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Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan prediction

International · UEFA Nations League

Liechtenstein#3 · 1 ptsLDLLL

14:45Fri Nov 13

Azerbaijan#1 · 5 ptsWDDWW

8%19%73%

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Friday, November 13 · 14:45 (Peru time)

🎯 Model pick

Azerbaijan to score

84%

Partial data

Azerbaijan scored in 4 of 6 matches this season
Liechtenstein concede 1.7 goals per match
Liechtenstein kept a clean sheet in only 1 of 6

⚡ Summary

73%Azerbaijan to win@1.37 41%Over 2.5 goals@2.42 29%Both teams to score@3.41 17%Corners +9.5 (6.6)@5.7840%Cards +4.5 (4.2)@2.510-1Most likely score · 19%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

Liechtenstein and Azerbaijan meet in the UEFA Nations League.

The PickMania model gives Liechtenstein a 8% chance of winning, 19% for the draw and 73% for Azerbaijan.

2.4 total goals are expected (0.4 from Liechtenstein and 1.9 from Azerbaijan): over 2.5 goals has a 41% chance and both teams to score 29%.

The most likely score is 0-1.

Probabilities

8%Liechtenstein to win@12.71

19%Draw@5.22

73%Azerbaijan to win@1.37

Over 1.5 goals66%

Over 2.5 goals41%

Over 3.5 goals22%

Both teams to score29%

Liechtenstein or draw27%

Azerbaijan or draw92%

Liechtenstein to score34%

Azerbaijan to score84%

Most likely scores

0-119%0-217%0-311%0-011%1-17%

Expected goals per the model: Liechtenstein 0.43 · Azerbaijan 1.93

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.36.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 6.6 in total · Liechtenstein 1.4 · Azerbaijan 5.2

25%Over 8.5@4.02

17%Over 9.5@5.78

12%Over 10.5@8.61

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.2

57%Over 3.5@1.76

40%Over 4.5@2.51

26%Over 5.5@3.85

⏱️ First half

43% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.01

64%Goal in the 1st half@1.57

27%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.73

74%Goal in the 2st half@1.35

⚽ Goals per team

7%Liechtenstein +1.5@14.33

57%Azerbaiyán +1.5@1.74

5%Liechtenstein to win to nil@18.48

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Liechtenstein · last 6 matches

0/6+2.5 goals0/6both teams to score1.7goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Azerbaijan · last 6 matches

1/6+2.5 goals2/6both teams to score1.5goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

LiechtensteinAzerbaijan

0.0Goals scored per match0.8

1.7Goals conceded per match0.7

83%Matches with over 1.5 goals50%

0%Matches with over 2.5 goals17%

0%Both teams to score33%

17%Clean sheet50%

100%Matches without scoring33%

0.8Corners won per match3.5

1.7Yellow cards per match2.5

Liechtenstein: 6 matches · Azerbaijan: 6 matches (all competitions with data).

Liechtenstein at home · Azerbaijan away

Liechtenstein at home

0G0E3P

LLL

Azerbaijan away

0G1E0P

When do they score and concede?

Liechtenstein · goals by minute in 6 matches scored conceded

Azerbaijan · goals by minute in 6 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Liechtenstein

Scores first in 0 of 5 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 0.

Azerbaijan

Scores first in 2 of 5 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

Liechtenstein

Sin datos

Azerbaijan

T. Mutallimov · 0 goles, 2 assists in 2 matches

Toral Bayramov · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Abdulakh Khaybulaev · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

0Liechtenstein to win

1Draws

0Azerbaijan to win

1 matches · 0.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-10-01	Azerbaijan 0-0 Liechtenstein	UEFA Nations League

Standings

UEFA Nations League standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Azerbaijan	3	+1	5
2	Lithuania	3	+1	4
3	Liechtenstein	2	-2	1

More stats

Half-time

Liechtenstein: 39 days since last match · Azerbaijan: 40 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.