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Odense vs Viborg prediction

Denmark · Superliga
Odense badgeOdense#6 · 17 ptsWDWDD
1 - 2Full time
Viborg badgeViborg#3 · 26 ptsWLLWW

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Mads Søndergaard Clausen 11'⚽ Lukas Kirkegaard 45'⚽ Jann-Fiete Arp 68'

Saturday, 7 November · 12:00 (Peru time) · Odense Stadium · Referee: Jakob Kehlet

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

83%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

87'🔁 Sub: Sami Jalal Karchoud · Daniel AnyembeViborg
87'🔁 Sub: Dorian Hanza · Adam Kleis-KristoffersenViborg
80'🔁 Sub: Magnus Hvitfeldt Andersen · Adam SorensenOdense
76'🟨 Jeppe GrønningViborg
76'🔁 Sub: Hjalte Bidstrup · Valgeir Lunddal FridrikssonViborg
76'🔁 Sub: Mads Søndergaard Clausen · Ruben Kristensen AlteViborg
74'🔁 Sub: Jann-Fiete Arp · Alexander Ahl HolmstromOdense
68'⚽ Jann-Fiete Arp assist Topi KeskinenOdense
67'🔁 Sub: Charly Ngos Nouck Horneman · Lasso CoulibalyViborg
61'🔁 Sub: Julian Andreas Pauli · Ulrik JenssenOdense
61'🔁 Sub: Ismahila Ouédraogo · Nikolaj Juul-SandbergOdense
61'🟨 Magnus Hvitfeldt AndersenOdense
45'⚽ Lukas Kirkegaard assist Mads Søndergaard ClausenViborg
45'🔁 Sub: Christian Gammelgaard · Rasmus Falk JensenOdense
11'⚽ Mads Søndergaard Clausen assist Sami Jalal KarchoudViborg

Win probability minute by minute

OdenseDrawViborg
At kick-off28%29%43%Full time0%0%100%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

28%Odense to win@3.56
29%Draw@3.46
43%Viborg to win@2.32
Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score67%
Odense or draw57%
Viborg or draw72%
Odense to score76%
Viborg to score83%

Most likely scores

1-113%1-28%2-27%2-17%0-16%

Expected goals per the model: Odense 1.45 · Viborg 1.80

How many goals will there be?

4%0 goals13%1 goals20%2 goals22%3 goals18%4 goals23%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.25.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 11.5 in total · Odense 5.9 · Viborg 5.6

75%Over 8.5@1.34
66%Over 9.5@1.52
56%Over 10.5@1.77
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 2.9 · el árbitro Jakob Kehlet saca 2.5 por partido

33%Over 3.5@3.01
19%Over 4.5@5.19
10%Over 5.5@9.68

⏱️ First half

47% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.52

78%Goal in the 1st half@1.28
45%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.22
82%Goal in the 2st half@1.22

⚽ Goals per team

43%Odense +1.5@2.35
54%Viborg +1.5@1.86
11%Odense to win to nil@9.09

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

5Shots on target4
2Saves4
3Offsides0
14Shots14
1Yellow cards1
2Corners7
13Fouls10
0Red cards0
56Possession %44
1.03Expected goals (xG)1.39

Goals in the last 10 matches

Odense · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals8/10both teams to score2.9goals per match
2.5en Aarhus: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Lyngby: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs FC Copenhagen: 0-5 0-5 en Randers FC: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs FC Midtjylland: 1-1 1-1 ambosen FC Nordsjaelland: 0-0 0-0 vs Brondby: 2-1 2-1 ambosen FC Copenhagen: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Silkeborg: 4-1 4-1 ambosvs Viborg: 1-2 1-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Viborg · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.0goals per match
2.5vs FC Copenhagen: 4-0 4-0 en AC Horsens: 3-2 3-2 ambosvs Lyngby: 0-2 0-2 en Silkeborg: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs FC Nordsjaelland: 4-1 4-1 ambosen Randers FC: 2-0 2-0 vs FC Midtjylland: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Aarhus: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs AC Horsens: 1-0 1-0 at Odense: 2-1 2-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

OdenseViborg
1.1Goals scored per match1.5
1.3Goals conceded per match0.9
69%Matches with over 1.5 goals69%
46%Matches with over 2.5 goals46%
62%Both teams to score46%
15%Clean sheet38%
31%Matches without scoring23%
6.1Corners won per match5.2
2.0Yellow cards per match1.3

Odense: 13 matches · Viborg: 13 matches (all competitions with data).

Odense at home · Viborg away

Odense at home
3G1E2P
WWDLL
Viborg away
2G2E2P
LWDWD

When do they score and concede?

Odense · goals by minute in 13 matches scored conceded
120-154316-303231-451446-603261-753476-90
Viborg · goals by minute in 13 matches scored conceded
320-153116-304231-455346-602361-753176-90

The first goal

Odense

Scores first in 5 of 12 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 4.

Viborg

Scores first in 7 of 12 matches and wins 7 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

Odense

Noah Ganaus · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Topi Keskinen · 0 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches

Christian Gammelgaard · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Viborg

Dorian Hanza · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Charly Ngos Nouck Horneman · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches

Giulio Gabriel · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches

Head to head

4Odense to win
1Draws
5Viborg to win

10 matches · 2.8 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-07-24Viborg 1-0 OdenseSuperliga
2025-10-19Viborg 1-2 OdenseSuperliga
2025-07-27Odense 3-1 ViborgSuperliga
2024-05-25Viborg 2-1 OdenseSuperliga
2024-04-12Odense 1-3 ViborgSuperliga
2024-02-16Viborg 1-2 OdenseSuperliga

Standings

Superliga standings
#TeamPGDPts
1FC Copenhagen14+1732
2FC Midtjylland14+1232
3Viborg14+926
4FC Nordsjaelland14+823
5Brondby14+222
6Odense14-317
7AC Horsens14016
8Aarhus14-215
9Silkeborg14-615
10Lyngby14-1011
11Randers FC14-1311
12Sonderjyske14-149

More stats

Referee: Jakob Kehlet

5 matches · 2.5 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 1.00 penalties

Half-time

Odense: 6 days since last match · Viborg: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 19:30 UTC.

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