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Le Havre vs Lorient prediction
France · Ligue 1
Le Havre
LorientPre-match probabilities
Sunday, 8 November · 11:15 (Peru time) · Stade Océane · Referee: Aurelien Petit
Lorient to score
72%- Lorient scored in 6 of 9 matches this season
- Le Havre concede 2.2 goals per match
- Le Havre kept a clean sheet in only 1 of 9
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Le Havre 1.19 · Lorient 1.30
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.49.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.4 in total · Le Havre 5.3 · Lorient 4.1
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 2.9 · el árbitro Aurelien Petit saca 3.0 por partido
⏱️ First half
32% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.80
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Le Havre: 9 matches · Lorient: 9 matches (all competitions with data).
Le Havre at home · Lorient away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 2 of 8 matches and wins 0 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 0.
Scores first in 4 of 7 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 0.
Players in form
Josh Maja · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Rayan Fofana · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
A. Samatta · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Isak Jensen · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
N. Cadiou · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
G. Bernardeau · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
9 matches · 2.9 goals per match
| 2026-05-17 | Lorient 0-2 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Le Havre 1-1 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-01-28 | Lorient 3-3 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-09-03 | Le Havre 3-0 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-07-29 | Le Havre 0-2 Lorient | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2023-07-29 | Lorient 2-0 Le Havre | Friendlies Clubs |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 10 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille | 10 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Marseille | 10 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | Lyon | 10 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 | Nice | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 | Monaco | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Rennes | 10 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | +6 | 15 |
| 10 | Lorient | 10 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 | Lens | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 10 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 | Strasbourg | 10 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 10 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 10 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers | 10 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 10 | -10 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 10 | -13 | 2 |
More stats
7 matches · 3.0 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.50 penalties
Le Havre: 8 days since last match · Lorient: 5 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 18:50 UTC.