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Korona Kielce vs Radomiak Radom prediction

Poland · Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce badgeKorona Kielce#11 · 18 ptsLWLLW
0 - 2Full time
Radomiak Radom badgeRadomiak Radom#14 · 14 ptsWLLLL

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Filip Koperski 69'⚽ Jan Grzesik 82'🟥 Zie Mohamed Ouattara 85'

Saturday, November 7 · 06:15 (Peru time) · Suzuki Arena · Referee: Tomasz Kwiatkowski

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Korona Kielce to score

80%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'🔁 Sub: Ariel Mosor · Dawid BłanikKorona Kielce
89'🔁 Sub: Lucas Lima Linhares · kacper karasekRadomiak Radom
85'🟥 Zie Mohamed OuattaraRadomiak Radom
82'⚽ Jan Grzesik assist Lucas Lima LinharesRadomiak Radom
80'🟨 Bartlomiej·SmolarczykKorona Kielce
80'🔁 Sub: Martin Remacle · Daniel BakKorona Kielce
80'🔁 Sub: Marcel·Pieczek · Konrad MatuszewskiKorona Kielce
75'🔁 Sub: Bi Irié Fernand Gouré · Guilherme LuizRadomiak Radom
72'🔁 Sub: Patrik Hellebrand · NonoKorona Kielce
72'🔁 Sub: Morgan Faßbender · Michael AmeyawKorona Kielce
69'⚽ Filip Koperski assist Jan GrzesikRadomiak Radom
68'🔁 Sub: Ronaldo Lumungo · Che NunnelyRadomiak Radom
59'🟨 Filip KoperskiRadomiak Radom
45'+1🟨 Zie Mohamed OuattaraRadomiak Radom
45'+1🟨 Morgan FaßbenderKorona Kielce
42'🟨 ConradoRadomiak Radom
39'🟨 Roberto Oliveira AlvesRadomiak Radom
27'🟨 Martin RemacleKorona Kielce
11'🟨 Patrik HellebrandKorona Kielce

Win probability minute by minute

Korona KielceDrawRadomiak Radom
At kick-off42%31%28%Full time0%0%100%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

42%Korona Kielce to win@2.39
31%Draw@3.28
28%Radomiak Radom to win@3.62
Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams to score57%
Korona Kielce or draw72%
Radomiak Radom or draw58%
Korona Kielce to score80%
Radomiak Radom to score72%

Most likely scores

1-114%2-18%0-08%1-08%2-27%

Expected goals per the model: Korona Kielce 1.62 · Radomiak Radom 1.30

How many goals will there be?

5%0 goals16%1 goals23%2 goals22%3 goals16%4 goals17%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.92.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 11.1 in total · Korona Kielce 5.5 · Radomiak Radom 5.7

71%Over 8.5@1.40
62%Over 9.5@1.61
52%Over 10.5@1.91
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 3.4 · el árbitro Tomasz Kwiatkowski saca 3.3 por partido

43%Over 3.5@2.34
27%Over 4.5@3.72
16%Over 5.5@6.38

⏱️ First half

51% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.49

78%Goal in the 1st half@1.29
44%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.27
76%Goal in the 2st half@1.32

⚽ Goals per team

48%Korona Kielce +1.5@2.08
37%Radomiak Radom +1.5@2.68
20%Korona Kielce to win to nil@5.05

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

2.43Expected goals (xG)1.12
11Shots on target3
1Saves11
1Offsides1
35Shots12
4Yellow cards3
20Corners3
0Red cards1
12Fouls15
53Possession %47

Goals in the last 10 matches

Korona Kielce · last 10 matches
3/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.7goals per match
2.5en Wisla Plock: 2-0 2-0 vs Wisla Krakow: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Slask Wroclaw: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Gornik Zabrze: 0-2 0-2 vs Raków Częstochowa: 3-2 3-2 ambosen Pogon Szczecin: 0-2 0-2 en Lech Poznan: 1-6 1-6 ambosvs GKS Katowice: 1-0 1-0 en Zaglebie Lubin: 0-1 0-1 vs Radomiak Radom: 0-2 0-2

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Radomiak Radom · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score3.0goals per match
2.5vs Zaglebie Lubin: 0-0 0-0 vs Cracovia Krakow: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Widzew Łódź: 0-0 0-0 vs Piast Gliwice: 0-2 0-2 en Lech Poznan: 1-5 1-5 ambosvs Motor Lublin: 2-3 2-3 ambosen Wisla Plock: 0-1 0-1 en Pogon Szczecin: 3-4 3-4 ambosvs Slask Wroclaw: 3-1 3-1 ambosat Korona Kielce: 2-0 2-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Korona KielceRadomiak Radom
1.1Goals scored per match1.1
1.5Goals conceded per match2.2
77%Matches with over 1.5 goals77%
31%Matches with over 2.5 goals69%
54%Both teams to score62%
15%Clean sheet15%
31%Matches without scoring38%
5.8Corners won per match6.2
1.5Yellow cards per match1.9

Korona Kielce: 13 matches · Radomiak Radom: 13 matches (all competitions with data).

Korona Kielce at home · Radomiak Radom away

Korona Kielce at home
2G3E1P
WWLDD
Radomiak Radom away
0G1E5P
LLLDL

When do they score and concede?

Korona Kielce · goals by minute in 13 matches scored conceded
040-156316-302331-452246-603061-751776-90
Radomiak Radom · goals by minute in 13 matches scored conceded
360-152316-302531-453846-604561-751276-90

The first goal

Korona Kielce

Scores first in 6 of 13 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 2.

Radomiak Radom

Scores first in 6 of 11 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

Korona Kielce

Camilo Mena · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Wiktor Długosz · 0 goles, 3 assists in 4 matches

M. Stepinski · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Radomiak Radom

Jan Grzesik · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Christos Donis · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

S. Kingue · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

6Korona Kielce to win
1Draws
3Radomiak Radom to win

10 matches · 2.8 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-02-13Radomiak Radom 0-2 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
2025-08-08Korona Kielce 3-0 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
2025-03-30Korona Kielce 1-3 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
2024-09-20Radomiak Radom 4-0 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
2024-06-26Radomiak Radom 3-0 Korona KielceFriendlies Clubs
2024-04-19Korona Kielce 4-0 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa

Standings

Ekstraklasa standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Lech Poznan13+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14+1131
3Legia Warszawa14+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13+524
5Wisla Krakow14+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14+123
7Piast Gliwice14+422
8GKS Katowice14+521
9Jagiellonia13021
10Motor Lublin14-219
11Korona Kielce14-718
12Wisla Plock13-715
13Widzew Łódź14+114
14Radomiak Radom14-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14-712
16Raków Częstochowa14-812
17Slask Wroclaw14-810
18Wieczysta Kraków14-108

More stats

Referee: Tomasz Kwiatkowski

12 matches · 3.3 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.67 penalties

Half-time

Korona Kielce: 4 days since last match · Radomiak Radom: 4 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 13:50 UTC.

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