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NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction
Croatia · HNL
NK Varazdin
Dinamo ZagrebPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 12:00 (Peru time) · Stadion Anđelko Herjavec · Referee: Mateo Erceg
Dinamo Zagreb to score
85%- Dinamo Zagreb scored in 19 of 21 matches this season
- Dinamo Zagreb average 2.1 goals per match
- Beljo is on fire: 5 goals in his last 5 matches
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: NK Varazdin 0.95 · Dinamo Zagreb 1.94
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.89.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.4 in total · NK Varazdin 3.6 · Dinamo Zagreb 5.8
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.9 · el árbitro Mateo Erceg saca 4.5 por partido
⏱️ First half
46% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.32
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
NK Varazdin: 14 matches · Dinamo Zagreb: 21 matches (all competitions with data).
NK Varazdin at home · Dinamo Zagreb away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 8 of 12 matches and wins 6 of them.
Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 2.
Scores first in 13 of 20 matches and wins 10 of them.
Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 4.
Players in form
Luka Mamić · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Iuri Tavares · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
P. Bockaj · 0 goles, 1 assists in 3 matches
Dion Drena Beljo · 5 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Luka Stojkovic · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
M. Orsic · 0 goles, 2 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.9 goals per match
| 2026-08-22 | Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 NK Varazdin | HNL |
| 2026-04-26 | Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 NK Varazdin | HNL |
| 2026-02-22 | NK Varazdin 0-4 Dinamo Zagreb | HNL |
| 2025-11-22 | Dinamo Zagreb 3-1 NK Varazdin | HNL |
| 2025-08-30 | NK Varazdin 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb | HNL |
| 2025-05-25 | Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 NK Varazdin | HNL |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 13 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 12 | +13 | 25 |
| 3 | NK Osijek | 13 | +4 | 20 |
| 4 | Istra 1961 | 13 | +5 | 19 |
| 5 | NK Varazdin | 13 | +3 | 19 |
| 6 | HNK Rijeka | 12 | +1 | 18 |
| 7 | NK Slaven Belupo | 13 | -9 | 16 |
| 8 | Rudes | 13 | -11 | 16 |
| 9 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 13 | -7 | 11 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 13 | -15 | 7 |
More stats
7 matches · 4.5 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.17 penalties
NK Varazdin: 7 days since last match · Dinamo Zagreb: 2 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 19:30 UTC.