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Kisvarda FC vs Puskas Academy prediction

Hungary · NB I

Kisvarda FC#11 · 12 ptsLDDDL

0 - 1Full time

Puskas Academy#1 · 24 ptsLLWWW

25%31%44%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Urho Nissilä 66'

Saturday, November 7 · 12:45 (Peru time) · Várkert Sportpálya

🎯 Model pick

Puskas Academy to score

79%

Full data

Puskas Academy scored in 10 of 12 matches this season
Puskas Academy average 1.4 goals per match
Kisvarda FC kept a clean sheet in only 2 of 12

⚡ Summary

44%Puskas Academy to win@2.28 51%Over 2.5 goals@1.97 59%Both teams to score@1.69 57%Corners +9.5 (10.6)@1.7555%Cards +4.5 (5.1)@1.831-1Most likely score · 14%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+4🔁 Sub: Palkó Dárdai · Bendegúz FarkasPuskas Academy

90'+1🔁 Sub: Bence Bíró · Soma NovothnyKisvarda FC

90'🔁 Sub: Hianga'a M'Bock · Amos YougaKisvarda FC

83'📺 Bence vekonyPuskas Academy

76'🟨 Jasmin MešanovićKisvarda FC

75'📺 Jasmin MešanovićKisvarda FC

73'🔁 Sub: Miroszláv Babják · Gennadiy SzikszaiKisvarda FC

73'🔁 Sub: Christián Herc · Jasmin MešanovićKisvarda FC

70'🟨 Teslim Abdulateef BalogunKisvarda FC

66'⚽ Urho Nissilä assist Martin KernPuskas Academy

62'🔁 Sub: Dominik Soltész · Teslim Abdulateef BalogunKisvarda FC

61'🟨 Besim ŠerbečićKisvarda FC

59'🔁 Sub: Z. Varga · Martin KernPuskas Academy

59'🔁 Sub: András Németh · Lamin ColleyPuskas Academy

45'🔁 Sub: Michael okeke · Bence vekonyPuskas Academy

37'🔁 Sub: Dániel Lukács · Urho NissiläPuskas Academy

Win probability minute by minute

Kisvarda FCDrawPuskas Academy

At kick-off25%31%44%Full time0%0%100%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

25%Kisvarda FC to win@3.99

31%Draw@3.22

44%Puskas Academy to win@2.28

Over 1.5 goals76%

Over 2.5 goals51%

Over 3.5 goals31%

Both teams to score59%

Kisvarda FC or draw56%

Puskas Academy or draw75%

Kisvarda FC to score69%

Puskas Academy to score79%

Most likely scores

1-114%0-09%0-19%1-29%0-27%

Expected goals per the model: Kisvarda FC 1.17 · Puskas Academy 1.59

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.76.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.6 in total · Kisvarda FC 4.8 · Puskas Academy 5.8

67%Over 8.5@1.49

57%Over 9.5@1.75

47%Over 10.5@2.12

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 5.1

70%Over 3.5@1.42

55%Over 4.5@1.83

39%Over 5.5@2.53

⏱️ First half

44% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.21

70%Goal in the 1st half@1.42

34%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.93

79%Goal in the 2st half@1.27

⚽ Goals per team

33%Kisvarda FC +1.5@3.06

47%Puskas Academy +1.5@2.12

12%Kisvarda FC to win to nil@8.31

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

1Shots on target4

3Saves1

4Shots12

3Yellow cards0

3Corners0

0Red cards0

0Offsides4

15Fouls14

44Possession %56

0.40Expected goals (xG)0.81

Goals in the last 10 matches

Kisvarda FC · last 10 matches

2/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score1.7goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Puskas Academy · last 10 matches

5/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score2.4goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Kisvarda FCPuskas Academy

1.0Goals scored per match1.4

1.2Goals conceded per match1.3

75%Matches with over 1.5 goals67%

25%Matches with over 2.5 goals50%

67%Both teams to score50%

17%Clean sheet33%

25%Matches without scoring17%

4.0Corners won per match5.3

1.9Yellow cards per match2.8

Kisvarda FC: 12 matches · Puskas Academy: 12 matches (all competitions with data).

Kisvarda FC at home · Puskas Academy away

Kisvarda FC at home

0G4E2P

DLDDL

Puskas Academy away

5G0E1P

WWLWW

When do they score and concede?

Kisvarda FC · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded

Puskas Academy · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Kisvarda FC

Scores first in 4 of 11 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 3.

Puskas Academy

Scores first in 8 of 12 matches and wins 7 of them.

Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Kisvarda FC

Tonislav Yordanov · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

Bogdan Melnyk · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

B. Biro · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Puskas Academy

András Németh · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Palkó Dárdai · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

D. Lukacs · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches

Head to head

4Kisvarda FC to win

2Draws

4Puskas Academy to win

10 matches · 2.4 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-07-31	Puskas Academy 0-2 Kisvarda FC	NB I
2026-03-06	Kisvarda FC 1-0 Puskas Academy	NB I
2025-11-22	Puskas Academy 2-0 Kisvarda FC	NB I
2025-08-10	Kisvarda FC 2-1 Puskas Academy	NB I
2024-05-04	Puskas Academy 4-2 Kisvarda FC	NB I
2024-02-10	Kisvarda FC 0-2 Puskas Academy	NB I

Standings

NB I standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Puskas Academy	13	+3	24
2	Ferencvarosi TC	12	+12	23
3	Gyori ETO FC	13	+7	23
4	Debreceni VSC	13	+6	22
5	Paks	13	+2	20
6	Ujpest	13	+1	18
7	Vasas	13	+1	16
8	Budapest Honved	12	-3	14
9	Zalaegerszegi TE	13	-7	13
10	MTK Budapest	13	-9	13
11	Kisvarda FC	13	-3	12
12	Nyiregyhaza	13	-10	12

More stats

Half-time

Kisvarda FC: 7 days since last match · Puskas Academy: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 20:20 UTC.