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MTK Budapest vs Budapest Honved prediction

Hungary · NB I

MTK Budapest#10 · 13 ptsLLWLL

2 - 2Full time

Budapest Honved#8 · 14 ptsWLWDL

33%32%35%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Alberto Mari 9'⚽ Gyorgy Komaromi 40' (p.p.)⚽ Gyorgy Komaromi 55'⚽ Kristof Hinora 83'

Saturday, November 7 · 10:45 (Peru time) · Hidegkúti Nándor Stadion

🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

79%

Partial data

2+ goals in 11 of 12 MTK Budapest matches
Also in 8 of 11 Budapest Honved matches
Head to head: 3.3 goals per match

⚡ Summary

35%Budapest Honved to win@2.84 54%Over 2.5 goals@1.85 61%Both teams to score@1.64 43%Corners +9.5 (9.2)@2.3546%Cards +4.5 (4.6)@2.161-1Most likely score · 14%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

84'🔁 Sub: Patrik Pinte · Branko PauljevićBudapest Honved

83'⚽ Kristof Hinora assist Milán Gábo KlauszMTK Budapest

83'🔁 Sub: Alberto Mari · Kevin Sydney KantorBudapest Honved

79'🔁 Sub: István Bognár · Milán Gábo KlauszMTK Budapest

79'🔁 Sub: Gyorgy Komaromi · Kristof HinoraMTK Budapest

77'🔁 Sub: Ádám Szamosi · Ákos ZuigeberBudapest Honved

63'🔁 Sub: Á Nyers · Mark Kerezsi ZalanMTK Budapest

62'🟨 Ádám SzamosiBudapest Honved

58'🟨 Á NyersMTK Budapest

55'⚽ Gyorgy KomaromiMTK Budapest

48'🟨 Reda EddarrajBudapest Honved

45'🟨 Benedek VarjuMTK Budapest

45'🔁 Sub: Csontos Dominik Zoltan · Reda EddarrajBudapest Honved

45'🔁 Sub: Soma Szuhodovszki · Adrian ZeljkovicMTK Budapest

43'🟨 I. PekárBudapest Honved

40'⚽ Gyorgy Komaromi (own goal)Budapest Honved

28'🟨 Gyorgy KomaromiMTK Budapest

16'🟨 Soma SzuhodovszkiMTK Budapest

9'⚽ Alberto Mari assist I. PekárBudapest Honved

Win probability minute by minute

MTK BudapestDrawBudapest Honved

At kick-off33%32%35%Full time0%100%0%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

33%MTK Budapest to win@3.02

32%Draw@3.16

35%Budapest Honved to win@2.84

Over 1.5 goals79%

Over 2.5 goals54%

Over 3.5 goals34%

Both teams to score61%

MTK Budapest or draw65%

Budapest Honved or draw67%

MTK Budapest to score76%

Budapest Honved to score77%

Most likely scores

1-114%0-08%1-28%2-17%2-27%

Expected goals per the model: MTK Budapest 1.43 · Budapest Honved 1.48

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.91.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.2 in total · MTK Budapest 4.5 · Budapest Honved 4.7

53%Over 8.5@1.88

43%Over 9.5@2.35

33%Over 10.5@3.02

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.6

63%Over 3.5@1.59

46%Over 4.5@2.16

32%Over 5.5@3.16

⏱️ First half

36% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.06

65%Goal in the 1st half@1.53

29%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.49

84%Goal in the 2st half@1.19

⚽ Goals per team

42%MTK Budapest +1.5@2.39

44%Budapest Honved +1.5@2.30

15%MTK Budapest to win to nil@6.63

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

1.48Expected goals (xG)1.03

5Shots on target3

2Saves2

3Offsides1

17Shots6

4Yellow cards3

5Corners2

15Fouls18

0Red cards0

61Possession %39

Goals in the last 10 matches

MTK Budapest · last 10 matches

8/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.1goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Budapest Honved · last 10 matches

5/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.7goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

MTK BudapestBudapest Honved

1.3Goals scored per match1.3

2.1Goals conceded per match1.6

92%Matches with over 1.5 goals73%

83%Matches with over 2.5 goals45%

58%Both teams to score64%

17%Clean sheet27%

25%Matches without scoring9%

4.0Corners won per match3.6

1.8Yellow cards per match2.5

MTK Budapest: 12 matches · Budapest Honved: 11 matches (all competitions with data).

MTK Budapest at home · Budapest Honved away

MTK Budapest at home

3G0E3P

WLLWL

Budapest Honved away

1G2E2P

WLLDD

When do they score and concede?

MTK Budapest · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded

Budapest Honved · goals by minute in 11 matches scored conceded

The first goal

MTK Budapest

Scores first in 5 of 12 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 1.

Budapest Honved

Scores first in 5 of 11 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 3.

Players in form

MTK Budapest

I. Bognar · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Gyorgy Komaromi · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Budapest Honved

K. Kallai · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Kevin Sydney Kantor · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

P. Pinte · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

4MTK Budapest to win

4Draws

2Budapest Honved to win

10 matches · 3.3 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-08-01	Budapest Honved 3-3 MTK Budapest	NB I
2024-07-13	MTK Budapest 4-3 Budapest Honved	Friendlies Clubs
2024-01-24	MTK Budapest 1-1 Budapest Honved	Friendlies Clubs
2022-03-12	MTK Budapest 1-0 Budapest Honved	NB I
2021-11-21	Budapest Honved 3-0 MTK Budapest	NB I
2021-08-07	MTK Budapest 1-0 Budapest Honved	NB I

Standings

NB I standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Puskas Academy	13	+3	24
2	Ferencvarosi TC	12	+12	23
3	Gyori ETO FC	13	+7	23
4	Debreceni VSC	13	+6	22
5	Paks	13	+2	20
6	Ujpest	13	+1	18
7	Vasas	13	+1	16
8	Budapest Honved	12	-3	14
9	Zalaegerszegi TE	13	-7	13
10	MTK Budapest	13	-9	13
11	Kisvarda FC	13	-3	12
12	Nyiregyhaza	13	-10	12

More stats

Half-time

MTK Budapest: 6 days since last match · Budapest Honved: 7 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 18:20 UTC.