Home › Norway · Eliteserien › Lillestrom vs Aalesund
Lillestrom vs Aalesund prediction
Norway · Eliteserien
Lillestrom
AalesundPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 11:00 (Peru time) · Åråsen Stadion · Referee: Stian Rovig Sletner
Lillestrom or draw
80%- Aalesund in poor form: 3 defeats in their last 5
- #4 in the table, Aalesund #15
- Head to head: 6W 2D 2L for Lillestrom
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Lillestrom 2.37 · Aalesund 1.45
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.82.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 11.9 in total · Lillestrom 6.5 · Aalesund 5.5
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.9 · el árbitro Stian Rovig Sletner saca 3.9 por partido
⏱️ First half
46% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.77
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Lillestrom: 31 matches · Aalesund: 25 matches (all competitions with data).
Lillestrom at home · Aalesund away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 12 of 29 matches and wins 11 of them.
Concedes first in 17 and avoids defeat in 5.
Scores first in 12 of 25 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 13 and avoids defeat in 6.
Players in form
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Felix Vá · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Fredrik Gulbrandsen · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Mathias Christensen · 4 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches
Marcus Haagensen Reed · 2 goles, 3 assists in 3 matches
E. Hagen · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 3.6 goals per match
| 2026-03-15 | Aalesund 1-3 Lillestrom | Eliteserien |
| 2025-08-10 | Lillestrom 5-1 Aalesund | 1. Division |
| 2025-03-31 | Aalesund 2-2 Lillestrom | 1. Division |
| 2023-09-03 | Aalesund 1-1 Lillestrom | Eliteserien |
| 2023-07-19 | Lillestrom 5-1 Aalesund | Eliteserien |
| 2022-11-06 | Aalesund 2-1 Lillestrom | Eliteserien |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 26 | +42 | 62 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 26 | +40 | 62 |
| 3 | Rosenborg | 26 | +21 | 46 |
| 4 | Lillestrom | 26 | +4 | 45 |
| 5 | Molde | 26 | +20 | 44 |
| 6 | Tromso | 26 | +3 | 40 |
| 7 | Brann | 26 | +3 | 33 |
| 8 | Valerenga | 26 | -4 | 32 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 26 | -10 | 31 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 26 | -13 | 31 |
| 11 | Ham-Kam | 26 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 | Fredrikstad | 26 | -15 | 30 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 26 | -8 | 28 |
| 14 | Kristiansund BK | 26 | -21 | 26 |
| 15 | Aalesund | 26 | -15 | 24 |
| 16 | Start | 26 | -32 | 19 |
More stats
26 matches · 3.8 yellows and 0.07 reds per match · 0.29 penalties
Lillestrom: 2 days since last match · Aalesund: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 18:30 UTC.