PickManiaAI predictions

Home › Cyprus · 1. Division › Nea Salamis vs Omonia Aradippou

Nea Salamis vs Omonia Aradippou prediction

Cyprus · 1. Division
Nea Salamis badgeNea Salamis#10 · 8 ptsLDLLW
3 - 2Full time
Omonia Aradippou badgeOmonia Aradippou#13 · 6 ptsLLLLD

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ A. El Bouchataoui 10'⚽ B. Petrovic 31'⚽ S. Gonzalez 69'⚽ A. Panagiotou Filiotis 81'⚽ S. Grandsir 90'

Friday, November 6 · 12:00 (Peru time) · Ammochostos Stadium · Referee: Menelaos Antoniou

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Nea Salamis or draw

78%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+1⚽ S. GrandsirNea Salamis
90'+1🟨 S. GrandsirNea Salamis
85'🔁 Sub: J. Izquierdo · A. NikolaouOmonia Aradippou
85'🔁 Sub: M. Antoniou · C. MakossoOmonia Aradippou
81'⚽ A. Panagiotou FiliotisNea Salamis
70'🔁 Sub: A. El Bouchataoui · Mathias GonzalezOmonia Aradippou
69'⚽ S. GonzalezNea Salamis
65'🔁 Sub: D. Poveda · C. EvangelouNea Salamis
62'🟨 A. ChristofiOmonia Aradippou
58'🔁 Sub: B. Petrovic · G. PontikosOmonia Aradippou
58'🔁 Sub: S. Lomonaco · M. KoumourisOmonia Aradippou
46'🔁 Sub: C. Giousis · P. LoukaNea Salamis
46'🔁 Sub: K. Angielski · D. PovedaNea Salamis
44'❌ (missed pen.)Nea Salamis
42'🟨 B. PetrovicOmonia Aradippou
31'⚽ B. PetrovicOmonia Aradippou
20'🔁 Sub: G. Christodoulou · AldairNea Salamis
13'🔁 Sub: K. Ilia · A. Panagiotou FiliotisNea Salamis
10'⚽ A. El BouchataouiOmonia Aradippou

Win probability minute by minute

Nea SalamisDrawOmonia Aradippou
At kick-off46%32%22%Full time0%100%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

46%Nea Salamis to win@2.17
32%Draw@3.09
22%Omonia Aradippou to win@4.64
Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Both teams to score52%
Nea Salamis or draw78%
Omonia Aradippou or draw54%
Nea Salamis to score77%
Omonia Aradippou to score63%

Most likely scores

1-115%0-011%1-011%2-09%2-19%

Expected goals per the model: Nea Salamis 1.51 · Omonia Aradippou 0.99

How many goals will there be?

8%0 goals21%1 goals26%2 goals21%3 goals13%4 goals11%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.50.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 6.5 in total · Nea Salamis 3.0 · Omonia Aradippou 3.5

24%Over 8.5@4.10
17%Over 9.5@5.92
11%Over 10.5@8.84
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 1.5

9%Over 3.5@10.87
4%Over 4.5@26.30
1%Over 5.5@67.39

⏱️ First half

37% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.94

61%Goal in the 1st half@1.65
24%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@4.16
79%Goal in the 2st half@1.26

⚽ Goals per team

45%Nea Salamis +1.5@2.24
26%Omonia Aradippou +1.5@3.84
26%Nea Salamis to win to nil@3.82

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

Goals in the last 10 matches

Nea Salamis · last 9 matches
7/9+2.5 goals6/9both teams to score3.6goals per match
2.5en Olympiakos: 3-3 3-3 ambosvs AEK Larnaca: 1-4 1-4 ambosen AEL: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Anorthosis: 3-0 3-0 en Apoel Nicosia: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Apollon Limassol: 2-4 2-4 ambosvs Pafos: 0-0 0-0 en Omonia 29is Maiou: 0-1 0-1 vs Omonia Aradippou: 3-2 3-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Omonia Aradippou · last 10 matches
4/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.3goals per match
2.5en Ethnikos Achna: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Omonia Nicosia: 0-0 0-0 vs Krasava Ypsonas: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Karmiotissa: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Olympiakos: 1-1 1-1 ambosen AEK Larnaca: 0-1 0-1 vs AEL: 0-2 0-2 en Anorthosis: 0-2 0-2 vs Apoel Nicosia: 1-2 1-2 ambosat Nea Salamis: 2-3 2-3 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Nea SalamisOmonia Aradippou
1.4Goals scored per match0.6
2.0Goals conceded per match1.3
75%Matches with over 1.5 goals75%
75%Matches with over 2.5 goals25%
63%Both teams to score50%
25%Clean sheet13%
25%Matches without scoring50%
2.0Corners won per match5.0
0.8Yellow cards per match0.8

Nea Salamis: 8 matches · Omonia Aradippou: 8 matches (all competitions with data).

Nea Salamis at home · Omonia Aradippou away

Nea Salamis at home
1G1E1P
DWL
Omonia Aradippou away
0G2E2P
LLDDW

When do they score and concede?

Nea Salamis · goals by minute in 8 matches scored conceded
010-152416-303331-453346-601161-752476-90
Omonia Aradippou · goals by minute in 8 matches scored conceded
100-150116-300231-450046-602361-752476-90

The first goal

Nea Salamis

Scores first in 1 of 7 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 1.

Omonia Aradippou

Scores first in 2 of 7 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

Nea Salamis

S. Grandsir · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

D. Poveda · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

P. Louka · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Omonia Aradippou

B. Petrovic · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

G. Pontikos · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

3Nea Salamis to win
1Draws
2Omonia Aradippou to win

6 matches · 2.2 goals per match

Recent meetings
2025-04-07Omonia Aradippou 0-2 Nea Salamis1. Division
2025-03-01Nea Salamis 2-3 Omonia Aradippou1. Division
2024-12-01Omonia Aradippou 1-0 Nea Salamis1. Division
2022-04-17Nea Salamis 2-0 Omonia Aradippou2. Division
2021-12-11Omonia Aradippou 1-2 Nea Salamis2. Division
2020-07-29Nea Salamis 0-0 Omonia AradippouFriendlies Clubs

Standings

1. Division standings
#TeamPGDPts
1AEK Larnaca9+1120
2Omonia Nicosia9+1118
3AEL9018
4Apoel Nicosia9+1017
5Apollon Limassol9+1016
6Pafos9+616
7Aris9015
8Omonia 29is Maiou9-211
9Olympiakos9-19
10Nea Salamis9-48
11Anorthosis9-106
12Karmiotissa9-146
13Omonia Aradippou9-66
14Krasava Ypsonas9-115

More stats

Half-time

Nea Salamis: 5 days since last match · Omonia Aradippou: 5 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 19:30 UTC.

Get the AI Top Picks in your inbox

Every morning, the day's picks with their data. Free, and you can unsubscribe any time.