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Llaneros vs Chico prediction
Colombia · Primera A
Llaneros
ChicoProbabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo
Thursday, November 12 · 16:00 (Peru time) · Estadio Bello Horizonte
Llaneros or draw
84%- At home, Llaneros are 6W 7D 5L this season
- #14 in the table, Chico #18
- Head to head: 3W 3D 4L for Llaneros
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
📝 Preview
Llaneros and Chico meet in the Primera A.
The PickMania model gives Llaneros a 55% chance of winning, 29% for the draw and 16% for Chico.
2.5 total goals are expected (1.7 from Llaneros and 0.8 from Chico): over 2.5 goals has a 45% chance and both teams to score 49%.
The most likely score is 1-1.
Probabilities
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Llaneros 1.69 · Chico 0.83
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.52.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.6 in total · Llaneros 4.9 · Chico 4.7
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 6.2
⏱️ First half
49% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.23
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Llaneros: 37 matches · Chico: 37 matches (all competitions with data).
Llaneros at home · Chico away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 15 of 32 matches and wins 9 of them.
Concedes first in 17 and avoids defeat in 6.
Scores first in 12 of 33 matches and wins 9 of them.
Concedes first in 21 and avoids defeat in 2.
Players in form
Jhon Vasquez · 1 gol, 1 assists in 3 matches
J. Escobar Salcedo · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
J. Castilla · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.3 goals per match
| 2026-05-27 | Chico 0-1 Llaneros | Copa Colombia |
| 2026-05-02 | Chico 3-0 Llaneros | Primera A |
| 2025-07-23 | Llaneros 2-1 Chico | Primera A |
| 2025-02-08 | Chico 2-2 Llaneros | Primera A |
| 2022-11-02 | Chico 3-0 Llaneros | Primera B |
| 2022-10-18 | Llaneros 1-0 Chico | Primera B |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Nacional | 19 | +20 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | +7 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | +4 | 34 |
| 4 | América de Cali | 19 | +10 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | +9 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | +10 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | +4 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | +8 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | +2 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | +6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | -17 | 10 |
More stats
Llaneros: 3 days since last match · Chico: 5 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 07:47 UTC.