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Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City prediction
England · Premier League
Nottingham Forest
Manchester CityPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 12:30 (Peru time) · City Ground · Referee: Samuel Barrott
Manchester City to score
84%- Manchester City scored in 12 of 13 matches this season
- Manchester City average 2.5 goals per match
- Nottingham Forest concede 1.3 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Nottingham Forest 1.06 · Manchester City 1.90
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.96.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.3 in total · Nottingham Forest 4.1 · Manchester City 5.2
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.6 · el árbitro Samuel Barrott saca 3.3 por partido
⏱️ First half
39% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.15
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Nottingham Forest: 9 matches · Manchester City: 13 matches (all competitions with data).
Nottingham Forest at home · Manchester City away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 4 of 8 matches and wins 1 of them.
Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 0.
Scores first in 9 of 13 matches and wins 9 of them.
Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 1.
Players in form
Neco Williams · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
D. Ndoye · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Daniel Muñoz · 0 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Phil Foden · 4 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Erling Haaland · 4 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Iliman Ndiaye · 0 goles, 3 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
9 matches · 2.8 goals per match
| 2026-03-04 | Manchester City 2-2 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 2025-12-27 | Nottingham Forest 1-2 Manchester City | Premier League |
| 2025-04-27 | Nottingham Forest 0-2 Manchester City | FA Cup |
| 2025-03-08 | Nottingham Forest 1-0 Manchester City | Premier League |
| 2024-12-04 | Manchester City 3-0 Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 2024-04-28 | Nottingham Forest 0-2 Manchester City | Premier League |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton | 10 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 | Manchester City | 10 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 10 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 | Leeds | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Hull City | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 10 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry | 10 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 10 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 | Sunderland | 10 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 10 | -14 | 7 |
More stats
9 matches · 3.3 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.29 penalties
Nottingham Forest: 7 days since last match · Manchester City: 2 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 20:00 UTC.