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Llandudno vs The New Saints prediction

Wales · Premier League
Llandudno badgeLlandudno#10 · 16 ptsLLLLL
0 - 1Full time
The New Saints badgeThe New Saints#1 · 44 ptsDWWWW

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ J. Williams 52'

Friday, November 6 · 14:45 (Peru time) · Maesdu Park · Referee: C. Charlton-Fleming

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Over 2.5 goals

73%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

87'🟨 Llandudno
84'🔁 Sub: H. Bennett · M. CadwalladerLlandudno
73'🔁 Sub: I. Jefferies · A. WilsonThe New Saints
72'🔁 Sub: L. Higgins · C. MorrisLlandudno
72'🔁 Sub: M. Williams · N. FlintLlandudno
52'⚽ J. WilliamsThe New Saints
47'🟨 Llandudno
41'🟨 Llandudno

Win probability minute by minute

LlandudnoDrawThe New Saints
At kick-off4%8%88%Full time0%0%100%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

4%Llandudno to win@26.53
8%Draw@12.90
88%The New Saints to win@1.13
Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Over 3.5 goals53%
Both teams to score47%
Llandudno or draw12%
The New Saints or draw96%
Llandudno to score45%
The New Saints to score96%

Most likely scores

0-312%0-212%0-49%0-18%1-37%

Expected goals per the model: Llandudno 0.60 · The New Saints 3.27

How many goals will there be?

2%0 goals8%1 goals16%2 goals20%3 goals19%4 goals35%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.87.

Corners, cards and first half

⏱️ First half

48% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.85

84%Goal in the 1st half@1.19
55%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@1.81
87%Goal in the 2st half@1.15

⚽ Goals per team

12%Llandudno +1.5@8.20
84%The New Saints +1.5@1.19
2%Llandudno to win to nil@61.35

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Llandudno · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score3.1goals per match
2.5vs Ammanford AFC: 2-0 2-0 en Barry Town: 1-4 1-4 ambosvs Caernarfon Town: 1-1 1-1 ambosat The New Saints: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Cambrian & Clydach: 3-4 3-4 ambosvs Cardiff MET: 0-1 0-1 vs Airbus UK: 1-4 1-4 ambosen GAP Connah S Quay FC: 0-2 0-2 en Briton Ferry: 0-3 0-3 vs The New Saints: 0-1 0-1

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

The New Saints · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals3/10both teams to score4.1goals per match
2.5vs Barry Town: 1-0 1-0 en Airbus UK: 2-0 2-0 vs Flint Town United: 5-0 5-0 vs Llandudno: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Trefelin: 3-1 3-1 ambosvs Cambrian & Clydach: 9-0 9-0 en Holywell: 6-1 6-1 ambosvs Ammanford AFC: 9-0 9-0 vs GAP Connah S Quay FC: 0-0 0-0 at Llandudno: 1-0 1-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

LlandudnoThe New Saints
1.5Goals scored per match2.9
1.9Goals conceded per match0.6
93%Matches with over 1.5 goals68%
60%Matches with over 2.5 goals53%
53%Both teams to score32%
20%Clean sheet58%
27%Matches without scoring21%

Llandudno: 15 matches · The New Saints: 19 matches (all competitions with data).

Llandudno at home · The New Saints away

Llandudno at home
4G1E2P
LLDWW
The New Saints away
5G1E2P
WWWWW

When do they score and concede?

Llandudno · goals by minute in 15 matches scored conceded
250-152516-305631-453346-604461-756576-90
The New Saints · goals by minute in 19 matches scored conceded
700-157116-309631-457146-6011261-7514176-90

The first goal

Llandudno

Scores first in 7 of 15 matches and wins 5 of them.

Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 1.

The New Saints

Scores first in 13 of 17 matches and wins 13 of them.

Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

Llandudno

B. Maher · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

K. Lloyd · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

C. Stephens · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

The New Saints

R. Hughes · 6 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

B. Young · 6 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

J. Williams · 3 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

0Llandudno to win
0Draws
10The New Saints to win

10 matches · 4.4 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-09-19The New Saints 2-1 LlandudnoPremier League
2025-12-06The New Saints 2-1 LlandudnoLeague Cup
2019-03-02Llandudno 1-8 The New SaintsWelsh Cup
2018-12-22Llandudno 0-4 The New SaintsPremier League
2018-10-17The New Saints 6-1 LlandudnoPremier League
2017-11-17Llandudno 0-1 The New SaintsPremier League

Standings

Premier League standings
#TeamPGDPts
1The New Saints16+4844
2GAP Connah S Quay FC16+2538
3Penybont15+2136
4Colwyn Bay16+1032
5Airbus UK16+1030
6Caernarfon Town16+2129
7Barry Town16+629
8Cardiff MET16+625
9Cambrian & Clydach16-1519
10Llandudno16-716
11Haverfordwest County AFC16-1116
12Briton Ferry16-1115
13Flint Town United16-814
14Ammanford AFC16-3012
15Trefelin16-296
16Holywell15-362

More stats

Referee: C. Charlton-Fleming

9 matches · – yellows and – reds per match · 0.13 penalties

Half-time

Llandudno: 7 days since last match · The New Saints: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 22:20 UTC.

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