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NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rudes prediction

Croatia · HNL

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb#9 · 11 ptsLDWLL

0 - 1Full time

Rudes#8 · 16 ptsWWLWD

47%30%23%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Saad El Haddad 79' (p)

Friday, November 6 · 12:00 (Peru time) · Stadion Kranjčevićeva · Referee: Ante Terzic

🎯 Model pick

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to score

80%

Partial data

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb scored in 8 of 12 matches this season
Rudes concede 2.3 goals per match
Rudes kept a clean sheet in only 2 of 12

⚡ Summary

47%NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win@2.12 51%Over 2.5 goals@1.97 57%Both teams to score@1.75 61%Corners +9.5 (11.0)@1.6464%Cards +4.5 (5.8)@1.561-1Most likely score · 14%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+1🟨 Cherno SahoRudes

86'🔁 Sub: Bruno Unusic · Filip TarabaRudes

80'🟨 Saad El HaddadRudes

80'🔁 Sub: Ivan Katic · Mate AntunovicNK Lokomotiva Zagreb

79'⚽ Saad El Haddad (pen.)Rudes

76'🔁 Sub: Junior Fernandes · Cherno SahoRudes

76'🔁 Sub: Vid Seitz · Luka PopovicRudes

72'🔁 Sub: Matija Subotic · Marcel LorberNK Lokomotiva Zagreb

72'🔁 Sub: Erbol Atabaev · Wajdi SahliNK Lokomotiva Zagreb

67'🔁 Sub: Noa Skoko · Xavier Cabrita FernandesRudes

66'🟨 Slavko BralićRudes

62'🟨 Ivan ĐorićRudes

61'🔁 Sub: Lovre Kulusic · Jakov VasiljNK Lokomotiva Zagreb

45'🔁 Sub: Jurica Poldrugac · Saad El HaddadRudes

Win probability minute by minute

NK Lokomotiva ZagrebDrawRudes

At kick-off47%30%23%Full time0%0%100%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

47%NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win@2.12

30%Draw@3.36

23%Rudes to win@4.31

Over 1.5 goals76%

Over 2.5 goals51%

Over 3.5 goals31%

Both teams to score57%

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw77%

Rudes or draw53%

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to score80%

Rudes to score67%

Most likely scores

1-114%1-09%2-19%0-09%2-08%

Expected goals per the model: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.64 · Rudes 1.11

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.75.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 11.0 in total · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 5.9 · Rudes 5.1

71%Over 8.5@1.42

61%Over 9.5@1.64

51%Over 10.5@1.95

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 5.8

78%Over 3.5@1.28

64%Over 4.5@1.56

49%Over 5.5@2.02

⏱️ First half

41% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.13

68%Goal in the 1st half@1.48

31%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.20

80%Goal in the 2st half@1.25

⚽ Goals per team

49%NK Lokomotiva Zagreb +1.5@2.05

30%Rudes +1.5@3.28

24%NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win to nil@4.10

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

0.79Expected goals (xG)1.13

2Shots on target2

1Saves2

5Offsides2

10Shots7

3Corners1

0Yellow cards4

7Fouls16

0Red cards0

66Possession %34

Goals in the last 10 matches

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · last 10 matches

4/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score2.5goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Rudes · last 10 matches

6/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score2.9goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

NK Lokomotiva ZagrebRudes

1.2Goals scored per match1.3

1.7Goals conceded per match2.3

75%Matches with over 1.5 goals83%

50%Matches with over 2.5 goals75%

58%Both teams to score58%

17%Clean sheet17%

33%Matches without scoring25%

5.1Corners won per match3.7

2.8Yellow cards per match2.3

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: 12 matches · Rudes: 12 matches (all competitions with data).

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb at home · Rudes away

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb at home

2G1E2P

LWLDW

Rudes away

2G0E4P

WWLLL

When do they score and concede?

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded

Rudes · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded

The first goal

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Scores first in 3 of 11 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 1.

Rudes

Scores first in 5 of 12 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

F. Karacic · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches

L. Belcar · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

L. Kulusic · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

Rudes

N. Skoko · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Jurica Poldrugac · 0 goles, 2 assists in 4 matches

Junior Fernandes · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches

Head to head

6NK Lokomotiva Zagreb to win

3Draws

1Rudes to win

10 matches · 2.6 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-08-21	Rudes 4-1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	HNL
2024-05-18	Rudes 3-3 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	HNL
2024-03-09	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-0 Rudes	HNL
2023-12-03	Rudes 0-0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	HNL
2023-09-15	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 Rudes	HNL
2019-04-20	Rudes 1-2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	HNL

Standings

HNL standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	HNK Hajduk Split	13	+16	29
2	Dinamo Zagreb	12	+13	25
3	NK Osijek	13	+4	20
4	Istra 1961	13	+5	19
5	NK Varazdin	13	+3	19
6	HNK Rijeka	12	+1	18
7	NK Slaven Belupo	13	-9	16
8	Rudes	13	-11	16
9	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	13	-7	11
10	HNK Gorica	13	-15	7

More stats

Half-time

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: 5 days since last match · Rudes: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 19:30 UTC.