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OFI vs Atromitos prediction

Greece · Super League 1
OFI badgeOFI#6 · 17 ptsWWWLL
0 - 0Full time
Atromitos badgeAtromitos#12 · 6 ptsWLLLD

Pre-match probabilities

Sunday, 8 November · 11:30 (Peru time) · Theodoros Vardinogiannis Stadium · Referee: Fotios Polychronis

Picky
🎯 Model pick

OFI to score

77%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

87'🔁 Sub: Dimitris Nikolaou · Borja GonzálezOFI
84'🔁 Sub: Juan José Perea · Panagiotis TsantilasAtromitos
84'🔁 Sub: Samuel Moutoussamy · Theocharis TsingarasAtromitos
84'🔁 Sub: Georgios Papadopoulos · Jere UronenAtromitos
80'🟨 S. PnevmonidisAtromitos
72'🔁 Sub: Kelvin Ofori · Lefteris LyratzisAtromitos
71'🔁 Sub: Thiago Nuss · Aitor CantalapiedraOFI
70'🟨 Juan José PereaAtromitos
69'🔁 Sub: Serginho · S. PnevmonidisAtromitos
68'🔁 Sub: Lorenzo Dickmann · Anastasios ChatzigiovanisOFI
68'🔁 Sub: Andreas Bouchalakis · Zisis KarachaliosOFI
61'📺 Kenan KodroOFI
54'🟨 SerginhoAtromitos
51'🟨 Andreas BouchalakisOFI
45'🔁 Sub: Krešimir Krizmanić · Christos SielisOFI
37'🟨 Athanasios AndroutsosOFI
13'🟨 Taxiarchis FountasOFI

Win probability minute by minute

OFIDrawAtromitos
At kick-off44%29%27%Full time0%100%0%
0%25%50%75%100% 0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

44%OFI to win@2.29
29%Draw@3.39
27%Atromitos to win@3.73
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score53%
OFI or draw73%
Atromitos or draw56%
OFI to score77%
Atromitos to score67%

Most likely scores

1-114%1-010%0-09%2-19%2-08%

Expected goals per the model: OFI 1.50 · Atromitos 1.13

How many goals will there be?

7%0 goals19%1 goals25%2 goals22%3 goals14%4 goals13%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.63.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 8.6 in total · OFI 3.9 · Atromitos 4.7

47%Over 8.5@2.11
37%Over 9.5@2.69
28%Over 10.5@3.55
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 6.2 · el árbitro Fotios Polychronis saca 8.0 por partido

82%Over 3.5@1.21
70%Over 4.5@1.43
56%Over 5.5@1.80

⏱️ First half

51% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.34

74%Goal in the 1st half@1.35
39%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.57
72%Goal in the 2st half@1.38

⚽ Goals per team

44%OFI +1.5@2.26
31%Atromitos +1.5@3.21
23%OFI to win to nil@4.27

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

1.51Expected goals (xG)0.35
2Shots on target0
2Offsides2
10Shots7
3Yellow cards3
9Corners5
0Saves2
14Fouls18
0Red cards0
63Possession %37

Goals in the last 10 matches

OFI · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.7goals per match
2.5vs 1899 Hoffenheim: 2-0 2-0 vs Asteras Tripolis: 2-2 2-2 ambosen AEK Athens FC: 0-3 0-3 en Rennes: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Kalamata: 3-4 3-4 ambosvs Bayer Leverkusen: 0-2 0-2 vs PAOK: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Panetolikos: 1-0 1-0 en Hapoel Beer Sheva: 2-0 2-0 vs Atromitos: 0-0 0-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Atromitos · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.7goals per match
2.5vs Panserraikos: 6-0 6-0 en Olympiakos Piraeus: 0-1 0-1 vs PAOK: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Kalamata: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Iraklis 1908: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Kifisia: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Asteras Tripolis: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Aris Thessalonikis: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Volos NFC: 3-0 3-0 at OFI: 0-0 0-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

OFIAtromitos
1.6Goals scored per match1.1
1.1Goals conceded per match1.5
87%Matches with over 1.5 goals88%
47%Matches with over 2.5 goals63%
33%Both teams to score75%
53%Clean sheet13%
13%Matches without scoring13%
3.7Corners won per match3.1
1.7Yellow cards per match2.6

OFI: 15 matches · Atromitos: 8 matches (all competitions with data).

OFI at home · Atromitos away

OFI at home
5G1E1P
WLDWW
Atromitos away
0G1E3P
LLDLL

When do they score and concede?

OFI · goals by minute in 15 matches scored conceded
220-154216-305331-453246-602161-758676-90
Atromitos · goals by minute in 8 matches scored conceded
220-154316-300131-450146-602361-751276-90

The first goal

OFI

Scores first in 11 of 15 matches and wins 9 of them.

Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 0.

Atromitos

Scores first in 4 of 8 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

OFI

T. Nuss · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Taxiarchis Fountas · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Kenan Kodro · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Atromitos

Juan José Perea · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches

Serginho · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Samuel Moutoussamy · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

2OFI to win
6Draws
2Atromitos to win

10 matches · 1.7 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-01-31Atromitos 1-2 OFISuper League 1
2025-10-25OFI 1-3 AtromitosSuper League 1
2025-05-10Atromitos 0-0 OFISuper League 1
2025-03-29OFI 1-2 AtromitosSuper League 1
2024-12-14Atromitos 0-0 OFISuper League 1
2024-08-24OFI 1-1 AtromitosSuper League 1

Standings

Super League 1 standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Panathinaikos10+1727
2Olympiakos Piraeus10+1123
3AEK Athens FC9+1720
4PAOK10+619
5Aris Thessalonikis10-119
6OFI10+217
7Kifisia10014
8Kalamata10-412
9Iraklis 190810-310
10Panetolikos10-129
11Asteras Tripolis10-97
12Atromitos9-36
13Levadiakos10-96
14Volos NFC10-120

More stats

Referee: Fotios Polychronis

7 matches · 7.0 yellows and 1.00 reds per match · 0.50 penalties

Half-time

OFI: 2 days since last match · Atromitos: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 19:00 UTC.

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