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Novi Pazar vs Mladost Lucani prediction
Serbia · Super Liga
Novi Pazar
Mladost LucaniPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 07:00 (Peru time) · Novi Pazar City Stadium
Novi Pazar or draw
85%- At home, Novi Pazar are 3W 2D 2L this season
- Head to head: 3W 4D 3L for Novi Pazar
- Dixon is on fire: 3 goals in his last 5 matches
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Novi Pazar 1.72 · Mladost Lucani 0.80
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.52.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.9 in total · Novi Pazar 5.6 · Mladost Lucani 4.3
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 5.1
⏱️ First half
37% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.93
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Novi Pazar: 14 matches · Mladost Lucani: 14 matches (all competitions with data).
Novi Pazar at home · Mladost Lucani away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 7 of 13 matches and wins 4 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 5 of 11 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 2.
Players in form
Kaheim Dixon · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Adem Ljajić · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
T. Dadic · 0 goles, 2 assists in 4 matches
Vukasin Markovic · 2 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches
J. Ciric · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
V. Tasovski · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 1.8 goals per match
| 2026-07-26 | Mladost Lucani 0-0 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
| 2026-06-28 | Mladost Lucani 3-1 Novi Pazar | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2026-03-09 | Mladost Lucani 0-2 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
| 2025-10-04 | Novi Pazar 1-0 Mladost Lucani | Super Liga |
| 2025-07-08 | Novi Pazar 1-1 Mladost Lucani | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2025-04-28 | Mladost Lucani 1-1 Novi Pazar | Super Liga |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 15 | +32 | 43 |
| 2 | Vojvodina | 15 | +17 | 32 |
| 3 | Železničar Pančevo | 14 | +12 | 29 |
| 4 | IMT Novi Beograd | 15 | +6 | 23 |
| 5 | Radnicki 1923 | 15 | +3 | 23 |
| 6 | Radnik Surdulica | 15 | +2 | 23 |
| 7 | Cukaricki | 15 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Novi Pazar | 15 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Mladost Lucani | 15 | -9 | 18 |
| 10 | FK Partizan | 15 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Macva | 15 | -13 | 13 |
| 12 | OFK Beograd | 15 | -12 | 11 |
| 13 | Radnicki NIS | 14 | -15 | 8 |
| 14 | Zemun | 15 | -21 | 7 |
More stats
Novi Pazar: 6 days since last match · Mladost Lucani: 5 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 14:30 UTC.