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Mushuc Runa SC vs Delfin SC prediction
Ecuador · Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa SC
Delfin SCPre-match probabilities
Monday, November 9 · 13:00 (Peru time) · Estadio del Mushuc Runa Sporting Club · Referee: Robert Cabrera
Mushuc Runa SC or draw
74%- At home, Mushuc Runa SC are 6W 7D 4L this season
- #11 in the table, Delfin SC #15
- Tufino is on fire: 2 goals in his last 5 matches
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Mushuc Runa SC 1.30 · Delfin SC 0.98
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.28.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.2 in total · Mushuc Runa SC 5.2 · Delfin SC 4.0
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 5.9 · el árbitro Robert Cabrera saca 6.4 por partido
⏱️ First half
49% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.11
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Mushuc Runa SC: 35 matches · Delfin SC: 35 matches (all competitions with data).
Mushuc Runa SC at home · Delfin SC away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 15 of 29 matches and wins 8 of them.
Concedes first in 14 and avoids defeat in 6.
Scores first in 13 of 33 matches and wins 7 of them.
Concedes first in 20 and avoids defeat in 6.
Players in form
Renso Tufino · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Miguel Perea · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Nazareno Bazán · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
Franco Ayunta · 4 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Danny Luna · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Maikel Reyes · 1 gol, 1 assists in 3 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.9 goals per match
| 2026-10-09 | Delfin SC 3-2 Mushuc Runa SC | Liga Pro |
| 2026-08-28 | Mushuc Runa SC 1-0 Delfin SC | Liga Pro |
| 2026-05-03 | Delfin SC 1-0 Mushuc Runa SC | Liga Pro |
| 2025-06-15 | Delfin SC 3-1 Mushuc Runa SC | Liga Pro |
| 2025-02-18 | Mushuc Runa SC 2-0 Delfin SC | Liga Pro |
| 2024-11-08 | Delfin SC 4-2 Mushuc Runa SC | Liga Pro |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | +40 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | +24 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | +5 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | +7 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | +7 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | -11 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | -25 | 21 |
More stats
41 matches · 6.2 yellows and 0.25 reds per match · 0.25 penalties
Mushuc Runa SC: 5 days since last match · Delfin SC: 9 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-09 20:30 UTC.