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Le Mans vs Monaco prediction
France · Ligue 1
Le Mans
MonacoPre-match probabilities
Sunday, 8 November · 11:15 (Peru time) · MMArena · Referee: Bastein Dechepy
Monaco or draw
84%- Away, Monaco are 4W 1D 2L this season
- Le Mans in poor form: 3 defeats in their last 5
- #7 in the table, Le Mans #15
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Le Mans 0.90 · Monaco 1.79
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.69.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 8.8 in total · Le Mans 3.9 · Monaco 4.8
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.5
⏱️ First half
42% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.14
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Le Mans: 9 matches · Monaco: 14 matches (all competitions with data).
Le Mans at home · Monaco away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 4 of 9 matches and wins 1 of them.
Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 9 of 14 matches and wins 8 of them.
Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 3.
Players in form
Adil Bourabaa · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches
L. Mafouta · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Habibou Diallo · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
M. Detourbet · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
M. Abline · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Edan Diop · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
4 matches · 3.3 goals per match
| 2013-05-17 | Monaco 2-1 Le Mans | Ligue 2 |
| 2012-12-22 | Le Mans 2-3 Monaco | Ligue 2 |
| 2012-03-30 | Le Mans 0-1 Monaco | Ligue 2 |
| 2011-11-05 | Monaco 2-2 Le Mans | Ligue 2 |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 10 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille | 10 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Marseille | 10 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | Lyon | 10 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 | Nice | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 | Monaco | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Rennes | 10 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | +6 | 15 |
| 10 | Lorient | 10 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 | Lens | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 10 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 10 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 10 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 10 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers | 10 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 10 | -10 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 10 | -13 | 2 |
More stats
1 matches · 4.0 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 2.00 penalties
Le Mans: 7 days since last match · Monaco: 2 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 18:50 UTC.