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Kudrivka vs Chornomorets prediction

Ukraine · Premier League

Kudrivka#15 · 8 ptsLLWLL

1 - 0Full time

Chornomorets#11 · 9 ptsWDLLD

28%33%39%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Yevgeniy Smyrnyi 9'

Saturday, November 7 · 06:00 (Peru time) · Obolon Arena · Referee: Klim Zabroda

🎯 Model pick

Chornomorets to score

73%

Partial data

Kudrivka concede 2.6 goals per match
Kudrivka kept a clean sheet in only 2 of 11
Kudrivka in poor form: 4 defeats in their last 5

⚡ Summary

39%Chornomorets to win@2.57 43%Over 2.5 goals@2.35 51%Both teams to score@1.96 40%Corners +9.5 (8.9)@2.5249%Cards +4.5 (4.7)@2.051-1Most likely score · 15%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+1🟨 Roman GrygorchukChornomorets

90'🟨 Kiril·PopovChornomorets

89'🟨 Maksym MelnychenkoChornomorets

81'🟨 Myroslav SerdyukKudrivka

80'🔁 Sub: Vasyl Kurko · Artur AvagimyanChornomorets

79'🔁 Sub: Rodion Plaksa · Yuriy PotimkovKudrivka

71'🔁 Sub: Denys Svityukha · Kostyantyn BychekKudrivka

71'🔁 Sub: Yevgeniy Smyrnyi · Faites Prévu Kaya MakossoKudrivka

69'🟨 Jerry YokaChornomorets

61'🔁 Sub: Christian Mba · Kiril·PopovChornomorets

45'🔁 Sub: Dmytro Semenov · Myroslav SerdyukKudrivka

45'🔁 Sub: Mykola Vechurko · Oleksandr BeljaevKudrivka

45'🔁 Sub: giorgi robakidze · Dmytro KlyotsChornomorets

45'🔁 Sub: Muhammed Jobe · Jerry YokaChornomorets

45'🔁 Sub: Mykola Kogut · Andriy KhomaChornomorets

43'🟨 Denys SvityukhaKudrivka

21'🟨 giorgi robakidzeChornomorets

9'⚽ Yevgeniy Smyrnyi assist Denys SvityukhaKudrivka

Win probability minute by minute

KudrivkaDrawChornomorets

At kick-off28%33%39%Full time100%0%0%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

28%Kudrivka to win@3.58

33%Draw@3.02

39%Chornomorets to win@2.57

Over 1.5 goals70%

Over 2.5 goals43%

Over 3.5 goals23%

Both teams to score51%

Kudrivka or draw61%

Chornomorets or draw72%

Kudrivka to score66%

Chornomorets to score73%

Most likely scores

1-115%0-012%0-110%1-08%1-28%

Expected goals per the model: Kudrivka 1.09 · Chornomorets 1.32

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.41.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 8.9 in total · Kudrivka 4.8 · Chornomorets 4.1

50%Over 8.5@2.00

40%Over 9.5@2.52

30%Over 10.5@3.29

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.7

65%Over 3.5@1.53

49%Over 4.5@2.05

34%Over 5.5@2.95

⏱️ First half

48% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.14

68%Goal in the 1st half@1.47

32%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.15

72%Goal in the 2st half@1.39

⚽ Goals per team

30%Kudrivka +1.5@3.36

38%Chornomorets +1.5@2.63

16%Kudrivka to win to nil@6.45

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

2Corners4

2Yellow cards4

2Shots on target5

0Red cards0

56Possession %44

3Shots8

Goals in the last 10 matches

Kudrivka · last 10 matches

8/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.5goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Chornomorets · last 10 matches

3/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score1.8goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

KudrivkaChornomorets

1.0Goals scored per match0.8

2.6Goals conceded per match1.2

82%Matches with over 1.5 goals70%

82%Matches with over 2.5 goals40%

64%Both teams to score50%

18%Clean sheet30%

36%Matches without scoring40%

4.0Corners won per match2.7

2.7Yellow cards per match1.7

Kudrivka: 11 matches · Chornomorets: 10 matches (all competitions with data).

Kudrivka at home · Chornomorets away

Kudrivka at home

1G1E2P

WLLDD

Chornomorets away

1G0E3P

WLLL

When do they score and concede?

Kudrivka · goals by minute in 11 matches scored conceded

Chornomorets · goals by minute in 10 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Kudrivka

Scores first in 4 of 9 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 0.

Chornomorets

Scores first in 3 of 8 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

Kudrivka

R. Owusu · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

D. Svityukha · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

I. Petryak · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Chornomorets

K. Popov · 2 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches

C. Mba · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

G. Robakidze · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Standings

Premier League standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Shakhtar Donetsk	12	+17	29
2	Polessya	11	+17	28
3	Dynamo Kyiv	11	+7	23
4	FC Kharkiv	9	+11	21
5	Karpaty	11	+14	19
6	LNZ Cherkasy	11	+2	18
7	Zorya Luhansk	12	-1	18
8	Kolos Kovalivka	10	-1	12
9	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	12	-5	10
10	Bukovyna	11	-5	10
11	Chornomorets	11	-5	9
12	Livyi Bereh	10	-2	9
13	Veres Rivne	12	-11	9
14	Obolon'-Brovar	11	-13	8
15	Kudrivka	12	-17	8
16	Kryvbas KR	10	-8	7

More stats

Referee: Klim Zabroda

2 matches · 4.0 yellows and 1.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties

Half-time

Kudrivka: 4 days since last match · Chornomorets: 7 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 13:30 UTC.