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KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi prediction
Belgium · Jupiler Pro League
KVC Westerlo
CharleroiPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 10:00 (Peru time) · Het Kuipje · Referee: Wesli De Cremer
Over 1.5 goals
84%- 2+ goals in 10 of 10 KVC Westerlo matches
- Also in 7 of 10 Charleroi matches
- Head to head: 3.0 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: KVC Westerlo 1.60 · Charleroi 1.75
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.35.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.6 in total · KVC Westerlo 4.0 · Charleroi 5.6
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.7 · el árbitro W. De Cremer saca 4.3 por partido
⏱️ First half
48% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.60
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
KVC Westerlo: 10 matches · Charleroi: 10 matches (all competitions with data).
KVC Westerlo at home · Charleroi away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 7 of 10 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 8 of 10 matches and wins 8 of them.
Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 0.
Players in form
N. Bassette · 5 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
C. Sandra · 2 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
S. Saito · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Aurélien Scheidler · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Freddy Mbemba · 2 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 3.0 goals per match
| 2026-05-16 | Charleroi 0-1 KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2026-04-05 | KVC Westerlo 2-0 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2026-02-22 | KVC Westerlo 2-1 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2025-11-08 | Charleroi 2-0 KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2025-05-09 | Charleroi 4-3 KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2025-04-11 | KVC Westerlo 2-2 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Unión St. Gilloise | 11 | +23 | 29 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 11 | +18 | 28 |
| 3 | Gent | 11 | +14 | 28 |
| 4 | Charleroi | 11 | +13 | 27 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 11 | +2 | 20 |
| 6 | Lommel United | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 | Genk | 11 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 | Standard Liege | 11 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | KVC Westerlo | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | OH Leuven | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 | KV Mechelen | 11 | -7 | 12 |
| 12 | St. Truiden | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 11 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Zulte Waregem | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | SK Beveren | 11 | -10 | 10 |
| 16 | Cercle Brugge | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 | RAAL La Louvière | 11 | -11 | 7 |
| 18 | Kortrijk | 11 | -19 | 4 |
More stats
13 matches · 4.2 yellows and 0.17 reds per match · 0.17 penalties
KVC Westerlo: 6 days since last match · Charleroi: 5 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 17:30 UTC.