Home › Spain · La Liga › Málaga vs Racing Santander
Málaga vs Racing Santander prediction
Spain · La Liga
Málaga
Racing SantanderPre-match probabilities
Saturday, 7 November · 08:00 (Peru time) · La Rosaleda · Referee: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos
Over 1.5 goals
79%- 2+ goals in 9 of 11 Málaga matches
- Also in 10 of 11 Racing Santander matches
- Picky expects 3.0 goals (1.4 - 1.5)
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Málaga 1.42 · Racing Santander 1.53
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.95.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 11.6 in total · Málaga 6.3 · Racing Santander 5.3
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 5.2 · el árbitro Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos saca 5.3 por partido
⏱️ First half
55% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.63
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Málaga: 11 matches · Racing Santander: 11 matches (all competitions with data).
Málaga at home · Racing Santander away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 2 of 10 matches and wins 0 of them.
Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 3.
Scores first in 3 of 11 matches and wins 1 of them.
Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 3.
Players in form
Adrian Nino · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
P. Martinez · 1 gol, 1 assists in 3 matches
R. Enriquez · 0 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches
Y. Zabiri · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
J. Belocian · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
I. Martin · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 1.9 goals per match
| 2026-05-24 | Málaga 1-1 Racing Santander | Segunda División |
| 2025-10-05 | Racing Santander 3-0 Málaga | Segunda División |
| 2025-02-01 | Racing Santander 2-1 Málaga | Segunda División |
| 2024-11-23 | Málaga 0-0 Racing Santander | Segunda División |
| 2023-03-05 | Málaga 0-1 Racing Santander | Segunda División |
| 2022-10-01 | Racing Santander 0-0 Málaga | Segunda División |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 12 | +35 | 33 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 12 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 | Atlético Madrid | 12 | +13 | 28 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | +5 | 26 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | +1 | 22 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 12 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 12 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Alavés | 12 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 12 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Getafe | 12 | -10 | 12 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 | Levante | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 | Elche | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 12 | -12 | 9 |
| 20 | Málaga | 12 | -14 | 5 |
More stats
16 matches · 5.0 yellows and 0.33 reds per match · 0.00 penalties
Málaga: 6 days since last match · Racing Santander: 5 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 15:30 UTC.