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Montserrat vs Nicaragua prediction
International · Nations League Concacaf
Montserrat
NicaraguaProbabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo
Friday, November 13 · 19:00 (Peru time)
Over 1.5 goals
79%- 2+ goals in 4 of 4 Montserrat matches
- Also in 4 of 4 Nicaragua matches
- Head to head: 3.7 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
📝 Preview
Montserrat and Nicaragua meet in the Nations League Concacaf.
The PickMania model gives Montserrat a 74% chance of winning, 18% for the draw and 8% for Nicaragua.
3.1 total goals are expected (2.4 from Montserrat and 0.7 from Nicaragua): over 2.5 goals has a 58% chance and both teams to score 45%.
The most likely score is 2-0.
Probabilities
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Montserrat 2.40 · Nicaragua 0.69
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.09.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 5.8 in total · Montserrat 3.3 · Nicaragua 2.5
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 5.3
⏱️ First half
43% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.33
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Montserrat: 4 matches · Nicaragua: 4 matches (all competitions with data).
Montserrat at home · Nicaragua away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 4 of 4 matches and wins 4 of them.
Concedes first in 0 and avoids defeat in 0.
Scores first in 1 of 4 matches and wins 0 of them.
Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 0.
Players in form
Lyle Taylor · 4 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
ashley boatswain · 3 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
B. Barzey · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
J. J. Moreno Ciorciari · 2 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches
R. Cole · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
J. Perez · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
Head to head
3 matches · 3.7 goals per match
| 2024-06-06 | Nicaragua 4-1 Montserrat | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| 2023-10-17 | Nicaragua 3-0 Montserrat | CONCACAF Nations League |
| 2023-10-13 | Montserrat 0-3 Nicaragua | CONCACAF Nations League |
More stats
Montserrat: 38 days since last match · Nicaragua: 39 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.