PickManiaAI predictions

Home › Northern Ireland · Premiership › Linfield vs Coleraine FC

Linfield vs Coleraine FC prediction

Northern Ireland · Premiership
Linfield badgeLinfield#1 · 36 ptsDWWDW
3 - 0Full time
Coleraine FC badgeColeraine FC#2 · 35 ptsDWWWW

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ R. Brennan 42'⚽ A. Frizzell 52'⚽ K. Nelson 73'

Saturday, November 7 · 13:00 (Peru time) · Windsor Park

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Coleraine FC to score

77%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

88'🔁 Sub: B. Hall · R. NolanLinfield
88'🔁 Sub: A. Frizzell · D. WellsLinfield
87'🟨 A. FrizzellLinfield
81'🔁 Sub: K. Nelson · J. MulgrewLinfield
74'🔁 Sub: M. Fitzpatrick · K. MooreLinfield
74'🔁 Sub: R. Brennan · K. MillarLinfield
73'⚽ K. NelsonLinfield
68'🔁 Sub: W. Patching · J. HendersonColeraine FC
58'🟨 D. McCulloughLinfield
54'🔁 Sub: M. Shevlin · J. ThomsonColeraine FC
54'🔁 Sub: B. Wylie · D. BoyleColeraine FC
54'🔁 Sub: F. Tonks · A. BrooksColeraine FC
54'🔁 Sub: R. McDonald · L. McGregorColeraine FC
52'⚽ A. FrizzellLinfield
42'⚽ R. BrennanLinfield
30'🟨 C. StewartColeraine FC
20'🟨 B. HallLinfield

Win probability minute by minute

LinfieldDrawColeraine FC
At kick-off26%32%42%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

26%Linfield to win@3.79
32%Draw@3.16
42%Coleraine FC to win@2.38
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams to score56%
Linfield or draw58%
Coleraine FC or draw74%
Linfield to score68%
Coleraine FC to score77%

Most likely scores

1-115%0-010%0-19%1-28%0-27%

Expected goals per the model: Linfield 1.16 · Coleraine FC 1.50

How many goals will there be?

7%0 goals19%1 goals25%2 goals22%3 goals15%4 goals13%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.66.

Corners, cards and first half

⏱️ First half

40% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.07

66%Goal in the 1st half@1.52
29%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.45
80%Goal in the 2st half@1.26

⚽ Goals per team

32%Linfield +1.5@3.10
44%Coleraine FC +1.5@2.26
13%Linfield to win to nil@7.58

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Linfield · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.5goals per match
2.5en Dungannon Swifts: 1-0 1-0 en Portadown: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Crusaders FC: 1-0 1-0 at Coleraine FC: 3-1 3-1 ambosvs Bangor: 2-0 2-0 en Carrick Rangers: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Larne: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Portadown: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Dungannon Swifts: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Coleraine FC: 3-0 3-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Coleraine FC · last 10 matches
7/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.4goals per match
2.5vs Ballymena United: 3-2 3-2 ambosen Glentoran: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Limavady United: 1-0 1-0 vs Linfield: 1-3 1-3 ambosen Bangor: 3-2 3-2 ambosvs Cliftonville FC: 1-0 1-0 en Larne: 3-2 3-2 ambosen Crusaders FC: 5-0 5-0 vs Glentoran: 1-1 1-1 ambosat Linfield: 0-3 0-3

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

LinfieldColeraine FC
1.4Goals scored per match2.0
0.9Goals conceded per match1.3
69%Matches with over 1.5 goals81%
44%Matches with over 2.5 goals69%
50%Both teams to score50%
38%Clean sheet38%
13%Matches without scoring19%

Linfield: 16 matches · Coleraine FC: 16 matches (all competitions with data).

Linfield at home · Coleraine FC away

Linfield at home
5G2E1P
DWWWW
Coleraine FC away
7G0E1P
WWWWW

When do they score and concede?

Linfield · goals by minute in 16 matches scored conceded
310-154316-302031-458446-602261-754476-90
Coleraine FC · goals by minute in 16 matches scored conceded
640-155216-305231-455546-604161-757776-90

The first goal

Linfield

Scores first in 12 of 16 matches and wins 8 of them.

Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 2.

Coleraine FC

Scores first in 10 of 15 matches and wins 9 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

Linfield

M. Fitzpatrick · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

R. Brennan · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

K. Moore · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Coleraine FC

J. Cooper · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

M. Shevlin · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

B. Wylie · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

3Linfield to win
3Draws
4Coleraine FC to win

10 matches · 3.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-09-25Coleraine FC 1-3 LinfieldPremiership
2026-04-18Linfield 0-3 Coleraine FCPremiership
2025-12-30Coleraine FC 3-1 LinfieldPremiership
2025-11-08Linfield 1-1 Coleraine FCPremiership
2025-10-28Coleraine FC 2-2 LinfieldPremiership
2025-04-26Coleraine FC 1-0 LinfieldPremiership

Standings

Premiership standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Linfield15+1336
2Coleraine FC15+1635
3Larne13+1026
4Glentoran14+622
5Cliftonville FC15+821
6Carrick Rangers15-419
7Dungannon Swifts14-418
8Crusaders FC15-1018
9Ballymena United13+116
10Limavady United15-1014
11Bangor15-1312
12Portadown15-139

More stats

Half-time

Linfield: 7 days since last match · Coleraine FC: 7 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 20:30 UTC.

Get the AI Top Picks in your inbox

Every morning, the day's picks with their data. Free, and you can unsubscribe any time.