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Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa prediction
Poland · Ekstraklasa
Legia Warszawa
Raków CzęstochowaPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 11:30 (Peru time) · Polish Army Stadium · Referee: Jaroslaw Przybyl
Legia Warszawa to score
84%- Legia Warszawa scored in 12 of 13 matches this season
- Legia Warszawa average 1.8 goals per match
- Raków Częstochowa concede 1.8 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Legia Warszawa 1.86 · Raków Częstochowa 1.12
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.98.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.1 in total · Legia Warszawa 4.8 · Raków Częstochowa 4.4
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.9 · el árbitro Jaroslaw Przybyl saca 4.2 por partido
⏱️ First half
43% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.28
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Legia Warszawa: 13 matches · Raków Częstochowa: 19 matches (all competitions with data).
Legia Warszawa at home · Raków Częstochowa away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 9 of 12 matches and wins 5 of them.
Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 2.
Scores first in 6 of 18 matches and wins 2 of them.
Concedes first in 12 and avoids defeat in 5.
Players in form
Rafał Augustyniak · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
P. Wszolek · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
R. Adamski · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Lamine Diaby Fadiga · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Patryk Makuch · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
B. Mircetic · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.3 goals per match
| 2026-03-22 | Legia Warszawa 1-1 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
| 2025-09-20 | Raków Częstochowa 1-1 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| 2025-03-16 | Raków Częstochowa 3-2 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| 2024-09-15 | Legia Warszawa 0-1 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
| 2024-04-13 | Raków Częstochowa 1-1 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| 2023-10-08 | Legia Warszawa 1-2 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 13 | +21 | 32 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 14 | +11 | 31 |
| 3 | Legia Warszawa | 14 | +10 | 24 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 5 | Wisla Krakow | 14 | +3 | 24 |
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 14 | +1 | 23 |
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 14 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 | GKS Katowice | 14 | +5 | 21 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia | 13 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Motor Lublin | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 14 | -7 | 18 |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 13 | -7 | 15 |
| 13 | Widzew Łódź | 14 | +1 | 14 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 14 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Cracovia Krakow | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 16 | Raków Częstochowa | 14 | -8 | 12 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 14 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 | Wieczysta Kraków | 14 | -10 | 8 |
More stats
11 matches · 4.0 yellows and 0.17 reds per match · 0.50 penalties
Legia Warszawa: 8 days since last match · Raków Częstochowa: 5 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 19:00 UTC.