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Olympiakos vs Apollon Limassol prediction

Cyprus · 1. Division
Olympiakos badgeOlympiakos#9 · 9 ptsLDDLD
1 - 0Full time
Apollon Limassol badgeApollon Limassol#5 · 16 ptsDWWWD

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ M. Tamas 32'

Saturday, November 7 · 12:00 (Peru time) · GSP Stadium · Referee: Constantinos Fellas

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Apollon Limassol to score

85%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+2🟨 B. ThomasApollon Limassol
90'+1🔁 Sub: B. Gaspar · N. ZinonosApollon Limassol
78'🔁 Sub: Z. Savva · K. IrakleousOlympiakos
78'🔁 Sub: A. Vrikkis · A. LolisOlympiakos
75'🔁 Sub: I. Ljubic · I. UgboApollon Limassol
75'🔁 Sub: G. Weissbeck · C. GoldsonApollon Limassol
75'🔁 Sub: A. Shikkis · E. AndreouApollon Limassol
75'🔁 Sub: M. Pechlivanis · A. DoumasOlympiakos
68'🔁 Sub: E. Kunde · M. PraxitelousOlympiakos
45'+1🟨 P. KuhnApollon Limassol
45'🟨 G. AssuncaoApollon Limassol
32'⚽ M. TamasOlympiakos
19'🟨 Z. SavvaOlympiakos

Win probability minute by minute

OlympiakosDrawApollon Limassol
At kick-off17%27%55%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

17%Olympiakos to win@5.75
27%Draw@3.67
55%Apollon Limassol to win@1.81
Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams to score56%
Olympiakos or draw45%
Apollon Limassol or draw83%
Olympiakos to score65%
Apollon Limassol to score85%

Most likely scores

1-112%1-29%0-29%0-19%0-07%

Expected goals per the model: Olympiakos 1.05 · Apollon Limassol 1.94

How many goals will there be?

5%0 goals15%1 goals22%2 goals22%3 goals17%4 goals18%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.99.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 11.5 in total · Olympiakos 5.2 · Apollon Limassol 6.4

75%Over 8.5@1.34
66%Over 9.5@1.52
56%Over 10.5@1.77
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 3.8

49%Over 3.5@2.03
33%Over 4.5@3.05
20%Over 5.5@4.96

⏱️ First half

53% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.57

79%Goal in the 1st half@1.26
47%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.14
76%Goal in the 2st half@1.32

⚽ Goals per team

28%Olympiakos +1.5@3.54
58%Apollon Limassol +1.5@1.73
8%Olympiakos to win to nil@12.90

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

Goals in the last 10 matches

Olympiakos · last 10 matches
4/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.6goals per match
2.5vs Anorthosis: 1-0 1-0 vs Nea Salamis: 3-3 3-3 ambosen Pafos: 0-0 0-0 vs Omonia 29is Maiou: 3-3 3-3 ambosen Omonia Aradippou: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Aris: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Omonia Nicosia: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Krasava Ypsonas: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Karmiotissa: 0-1 0-1 vs Apollon Limassol: 1-0 1-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Apollon Limassol · last 10 matches
8/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score3.8goals per match
2.5vs Brann: 2-4 2-4 ambosen Aris: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Anorthosis: 3-1 3-1 ambosen Omonia Nicosia: 0-0 0-0 vs Apoel Nicosia: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Krasava Ypsonas: 3-1 3-1 ambosvs Nea Salamis: 4-2 4-2 ambosen Karmiotissa: 5-0 5-0 vs Pafos: 2-2 2-2 ambosat Olympiakos: 0-1 0-1

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

OlympiakosApollon Limassol
1.4Goals scored per match2.6
1.6Goals conceded per match1.2
75%Matches with over 1.5 goals83%
50%Matches with over 2.5 goals83%
75%Both teams to score58%
13%Clean sheet42%
25%Matches without scoring8%
7.3Corners won per match7.8
2.3Yellow cards per match1.5

Olympiakos: 8 matches · Apollon Limassol: 12 matches (all competitions with data).

Olympiakos at home · Apollon Limassol away

Olympiakos at home
0G3E1P
DLDDW
Apollon Limassol away
4G2E0P
WWDDW

When do they score and concede?

Olympiakos · goals by minute in 8 matches scored conceded
010-152116-304531-452246-600261-753276-90
Apollon Limassol · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded
420-155416-306231-453046-604261-759476-90

The first goal

Olympiakos

Scores first in 4 of 7 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 1.

Apollon Limassol

Scores first in 8 of 11 matches and wins 7 of them.

Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

Olympiakos

Z. Savva · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

P. Kynigopoulos · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Jean Felipe · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Apollon Limassol

B. Thomas · 5 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

A. Ozbolt · 3 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

G. Rodrigues · 2 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches

Head to head

0Olympiakos to win
3Draws
7Apollon Limassol to win

10 matches · 3.2 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-02-08Apollon Limassol 3-1 Olympiakos1. Division
2025-10-25Olympiakos 2-2 Apollon Limassol1. Division
2025-08-06Apollon Limassol 3-2 OlympiakosFriendlies Clubs
2023-01-27Apollon Limassol 2-1 Olympiakos1. Division
2022-10-21Olympiakos 1-1 Apollon Limassol1. Division
2022-01-30Apollon Limassol 2-1 Olympiakos1. Division

Standings

1. Division standings
#TeamPGDPts
1AEK Larnaca9+1120
2Omonia Nicosia9+1118
3AEL9018
4Apoel Nicosia9+1017
5Apollon Limassol9+1016
6Pafos9+616
7Aris9015
8Omonia 29is Maiou9-211
9Olympiakos9-19
10Nea Salamis9-48
11Anorthosis9-106
12Karmiotissa9-146
13Omonia Aradippou9-66
14Krasava Ypsonas9-115

More stats

Half-time

Olympiakos: 8 days since last match · Apollon Limassol: 7 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 19:30 UTC.

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