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Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén prediction

Spain · Copa del Rey

Mijas Las Lagunas

1 - 2Full time

Real JaénL

25%26%49%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ F. Gallego 22'⚽ M. Keita 63'⚽ R. Perez 86'

Tuesday, November 10 · 14:00 (Peru time)

🎯 Model pick

Real Jaén to score

79%

Partial data

⚡ Summary

49%Real Jaén to win@2.05 50%Over 2.5 goals@1.99 52%Both teams to score@1.94 1-1Most likely score · 11%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+5🟨 Real Jaén

90'+3🟨 Real Jaén

90'+1🟨 O. LozanoReal Jaén

86'⚽ R. PerezMijas Las Lagunas

73'🔁 Sub: A. Appiah-Kubi · J. GamezMijas Las Lagunas

71'🔁 Sub: F. Gallego · M. CabelloReal Jaén

69'🟨 Real Jaén

68'🔁 Sub: Boris · D. CabanasMijas Las Lagunas

66'🟨 D. SerranoReal Jaén

64'🔁 Sub: N. Castillo · ChinoReal Jaén

64'🔁 Sub: P. Adri · D. RodriguezReal Jaén

63'⚽ M. KeitaReal Jaén

57'🔁 Sub: C. Jimenez · P. ArizaMijas Las Lagunas

57'🔁 Sub: R. Wagner · A. PeralMijas Las Lagunas

52'🟨 R. WagnerMijas Las Lagunas

42'🟨 A. CaballeroReal Jaén

39'🟨 C. JimenezMijas Las Lagunas

25'🟨 D. GomezReal Jaén

22'⚽ F. GallegoReal Jaén

Win probability minute by minute

Mijas Las LagunasDrawReal Jaén

At kick-off25%26%49%Full time0%0%100%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

25%Mijas Las Lagunas to win@3.99

26%Draw@3.83

49%Real Jaén to win@2.05

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals30%

Both teams to score52%

Mijas Las Lagunas or draw51%

Real Jaén or draw75%

Mijas Las Lagunas to score65%

Real Jaén to score79%

Most likely scores

1-111%0-111%0-09%1-29%0-28%

Expected goals per the model: Mijas Las Lagunas 1.12 · Real Jaén 1.65

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.77.

Corners, cards and first half

⚽ Goals per team

31%Mijas Las Lagunas +1.5@3.24

49%Real Jaén +1.5@2.04

13%Mijas Las Lagunas to win to nil@7.95

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Season comparison

Mijas Las LagunasReal Jaén

0.0Goals scored per match0.0

0.0Goals conceded per match0.0

0%Matches with over 1.5 goals0%

0%Matches with over 2.5 goals0%

0%Both teams to score0%

0%Clean sheet0%

0%Matches without scoring0%

Mijas Las Lagunas: 0 matches · Real Jaén: 0 matches (all competitions with data).

Mijas Las Lagunas at home · Real Jaén away

Mijas Las Lagunas at home

0G0E0P

Real Jaén away

0G0E0P

Head to head

1Mijas Las Lagunas to win

1Draws

0Real Jaén to win

2 matches · 2.5 goals per match

Recent meetings
2025-01-18	Mijas Las Lagunas 3-0 Real Jaén	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
2024-09-08	Real Jaén 1-1 Mijas Las Lagunas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

More stats

Half-time

Mijas Las Lagunas: – days since last match · Real Jaén: – days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-10 21:30 UTC.