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Korea Republic U21 vs Mexico U23 prediction

International · International friendlies

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Saturday, November 14 · 02:00 (Peru time)

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Korea Republic U21 to score

76%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

Korea Republic U21 and Mexico U23 meet in the International friendlies.

The PickMania model gives Korea Republic U21 a 43% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 29% for Mexico U23.

2.8 total goals are expected (1.6 from Korea Republic U21 and 1.3 from Mexico U23): over 2.5 goals has a 50% chance and both teams to score 55%.

The most likely score is 1-1.

Probabilities

43%Korea Republic U21 to win@2.34
28%Draw@3.56
29%Mexico U23 to win@3.43
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams to score55%
Korea Republic U21 or draw71%
Mexico U23 or draw57%
Korea Republic U21 to score76%
Mexico U23 to score69%

Most likely scores

1-112%1-010%0-09%2-18%0-17%

Expected goals per the model: Korea Republic U21 1.56 · Mexico U23 1.25

How many goals will there be?

6%0 goals17%1 goals24%2 goals22%3 goals16%4 goals15%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.81.

Corners, cards and first half

⚽ Goals per team

46%Korea Republic U21 +1.5@2.16
36%México sub-23 +1.5@2.81
22%Korea Republic U21 to win to nil@4.63

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Season comparison

Korea Republic U21Mexico U23
0.0Goals scored per match0.0
0.0Goals conceded per match0.0
0%Matches with over 1.5 goals0%
0%Matches with over 2.5 goals0%
0%Both teams to score0%
0%Clean sheet0%
0%Matches without scoring0%

Korea Republic U21: 0 matches · Mexico U23: 0 matches (all competitions with data).

Korea Republic U21 at home · Mexico U23 away

Korea Republic U21 at home
0G0E0P
Mexico U23 away
0G0E0P

Head to head

0Korea Republic U21 to win
1Draws
0Mexico U23 to win

1 matches · 0.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2024-06-11Korea Republic U21 0-0 Mexico U23Tournoi Maurice Revello

More stats

Half-time

Korea Republic U21: – days since last match · Mexico U23: – days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.

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