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NEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia prediction

International · UEFA Europa League
NEC Nijmegen badgeNEC Nijmegen#12 · 7 ptsLDWDD
3 - 1Full time
Omonia Nicosia badgeOmonia Nicosia#18 · 6 ptsWLLDW

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Loïs Diony 23'⚽ Bryan Linssen 50'⚽ Clement Bischoff 74'⚽ Bryan Linssen 76'

Thursday, November 5 · 12:45 (Peru time) · Stadion de Goffert · Referee: Goga Kikacheishvili

Picky
🎯 Model pick

NEC Nijmegen to score

75%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

86'🔁 Sub: Bryan Linssen · Kaj SierhuisNEC Nijmegen
81'🔁 Sub: panagiotis andreou · Christos ConstantinidesOmonia Nicosia
81'🔁 Sub: Ewandro · Panagiotis ChristoforouOmonia Nicosia
76'⚽ Bryan Linssen assist Dušan TadićNEC Nijmegen
74'⚽ Clement BischoffNEC Nijmegen
72'🔁 Sub: Florin Tănase · Luuk BrouwersOmonia Nicosia
72'🔁 Sub: Loïs Diony · A. NeophytouOmonia Nicosia
69'🔁 Sub: Tjaronn Chery · Philippe SandlerNEC Nijmegen
69'🔁 Sub: Jamiro Monteiro · Dušan TadićNEC Nijmegen
68'🔁 Sub: Mihlali Mayambela · Stefan SimićOmonia Nicosia
68'🔁 Sub: Ayodele Thomas · Kevin KersNEC Nijmegen
50'⚽ Bryan Linssen assist Tjaronn CheryNEC Nijmegen
32'🟨 Clement BischoffNEC Nijmegen
23'⚽ Loïs Diony assist panagiotis andreouOmonia Nicosia
15'🔁 Sub: Perr Schuurs · Willum Thor WillumssonNEC Nijmegen

Win probability minute by minute

NEC NijmegenDrawOmonia Nicosia
At kick-off39%31%30%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

39%NEC Nijmegen to win@2.59
31%Draw@3.19
30%Omonia Nicosia to win@3.33
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams to score55%
NEC Nijmegen or draw70%
Omonia Nicosia or draw61%
NEC Nijmegen to score75%
Omonia Nicosia to score70%

Most likely scores

1-114%0-010%1-08%0-18%2-17%

Expected goals per the model: NEC Nijmegen 1.46 · Omonia Nicosia 1.22

How many goals will there be?

7%0 goals18%1 goals25%2 goals22%3 goals15%4 goals13%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.68.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.5 in total · NEC Nijmegen 5.7 · Omonia Nicosia 3.8

56%Over 8.5@1.78
46%Over 9.5@2.18
36%Over 10.5@2.76
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 2.9 · el árbitro Goga Kikacheishvili saca 3.0 por partido

33%Over 3.5@3.08
19%Over 4.5@5.35
10%Over 5.5@10.06

⏱️ First half

45% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.20

70%Goal in the 1st half@1.43
34%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.96
77%Goal in the 2st half@1.30

⚽ Goals per team

43%NEC Nijmegen +1.5@2.33
34%Omonia Nicosia +1.5@2.90
20%NEC Nijmegen to win to nil@4.95

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

1.56Expected goals (xG)0.73
9Shots on target3
2Saves6
2Offsides1
19Shots6
1Yellow cards0
5Corners2
11Fouls12
0Red cards0
63Possession %37

Goals in the last 10 matches

NEC Nijmegen · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals8/10both teams to score3.5goals per match
2.5en Juventus: 0-5 0-5 vs GO Ahead Eagles: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Ajax: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Levski Sofia: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Fortuna Sittard: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Dinamo Zagreb: 4-2 4-2 ambosvs Groningen: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Heerenveen: 0-1 0-1 vs Omonia Nicosia: 3-1 3-1 ambosen Utrecht: 3-2 3-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Omonia Nicosia · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score3.1goals per match
2.5vs Celta Vigo: 1-0 1-0 vs Krasava Ypsonas: 4-1 4-1 ambosen Karmiotissa: 3-0 3-0 en Celje: 3-0 3-0 vs Olympiakos: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Benfica: 1-4 1-4 ambosen AEK Larnaca: 0-2 0-2 vs AEL: 2-0 2-0 at NEC Nijmegen: 1-3 1-3 ambosen Anorthosis: 2-0 2-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

NEC NijmegenOmonia Nicosia
1.4Goals scored per match1.6
1.9Goals conceded per match0.9
89%Matches with over 1.5 goals59%
72%Matches with over 2.5 goals41%
72%Both teams to score35%
6%Clean sheet47%
28%Matches without scoring29%
5.2Corners won per match4.3
1.5Yellow cards per match0.9

NEC Nijmegen: 18 matches · Omonia Nicosia: 17 matches (all competitions with data).

NEC Nijmegen at home · Omonia Nicosia away

NEC Nijmegen at home
1G5E3P
DDDDD
Omonia Nicosia away
3G1E3P
LWWWL

When do they score and concede?

NEC Nijmegen · goals by minute in 18 matches scored conceded
350-154516-3021031-454546-605661-757376-90
Omonia Nicosia · goals by minute in 17 matches scored conceded
410-154016-303531-455346-602261-759476-90

The first goal

NEC Nijmegen

Scores first in 5 of 17 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 12 and avoids defeat in 5.

Omonia Nicosia

Scores first in 9 of 15 matches and wins 9 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

NEC Nijmegen

Tjaronn Chery · 3 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Clement Bischoff · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Noe Lebreton · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Omonia Nicosia

J. Montnor · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

L. Diony · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Costa Ewandro · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Standings

UEFA Europa League standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Benfica4+1012
2Bournemouth4+912
3Ferencvarosi TC4+812
4Unión St. Gilloise4+810
5Juventus4+710
6Olympiakos Piraeus4+310
7Bayer Leverkusen4+79
8Beşiktaş4+37
9Dinamo Zagreb4+17
10Levski Sofia4+17
11Sunderland407
12NEC Nijmegen4-17
13Lyon4-17
14AZ Alkmaar4+36
15Anderlecht4+36
16OFI4+16
17Rennes4+16
18Omonia Nicosia4-16
19Torreense4-26
20Real Sociedad4+55
21Crystal Palace4+35
22Sparta Praha404
231899 Hoffenheim404
24Sturm Graz4-34
25Celje4-44
26Red Bull Salzburg4-54
27Celta Vigo4-23
28AC Milan4-33
29Jagiellonia4-33
30Plzen4-43
31Marseille4-43
32Celtic4-53
33Hapoel Beer Sheva4-71
34Lillestrom4-81
35Lech Poznan4-101
36Ararat-Armenia4-100

More stats

Referee: Goga Kikacheishvili

6 matches · 3.0 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties

Half-time

NEC Nijmegen: 5 days since last match · Omonia Nicosia: 5 days

NEC Nijmegen absences

M. Bakker, D. Geiger, I. Hansen-Aaroen, E. Mor, B. Nuytinck, P. Sandler, D. Tadic, A. Tahaui

Omonia Nicosia absences

C. Eiting, F. Kitsos, L. Nego

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 00:30 UTC.

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