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Libertad vs Emelec prediction

Ecuador · Liga Pro
Libertad badgeLibertad#7 · 41 ptsDLWWW
0 - 1Full time
Emelec badgeEmelec#10 · 39 ptsLLWLL
⚽ Teodoro Arce 54'

Saturday, November 7 · 14:00 (Peru time) · Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne · Referee: Eloy Vicente Beltran Moreira

Minuto a minuto

90'+5🔁 Sub: Luis Gómez · Ibrain Angelis Cuero MercadoEmelec
88'🔁 Sub: Juan Pablo·Ruiz Gomez · Angelo MinaEmelec
88'🔁 Sub: Teodoro Arce · Gonzalo NápoliEmelec
86'🟨 Aníbal LeguizamónEmelec
81'🔁 Sub: Vilinton German Branda Merlin · Hancel BatallaLibertad
81'🔁 Sub: cristhian valencia · Carlos OrejuelaLibertad
78'🟨 Alexander ArboledaEmelec
77'🟨 Ezequiel Luis MedránEmelec
77'📺 Alexander ArboledaEmelec
71'📺 Jose Francisco CevallosEmelec
69'🔁 Sub: Luca Klimowicz · Alexander ArboledaEmelec
64'🔁 Sub: Jostin Bravo · Edu PinedaLibertad
64'🔁 Sub: Bryan Caicedo · Jawer GuisamanoLibertad
59'🟨 Jackson RodriguezLibertad
56'🔁 Sub: Enrique Rafael Caicedo Borja · Antony ChereLibertad
54'⚽ Teodoro Arce assist Juan Pablo·Ruiz GomezEmelec

Match stats

0.72Expected goals (xG)2.27
5Shots on target7
5Saves5
1Offsides3
14Shots17
1Yellow cards2
5Corners3
0Red cards0
13Fouls12
52Possession %48

Goals in the last 10 matches

Libertad · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.5goals per match
2.5en Aucas: 0-1 0-1 vs Emelec: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Deportivo Cuenca: 1-0 1-0 vs Independiente del Valle: 2-3 2-3 ambosat Emelec: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Leones del Norte: 3-0 3-0 vs Guayaquil City FC: 4-0 4-0 en Leones del Norte: 1-4 1-4 ambosen Guayaquil City FC: 0-0 0-0 vs Emelec: 0-1 0-1

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Emelec · last 10 matches
4/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score2.3goals per match
2.5vs Leones del Norte: 2-1 2-1 ambosat Libertad: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Manta FC: 1-0 1-0 en Macara: 0-1 0-1 vs Libertad: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Guayaquil City FC: 2-3 2-3 ambosen Leones del Norte: 3-1 3-1 ambosvs Guayaquil City FC: 0-1 0-1 vs Leones del Norte: 0-2 0-2 at Libertad: 1-0 1-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Standings

Liga Pro standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Independiente del Valle30+4074
2Universidad Catolica30+2451
3Macara30+851
4Aucas30+550
5LDU de Quito30+746
6Barcelona SC30+744
7Libertad30-141
8Leones del Norte30-139
9Guayaquil City FC30-339
10Emelec30-939
11Mushuc Runa SC30-338
12Deportivo Cuenca30-1236
13Orense SC30-1133
14Tecnico Universitario30-1432
15Delfin SC30-1228
16Manta FC30-2521

More stats

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 07:50 UTC.

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