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Oldham vs Sheffield Wednesday prediction

England · FA Cup

OldhamLLWL

2 - 1Full time

Sheffield WednesdayLWWLL

24%25%51%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Calum Kavanagh 66'⚽ Davis Keillor-Dunn 76'🟥 Michael Joseph Mellon 85'⚽ will sutton 110'

Sunday, November 8 · 12:15 (Peru time) · Boundary Park · Referee: Martin Woods

🎯 Model pick

Sheffield Wednesday to score

83%

Partial data

Oldham concede 2.0 goals per match
Oldham kept a clean sheet in only 0 of 1
Oldham in poor form: 3 defeats in their last 4

⚡ Summary

51%Sheffield Wednesday to win@1.97 58%Over 2.5 goals@1.71 63%Both teams to score@1.59 1-1Most likely score · 11%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

110'⚽ will suttonOldham

105'🟨 Emmanuel MontheOldham

105'🔁 Sub: Jamal Lowe · William GraingerSheffield Wednesday

105'🔁 Sub: Yan Valery · Ernie WeaverSheffield Wednesday

97'🔁 Sub: Calum Kavanagh · Elliott NevittOldham

90'+1🟨 Gus Scott-MorrissOldham

90'🟨 Sean FusireSheffield Wednesday

90'🔁 Sub: Tom Pett · Josh HawkesOldham

85'🟥 Michael Joseph MellonOldham

85'🟨 Callum SlatterySheffield Wednesday

76'⚽ Davis Keillor-Dunn assist Sean FusireSheffield Wednesday

72'🔁 Sub: Ricardo Almeida Santos · Kieran MorrisonSheffield Wednesday

71'🔁 Sub: Noah Chilvers · Oliver HammondOldham

71'🔁 Sub: Liam Palmer · Max LoweSheffield Wednesday

71'🔁 Sub: Jordi Liongola · Sean FusireSheffield Wednesday

66'⚽ Calum Kavanagh assist Mike·Fondop-TalumOldham

29'🟨 Yan ValerySheffield Wednesday

17'🔁 Sub: Ashley Maynard Brewer · Connal TruemanSheffield Wednesday

7'🟨 Di'Shon BernardSheffield Wednesday

Win probability minute by minute

OldhamDrawSheffield Wednesday

At kick-off24%25%51%Full time0%100%0%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

24%Oldham to win@4.09

25%Draw@4.03

51%Sheffield Wednesday to win@1.97

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Over 3.5 goals38%

Both teams to score63%

Oldham or draw49%

Sheffield Wednesday or draw76%

Oldham to score70%

Sheffield Wednesday to score83%

Most likely scores

1-111%1-29%0-18%0-27%0-07%

Expected goals per the model: Oldham 1.27 · Sheffield Wednesday 1.91

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.18.

Corners, cards and first half

⏱️ First half

33% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.06

65%Goal in the 1st half@1.53

29%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.49

88%Goal in the 2st half@1.14

⚽ Goals per team

36%Oldham +1.5@2.76

57%Sheffield Wednesday +1.5@1.76

10%Oldham to win to nil@9.60

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

5Shots on target6

5Saves3

13Shots13

2Yellow cards4

2Corners7

0Offsides3

20Fouls15

0Red cards0

29Possession %71

Goals in the last 10 matches

Oldham · last 3 matches

2/3+2.5 goals2/3both teams to score3.0goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Sheffield Wednesday · last 10 matches

3/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score2.1goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

OldhamSheffield Wednesday

0.0Goals scored per match0.5

2.0Goals conceded per match1.0

100%Matches with over 1.5 goals50%

0%Matches with over 2.5 goals0%

0%Both teams to score0%

0%Clean sheet50%

100%Matches without scoring50%

3.0Corners won per match4.0

1.0Yellow cards per match1.0

Oldham: 1 matches · Sheffield Wednesday: 2 matches (all competitions with data).

Oldham at home · Sheffield Wednesday away

Oldham at home

0G0E0P

Sheffield Wednesday away

0G0E0P

LLDLL

When do they score and concede?

Oldham · goals by minute in 1 matches scored conceded

Sheffield Wednesday · goals by minute in 2 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Oldham

Scores first in 0 of 1 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 0.

Sheffield Wednesday

Scores first in 1 of 2 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Oldham

Sin datos

Sheffield Wednesday

N. Chalobah · 1 gol, 1 assists in 3 matches

J. Lowe · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

L. Palmer · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

1Oldham to win

0Draws

3Sheffield Wednesday to win

4 matches · 3.8 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-08-01	Oldham 4-0 Sheffield Wednesday	Friendlies Clubs
2012-08-13	Oldham 2-4 Sheffield Wednesday	League Cup
2012-04-09	Sheffield Wednesday 3-0 Oldham	League One
2011-12-10	Oldham 0-2 Sheffield Wednesday	League One

More stats

Half-time

Oldham: 92 days since last match · Sheffield Wednesday: 74 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 19:50 UTC.