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Macara vs Universidad Catolica prediction
Ecuador · Liga Pro
Macara
Universidad CatolicaPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 11:15 (Peru time) · Estadio Bellavista · Referee: Juan Carlos Andrade Arreaga
Macara to score
74%- Macara scored in 34 of 44 matches this season
- Macara average 1.3 goals per match
- Universidad Catolica in poor form: 3 defeats in their last 5
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Macara 1.35 · Universidad Catolica 1.14
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.49.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.3 in total · Macara 4.8 · Universidad Catolica 4.5
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.9 · el árbitro Juan Carlos Andrade Arreaga saca 6.0 por partido
⏱️ First half
42% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.05
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Macara: 44 matches · Universidad Catolica: 37 matches (all competitions with data).
Macara at home · Universidad Catolica away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 25 of 39 matches and wins 20 of them.
Concedes first in 14 and avoids defeat in 7.
Scores first in 23 of 32 matches and wins 13 of them.
Concedes first in 9 and avoids defeat in 2.
Players in form
Franco Posse · 5 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
augustin campana · 3 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
M. Viera · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Luis Johan Moreno · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Azarias Londono · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
José Fajardo · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 3.0 goals per match
| 2026-10-11 | Universidad Catolica 0-1 Macara | Liga Pro |
| 2026-08-18 | Macara 1-1 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| 2026-04-24 | Universidad Catolica 4-0 Macara | Liga Pro |
| 2025-07-27 | Macara 1-4 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
| 2025-04-06 | Universidad Catolica 1-0 Macara | Liga Pro |
| 2024-11-30 | Macara 1-2 Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | +40 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | +24 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | +8 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | +5 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | +7 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | +7 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | -12 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | -11 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | -25 | 21 |
More stats
20 matches · 5.8 yellows and 0.25 reds per match · 0.00 penalties
Macara: 7 days since last match · Universidad Catolica: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 18:50 UTC.