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Londrina vs Nautico Recife prediction
Brazil · Serie B
Londrina
Nautico RecifeProbabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo
Wednesday, November 11 · 17:00 (Peru time) · Estadio do Cafe · Referee: Helena de Siqueira
Londrina or draw
84%- At home, Londrina are 6W 5D 9L this season
- Nautico Recife in poor form: 3 defeats in their last 5
- Head to head: 6W 2D 2L for Londrina
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
📝 Preview
Londrina and Nautico Recife meet in the Serie B.
The PickMania model gives Londrina a 58% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 16% for Nautico Recife.
3.0 total goals are expected (2.0 from Londrina and 1.0 from Nautico Recife): over 2.5 goals has a 57% chance and both teams to score 57%.
The most likely score is 1-1.
Probabilities
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Londrina 2.01 · Nautico Recife 1.02
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.03.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 11.0 in total · Londrina 5.2 · Nautico Recife 5.9
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 5.3
⏱️ First half
47% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.43
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Londrina: 40 matches · Nautico Recife: 37 matches (all competitions with data).
Londrina at home · Nautico Recife away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 15 of 35 matches and wins 9 of them.
Concedes first in 20 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 13 of 34 matches and wins 9 of them.
Concedes first in 21 and avoids defeat in 6.
Players in form
Joao Vitor · 2 goles, 0 assists in 1 matches
Igor Ruan Sousa dos Santos · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Willian Pottker · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
Benjamín Borasi · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
Luan Sales · 0 goles, 1 assists in 2 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.3 goals per match
| 2026-07-23 | Nautico Recife 2-1 Londrina | Serie B |
| 2025-08-10 | Londrina 0-2 Nautico Recife | Serie C |
| 2024-08-24 | Londrina 3-2 Nautico Recife | Serie C |
| 2022-07-23 | Nautico Recife 1-2 Londrina | Serie B |
| 2022-04-10 | Londrina 2-0 Nautico Recife | Serie B |
| 2021-09-22 | Nautico Recife 1-2 Londrina | Serie B |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 | Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 | CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 | Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 | Atlético Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 | Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 | Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 | América Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More stats
Londrina: 5 days since last match · Nautico Recife: 3 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.