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Kalmar FF vs Sirius prediction

Sweden · Allsvenskan
Kalmar FF badgeKalmar FF#13 · 26 ptsDLLWL
1 - 0Full time
Sirius badgeSirius#2 · 58 ptsWLLDW

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Amara Camara 28'

Sunday, 8 November · 10:30 (Peru time) · Guldfågeln Arena · Referee: Mohammed Al-Hakim

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Sirius to score

81%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

87'🔁 Sub: Simon Sandberg · Mohamed SoumahSirius
77'🔁 Sub: Victor Svensson · Charlie NildénSirius
72'🔁 Sub: Marius Soderback · Kasper PaananenKalmar FF
72'🔁 Sub: Amara Camara · Melker HallbergKalmar FF
66'🟨 Oscar KrusnellSirius
64'🟨 Simon SandbergSirius
60'🔁 Sub: vilmer tyren · Alexander AlmqvistKalmar FF
55'🔁 Sub: Melker Heier · N. JönssonSirius
55'🔁 Sub: Zalán Vancsa · Jesper UnekenSirius
28'⚽ Amara CamaraKalmar FF

Win probability minute by minute

Kalmar FFDrawSirius
At kick-off22%30%48%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

22%Kalmar FF to win@4.49
30%Draw@3.37
48%Sirius to win@2.08
Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams to score59%
Kalmar FF or draw52%
Sirius or draw78%
Kalmar FF to score67%
Sirius to score81%

Most likely scores

1-114%0-19%1-29%0-08%0-28%

Expected goals per the model: Kalmar FF 1.13 · Sirius 1.71

How many goals will there be?

6%0 goals17%1 goals24%2 goals22%3 goals16%4 goals16%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.84.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.9 in total · Kalmar FF 5.2 · Sirius 5.7

70%Over 8.5@1.43
61%Over 9.5@1.65
51%Over 10.5@1.97
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 2.6 · el árbitro Mohammed Al-Hakim saca 3.1 por partido

28%Over 3.5@3.55
15%Over 4.5@6.45
8%Over 5.5@12.65

⏱️ First half

50% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.43

76%Goal in the 1st half@1.31
42%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.39
76%Goal in the 2st half@1.32

⚽ Goals per team

31%Kalmar FF +1.5@3.21
51%Sirius +1.5@1.96
10%Kalmar FF to win to nil@9.60

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

1.00Expected goals (xG)1.17
2Shots on target3
4Saves1
6Shots14
1Corners3
0Offsides2
0Yellow cards2
14Fouls13
0Red cards0
36Possession %64

Goals in the last 10 matches

Kalmar FF · last 10 matches
3/10+2.5 goals1/10both teams to score1.7goals per match
2.5en Halmstad: 0-1 0-1 vs Djurgardens IF: 0-1 0-1 en IF Elfsborg: 0-1 0-1 vs BK Hacken: 0-5 0-5 en Malmo FF: 0-1 0-1 en Degerfors IF: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs IF Brommapojkarna: 0-3 0-3 vs Gais: 0-1 0-1 en Mjallby AIF: 0-0 0-0 vs Sirius: 1-0 1-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Sirius · last 10 matches
3/10+2.5 goals3/10both teams to score2.0goals per match
2.5vs Malmo FF: 0-1 0-1 en Vasteras SK FK: 1-0 1-0 vs Degerfors IF: 2-0 2-0 en Orgryte IS: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Gais: 1-0 1-0 vs IF Elfsborg: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs AIK Stockholm: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Hammarby FF: 0-2 0-2 vs Halmstad: 2-0 2-0 at Kalmar FF: 0-1 0-1

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Kalmar FFSirius
0.8Goals scored per match2.1
1.6Goals conceded per match1.3
63%Matches with over 1.5 goals89%
48%Matches with over 2.5 goals67%
37%Both teams to score56%
15%Clean sheet33%
56%Matches without scoring11%
5.0Corners won per match6.0
0.9Yellow cards per match1.3

Kalmar FF: 27 matches · Sirius: 27 matches (all competitions with data).

Kalmar FF at home · Sirius away

Kalmar FF at home
5G2E6P
LLLLL
Sirius away
10G1E2P
LWWWL

When do they score and concede?

Kalmar FF · goals by minute in 27 matches scored conceded
690-155516-304431-454646-602761-7521176-90
Sirius · goals by minute in 27 matches scored conceded
1010-158816-3013631-456846-6011261-7510976-90

The first goal

Kalmar FF

Scores first in 9 of 25 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 16 and avoids defeat in 2.

Sirius

Scores first in 19 of 27 matches and wins 16 of them.

Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 4.

Players in form

Kalmar FF

M. Soderback · 1 gol, 1 assists in 3 matches

V. Tyren · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Sirius

J. Persson · 2 goles, 1 assists in 3 matches

Isak Bjerkebo · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Marcus Lindberg · 0 goles, 3 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

2Kalmar FF to win
4Draws
4Sirius to win

10 matches · 2.9 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-05-02Sirius 3-2 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan
2024-08-11Sirius 3-1 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan
2024-04-08Kalmar FF 1-2 SiriusAllsvenskan
2023-08-13Sirius 3-0 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan
2023-05-03Kalmar FF 2-2 SiriusAllsvenskan
2022-10-24Sirius 0-0 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan

Standings

Allsvenskan standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Hammarby FF28+3758
2Sirius28+2358
3Djurgardens IF28+2952
4BK Hacken28+1749
5IF Elfsborg28+1146
6Vasteras SK FK28+245
7Malmo FF28+641
8AIK Stockholm28-341
9Gais28+840
10IFK Goteborg28-1039
11IF Brommapojkarna28-535
12Mjallby AIF28-1328
13Kalmar FF28-1826
14Degerfors IF28-2520
15Orgryte IS28-2720
16Halmstad28-3220

More stats

Referee: Mohammed Al-Hakim

52 matches · 2.9 yellows and 0.14 reds per match · 0.09 penalties

Half-time

Kalmar FF: 5 days since last match · Sirius: 4 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 18:00 UTC.

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