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Lithuania vs Suriname prediction

International · International friendlies

LithuaniaLWDWL

12:00Thu Nov 12

SurinameLDWWL

42%31%27%

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Thursday, November 12 · 12:00 (Peru time)

🎯 Model pick

Lithuania or draw

73%

Partial data

At home, Lithuania are 1W 1D 1L this season
Kucys is on fire: 2 goals in his last 5 matches

⚡ Summary

42%Lithuania to win@2.39 41%Over 2.5 goals@2.41 48%Both teams to score@2.10 1-1Most likely score · 13%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

Lithuania and Suriname meet in the International friendlies.

The PickMania model gives Lithuania a 42% chance of winning, 31% for the draw and 27% for Suriname.

2.4 total goals are expected (1.4 from Lithuania and 1.0 from Suriname): over 2.5 goals has a 41% chance and both teams to score 48%.

The most likely score is 1-1.

Probabilities

42%Lithuania to win@2.39

31%Draw@3.24

27%Suriname to win@3.66

Over 1.5 goals67%

Over 2.5 goals41%

Over 3.5 goals22%

Both teams to score48%

Lithuania or draw73%

Suriname or draw58%

Lithuania to score72%

Suriname to score63%

Most likely scores

1-113%0-012%1-011%0-19%2-08%

Expected goals per the model: Lithuania 1.35 · Suriname 1.02

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.37.

Corners, cards and first half

⚽ Goals per team

39%Lituania +1.5@2.56

27%Suriname +1.5@3.68

25%Lithuania to win to nil@4.04

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Lithuania · last 7 matches

1/7+2.5 goals1/7both teams to score1.7goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Suriname · last 4 matches

2/4+2.5 goals2/4both teams to score2.3goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

LithuaniaSuriname

1.3Goals scored per match0.0

0.7Goals conceded per match0.0

83%Matches with over 1.5 goals0%

17%Matches with over 2.5 goals0%

17%Both teams to score0%

50%Clean sheet0%

33%Matches without scoring0%

Lithuania: 6 matches · Suriname: 0 matches (all competitions with data).

Lithuania at home · Suriname away

Lithuania at home

1G1E1P

WDLD

Suriname away

0G0E0P

When do they score and concede?

Lithuania · goals by minute in 6 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Lithuania

Scores first in 4 of 6 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Lithuania

A. Kucys · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

F. Steponavicius · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

M. Ruzgis · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches

Suriname

G. Kerk · 1 gol, 2 assists in 4 matches

J. Lonwijk · 2 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches

D. Jubitana · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

More stats

Half-time

Lithuania: 39 days since last match · Suriname: 37 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 06:47 UTC.