Orgryte IS	Superettan

Standings

Allsvenskan standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Hammarby FF	28	+37	58
2	Sirius	28	+23	58
3	Djurgardens IF	28	+29	52
4	BK Hacken	28	+17	49
5	IF Elfsborg	28	+11	46
6	Vasteras SK FK	28	+2	45
7	Malmo FF	28	+6	41
8	AIK Stockholm	28	-3	41
9	Gais	28	+8	40
10	IFK Goteborg	28	-10	39
11	IF Brommapojkarna	28	-5	35
12	Mjallby AIF	28	-13	28
13	Kalmar FF	28	-18	26
14	Degerfors IF	28	-25	20
15	Orgryte IS	28	-27	20
16	Halmstad	28	-32	20

More stats

Referee: Oscar Johnson

37 matches · 3.8 yellows and 0.06 reds per match · 0.35 penalties

Half-time

Orgryte IS: 6 days since last match · Vasteras SK FK: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 19:00 UTC.