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Mjallby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka prediction

International · UEFA Europa Conference League
Mjallby AIF badgeMjallby AIF#9 · 7 ptsDWLDL
2 - 0Full time
Borac Banja Luka badgeBorac Banja Luka#21 · 3 ptsWLWWL

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ J. Bergstrom 54'⚽ M. Enggaard 88'

Thursday, November 5 · 12:45 (Peru time) · Olympia · Referee: Gal Leibovitz

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Mjallby AIF to score

70%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

89'🔁 Sub: M. Deket · D. RomeraBorac Banja Luka
88'⚽ M. Enggaard assist A. SamuelsenMjallby AIF
84'🔁 Sub: S. Savic · S. VranjesBorac Banja Luka
81'🔁 Sub: J. Kjaer · I. HoffmannMjallby AIF
81'🔁 Sub: V. Gustafson · A. SamuelsenMjallby AIF
76'🔁 Sub: L. Juricic · D. VukovicBorac Banja Luka
65'🟨 A. HirosBorac Banja Luka
57'🔁 Sub: R. Arrhenius · M. EnggaardMjallby AIF
54'⚽ J. BergstromMjallby AIF
15'🟨 A. RoguljicBorac Banja Luka

Win probability minute by minute

Mjallby AIFDrawBorac Banja Luka
At kick-off39%30%31%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

39%Mjallby AIF to win@2.58
30%Draw@3.29
31%Borac Banja Luka to win@3.25
Over 1.5 goals67%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Both teams to score47%
Mjallby AIF or draw69%
Borac Banja Luka or draw61%
Mjallby AIF to score70%
Borac Banja Luka to score66%

Most likely scores

1-113%1-013%0-012%0-19%2-19%

Expected goals per the model: Mjallby AIF 1.21 · Borac Banja Luka 1.13

How many goals will there be?

10%0 goals23%1 goals26%2 goals21%3 goals12%4 goals9%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.34.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.5 in total · Mjallby AIF 5.2 · Borac Banja Luka 4.3

57%Over 8.5@1.76
46%Over 9.5@2.15
37%Over 10.5@2.72
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 5.1

71%Over 3.5@1.41
56%Over 4.5@1.80
40%Over 5.5@2.48

⏱️ First half

33% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.76

53%Goal in the 1st half@1.87
18%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@5.62
79%Goal in the 2st half@1.26

⚽ Goals per team

34%Mjallby AIF +1.5@2.93
31%Borac Banja Luka +1.5@3.21
22%Mjallby AIF to win to nil@4.46

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

5Shots on target4
11Shots15
16Fouls12
4Corners6
35Possession %65
0Yellow cards2
4Saves3
1.68Expected goals (xG)1.45

Goals in the last 10 matches

Mjallby AIF · last 10 matches
2/10+2.5 goals3/10both teams to score1.7goals per match
2.5vs Gais: 0-3 0-3 vs Degerfors IF: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Inter Club d'Escaldes: 2-0 2-0 en Vasteras SK FK: 0-1 0-1 en FC Iberia 1999: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Hammarby FF: 0-2 0-2 en Orgryte IS: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Kalmar FF: 0-0 0-0 vs Borac Banja Luka: 2-0 2-0 en IF Brommapojkarna: 0-0 0-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Borac Banja Luka · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score3.0goals per match
2.5en Levski Sofia: 0-4 0-4 vs Petrocub: 3-0 3-0 en Petrocub: 3-3 3-3 ambosvs ML Vitebsk: 1-0 1-0 en ML Vitebsk: 0-1 0-1 en Vikingur Reykjavik: 3-1 3-1 ambosvs Vikingur Reykjavik: 3-1 3-1 ambosen Panathinaikos: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs KuPS: 2-0 2-0 at Mjallby AIF: 0-2 0-2

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Mjallby AIFBorac Banja Luka
1.1Goals scored per match1.7
1.5Goals conceded per match1.3
77%Matches with over 1.5 goals80%
43%Matches with over 2.5 goals60%
43%Both teams to score50%
23%Clean sheet30%
46%Matches without scoring20%
4.4Corners won per match3.9
2.2Yellow cards per match2.9

Mjallby AIF: 35 matches · Borac Banja Luka: 10 matches (all competitions with data).

Mjallby AIF at home · Borac Banja Luka away

Mjallby AIF at home
5G3E10P
DLWDL
Borac Banja Luka away
1G1E3P
LWLDL

When do they score and concede?

Mjallby AIF · goals by minute in 31 matches scored conceded
460-155616-302231-45101346-6041061-7591076-90
Borac Banja Luka · goals by minute in 10 matches scored conceded
220-154216-300131-454446-602361-756276-90

The first goal

Mjallby AIF

Scores first in 10 of 28 matches and wins 6 of them.

Concedes first in 18 and avoids defeat in 6.

Borac Banja Luka

Scores first in 5 of 10 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

Mjallby AIF

Jeppe Kjaer Jensen · 0 goles, 2 assists in 4 matches

Jacob Bergstrom · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Tony Miettinen · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Borac Banja Luka

L. Juricic · 3 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches

M. Deket · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

M. Jojic · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Standings

UEFA Europa Conference League standings
#TeamPGDPts
1FC Lugano3+79
2Panathinaikos3+69
3Twente3+69
4Monaco3+69
5Brighton3+57
6Brann3+47
7FC Copenhagen3+47
8Universitatea Craiova3+47
9Mjallby AIF3+47
10St. Truiden3+37
11Ajax3+66
12Trabzonspor3+36
13HNK Hajduk Split3+16
14SC Freiburg3-16
15FK Crvena Zvezda304
16Atalanta304
17SC Braga3-14
18Gent3-14
19Riga303
20FC Thun303
21Borac Banja Luka3-13
22Lincoln Red Imps FC3-33
23FK Jablonec3-12
24Aarhus3-12
25FC Nordsjaelland3-22
26Egnatia Rrogozhinë3-22
27Kairat Almaty3-42
28CSKA Sofia3-21
29FC Iberia 19993-31
30Pafos3-41
31Getafe3-41
32Heart Of Midlothian3-41
33KuPS3-41
34FC Midtjylland3-61
35Inter Club d'Escaldes3-50
36Kauno Žalgiris3-100

More stats

Referee: G. Leibovitz

1 matches · 2.0 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties

Half-time

Mjallby AIF: 2 days since last match · Borac Banja Luka: 13 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 00:30 UTC.

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