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New Zealand vs India prediction

International · International friendlies
01:00Thu Nov 12
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Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Thursday, November 12 · 01:00 (Peru time) · Go Media Stadium

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

80%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

New Zealand and India meet in the International friendlies.

The PickMania model gives New Zealand a 67% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 10% for India.

3.0 total goals are expected (2.2 from New Zealand and 0.8 from India): over 2.5 goals has a 57% chance and both teams to score 49%.

The most likely score is 2-0.

Probabilities

67%New Zealand to win@1.48
22%Draw@4.51
10%India to win@9.55
Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams to score49%
New Zealand or draw90%
India or draw33%
New Zealand to score88%
India to score55%

Most likely scores

2-012%1-010%1-110%2-19%3-08%

Expected goals per the model: New Zealand 2.20 · India 0.80

How many goals will there be?

5%0 goals15%1 goals22%2 goals22%3 goals17%4 goals18%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.00.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.5 in total · New Zealand 5.3 · India 4.2

57%Over 8.5@1.77
46%Over 9.5@2.16
37%Over 10.5@2.74
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 1.7

12%Over 3.5@8.67
5%Over 4.5@19.95
2%Over 5.5@48.80

⏱️ First half

56% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.68

81%Goal in the 1st half@1.23
50%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.00
73%Goal in the 2st half@1.37

⚽ Goals per team

65%Nueva Zelanda +1.5@1.55
19%India +1.5@5.23
38%New Zealand to win to nil@2.62

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

New Zealand · last 6 matches
4/6+2.5 goals2/6both teams to score2.8goals per match
2.5en Colombia: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Ecuador: 0-2 0-2 en Haití: 0-4 0-4 en Inglaterra: 0-1 0-1 en Palestine: 2-2 2-2 ambosen China: 3-0 3-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

India · last 8 matches
4/8+2.5 goals5/8both teams to score3.6goals per match
2.5vs Bhutan: 6-1 6-1 ambosen Jamaica: 0-2 0-2 vs Zimbabwe: 0-1 0-1 en Tajikistan: 1-3 1-3 ambosen Tajikistan: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Panamá: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Brasil: 0-4 0-4 vs Uruguay: 1-6 1-6 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

New ZealandIndia
1.3Goals scored per match0.6
1.8Goals conceded per match2.6
75%Matches with over 1.5 goals86%
75%Matches with over 2.5 goals43%
25%Both teams to score57%
25%Clean sheet0%
50%Matches without scoring43%
4.7Corners won per match3.0
0.7Yellow cards per match1.0

New Zealand: 4 matches · India: 7 matches (all competitions with data).

New Zealand at home · India away

New Zealand at home
0G0E0P
India away
0G1E2P
DLL

When do they score and concede?

New Zealand · goals by minute in 4 matches scored conceded
210-151116-301231-450146-600161-751176-90
India · goals by minute in 7 matches scored conceded
030-152216-301231-450346-600461-751476-90

The first goal

New Zealand

Scores first in 2 of 4 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 0.

India

Scores first in 2 of 7 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

New Zealand

Ben Waine · 2 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches

Owen Parker-Price · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches

Tyler Bindon · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

India

Anirudh Thapa · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

Ryan Williams · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

Farukh Choudhary · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

More stats

Half-time

New Zealand: 45 days since last match · India: 36 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.

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