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Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK prediction
Greece · Super League 1
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOKPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 14:00 (Peru time) · Karaiskakis Stadium · Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez
Olympiakos Piraeus or draw
85%- Olympiakos Piraeus unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 (D W W W W)
- At home, Olympiakos Piraeus are 5W 1D 1L this season
- Silva is on fire: 3 goals in his last 4 matches
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Olympiakos Piraeus 1.88 · PAOK 0.91
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.79.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.8 in total · Olympiakos Piraeus 5.5 · PAOK 4.3
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.6
⏱️ First half
40% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.11
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Olympiakos Piraeus: 15 matches · PAOK: 15 matches (all competitions with data).
Olympiakos Piraeus at home · PAOK away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 11 of 13 matches and wins 9 of them.
Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 5 of 15 matches and wins 5 of them.
Concedes first in 10 and avoids defeat in 4.
Players in form
Jota Silva · 3 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches
Joel Roca · 2 goles, 1 assists in 3 matches
Marius Mouandilmadji · 2 goles, 1 assists in 3 matches
Cherif Ndiaye · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Andrija Živković · 0 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches
Simon Banza · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 3.0 goals per match
| 2026-05-10 | Olympiakos Piraeus 1-1 PAOK | Super League 1 |
| 2026-05-03 | PAOK 3-1 Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Olympiakos Piraeus 0-0 PAOK | Super League 1 |
| 2026-01-14 | Olympiakos Piraeus 0-2 PAOK | Cup |
| 2025-10-05 | PAOK 2-1 Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Olympiakos Piraeus 4-2 PAOK | Super League 1 |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 10 | +17 | 27 |
| 2 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 10 | +11 | 23 |
| 3 | AEK Athens FC | 9 | +17 | 20 |
| 4 | PAOK | 10 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | Aris Thessalonikis | 10 | -1 | 19 |
| 6 | OFI | 10 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 | Kifisia | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 | Kalamata | 10 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 | Iraklis 1908 | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 10 | -12 | 9 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 10 | -9 | 7 |
| 12 | Atromitos | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Levadiakos | 10 | -9 | 6 |
| 14 | Volos NFC | 10 | -12 | 0 |
More stats
3 matches · 5.0 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties
Olympiakos Piraeus: 4 days since last match · PAOK: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 21:30 UTC.