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Obolon'-Brovar vs Livyi Bereh prediction

Ukraine · Premier League
Obolon'-Brovar badgeObolon'-Brovar#14 · 8 ptsLLWDL
1 - 1Full time
Livyi Bereh badgeLivyi Bereh#12 · 9 ptsDLLWL

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ O. Kryvoruchko 28'⚽ Andriy Yakimiv 73' (p.p.)

Friday, November 6 · 06:00 (Peru time) · Obolon Arena · Referee: Jevgeny Tsybulko

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Obolon'-Brovar or draw

68%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'🔁 Sub: N. Voloshyn · roman gereshLivyi Bereh
88'🟨 Oleg SlobodyanObolon'-Brovar
88'🔁 Sub: Oleg Slobodyan · Roman VolokhatyiObolon'-Brovar
74'🟨 Roman ZhmurkoLivyi Bereh
74'🔁 Sub: Wendell Florencio Brito · N. VoloshynLivyi Bereh
74'🔁 Sub: Vikentii Voloshyn · Diego Henrique Souza Da SilvaLivyi Bereh
73'⚽ Andriy Yakimiv (own goal)Obolon'-Brovar
67'🟨 Taras LyakhObolon'-Brovar
66'🔁 Sub: Maksym Chekh · Sergiy SukhanovObolon'-Brovar
66'🔁 Sub: Denys Ustymenko · Taras LyakhObolon'-Brovar
60'🔁 Sub: Dmytro Shastal · Séverin TatolnaLivyi Bereh
45'🔁 Sub: Andriy Matkevych · Yevgeniy MorozkoObolon'-Brovar
45'🔁 Sub: Artem Shulyanskyi · Igor MedynskyiObolon'-Brovar
28'⚽ O. Kryvoruchko assist Evgen BanadaLivyi Bereh
16'🟨 Nazariy VorobchakLivyi Bereh

Win probability minute by minute

Obolon'-BrovarDrawLivyi Bereh
At kick-off32%36%32%Full time0%100%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

32%Obolon'-Brovar to win@3.09
36%Draw@2.80
32%Livyi Bereh to win@3.13
Over 1.5 goals65%
Over 2.5 goals36%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams to score47%
Obolon'-Brovar or draw68%
Livyi Bereh or draw68%
Obolon'-Brovar to score66%
Livyi Bereh to score66%

Most likely scores

1-116%0-014%1-011%0-110%2-17%

Expected goals per the model: Obolon'-Brovar 1.09 · Livyi Bereh 1.08

How many goals will there be?

11%0 goals25%1 goals27%2 goals19%3 goals11%4 goals7%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.17.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 8.6 in total · Obolon'-Brovar 3.8 · Livyi Bereh 4.8

47%Over 8.5@2.11
37%Over 9.5@2.70
28%Over 10.5@3.56
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.0

55%Over 3.5@1.83
38%Over 4.5@2.64
24%Over 5.5@4.13

⏱️ First half

51% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.11

67%Goal in the 1st half@1.49
30%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.28
65%Goal in the 2st half@1.53

⚽ Goals per team

30%Obolon'-Brovar +1.5@3.36
29%Livyi Bereh +1.5@3.41
20%Obolon'-Brovar to win to nil@5.06

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

2Shots on target1
0Red cards0
49Possession %51
3Corners2
2Yellow cards2
5Shots4

Goals in the last 10 matches

Obolon'-Brovar · last 10 matches
3/10+2.5 goals3/10both teams to score2.0goals per match
2.5en Bukovyna: 0-0 0-0 en Kudrivka: 0-0 0-0 en Kolos Kovalivka: 0-0 0-0 en FC Kharkiv: 0-5 0-5 en LNZ Cherkasy: 1-3 1-3 ambosen Chornomorets: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Veres Rivne: 2-0 2-0 en Polessya: 0-3 0-3 en Shakhtar Donetsk: 0-2 0-2 vs Livyi Bereh: 1-1 1-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Livyi Bereh · last 10 matches
2/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score1.6goals per match
2.5vs Kudrivka: 0-0 0-0 en Kryvbas KR: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Karpaty: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Chornomorets: 0-0 0-0 en Polessya: 0-1 0-1 en Epitsentr Dunayivtsi: 2-0 2-0 vs Zorya Luhansk: 1-3 1-3 ambosen FC Kharkiv: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs LNZ Cherkasy: 0-0 0-0 at Obolon'-Brovar: 1-1 1-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Obolon'-BrovarLivyi Bereh
0.4Goals scored per match0.7
1.7Goals conceded per match0.9
70%Matches with over 1.5 goals56%
40%Matches with over 2.5 goals22%
20%Both teams to score44%
40%Clean sheet44%
70%Matches without scoring44%
2.9Corners won per match3.6
2.6Yellow cards per match1.4

Obolon'-Brovar: 10 matches · Livyi Bereh: 9 matches (all competitions with data).

Obolon'-Brovar at home · Livyi Bereh away

Obolon'-Brovar at home
1G0E0P
WLDDD
Livyi Bereh away
1G2E2P
LWLDD

When do they score and concede?

Obolon'-Brovar · goals by minute in 10 matches scored conceded
060-151116-300331-450246-601361-752276-90
Livyi Bereh · goals by minute in 9 matches scored conceded
100-151116-300431-450146-603261-751076-90

The first goal

Obolon'-Brovar

Scores first in 1 of 7 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 1.

Livyi Bereh

Scores first in 2 of 6 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

Obolon'-Brovar

N. Fedorivsky · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches

A. Kulakovskyi · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

I. Medynskyi · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

Livyi Bereh

V. Voloshyn · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Wendell · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

N. Vorobchak · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

2Obolon'-Brovar to win
3Draws
1Livyi Bereh to win

6 matches · 2.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-07-21Livyi Bereh 2-2 Obolon'-BrovarFriendlies Clubs
2025-05-23Obolon'-Brovar 1-0 Livyi BerehPremier League
2024-11-30Livyi Bereh 1-1 Obolon'-BrovarPremier League
2024-06-02Livyi Bereh 1-1 Obolon'-BrovarPremier League
2024-05-29Obolon'-Brovar 1-0 Livyi BerehPremier League
2023-07-12Obolon'-Brovar 0-2 Livyi BerehFriendlies Clubs

Standings

Premier League standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk12+1729
2Polessya11+1728
3Dynamo Kyiv11+723
4FC Kharkiv9+1121
5Karpaty11+1419
6LNZ Cherkasy11+218
7Zorya Luhansk12-118
8Kolos Kovalivka10-112
9Epitsentr Dunayivtsi12-510
10Bukovyna11-510
11Chornomorets11-59
12Livyi Bereh10-29
13Veres Rivne12-119
14Obolon'-Brovar11-138
15Kudrivka12-178
16Kryvbas KR10-87

More stats

Half-time

Obolon'-Brovar: 6 days since last match · Livyi Bereh: 13 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 13:30 UTC.

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