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Junior vs Cucuta prediction

Colombia · Primera A

Junior#2 · 35 ptsLDWDD

2 - 0Full time

Cucuta#19 · 16 ptsWLLWW

54%28%18%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ G. Paiva 35'⚽ T. Gutierrez 50'

Monday, November 9 · 19:00 (Peru time) · Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez · Referee: Wilmar Roldan

🎯 Today's AI Top Pick

Over 1.5 goals

78%

Full data · One of today's AI Top Picks

2+ goals in 38 of 48 Junior matches
Also in 29 of 36 Cucuta matches
Head to head: 3.1 goals per match

⚡ Summary

54%Junior to win@1.85 54%Over 2.5 goals@1.87 56%Both teams to score@1.79 48%Corners +9.5 (9.7)@2.0664%Cards +4.5 (5.7)@1.571-1Most likely score · 13%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

88'❌ J. Peralta (missed pen.)Cucuta

87'🟨 C. PerezJunior

86'🔁 Sub: Y. Chara · K. PerezJunior

79'🔁 Sub: E. M. Duarte Barajas · J. CeballosCucuta

72'🟨 J. RiosJunior

70'🔁 Sub: G. Paiva · J. CanchimboJunior

70'🔁 Sub: B. Castrillon · H. RiveraJunior

68'🔁 Sub: J. E. Manyoma Cordoba · Y. AboniaCucuta

61'🔁 Sub: D. Perez · M. B. Carabali LopezCucuta

61'🔁 Sub: D. Calcaterra · NenecoCucuta

61'🔁 Sub: J. Agudelo · G. TorresCucuta

51'🟨 T. GutierrezJunior

50'⚽ T. Gutierrez assist B. CastrillonJunior

46'🔁 Sub: F. Fydriszewski · T. GutierrezJunior

44'🔁 Sub: J. Rivas · G. CelisJunior

42'🟨 G. PaivaJunior

35'⚽ G. Paiva assist J. PenaJunior

26'🟨 J. AgudeloCucuta

9'🟨 J. PeraltaCucuta

Win probability minute by minute

JuniorDrawCucuta

At kick-off54%28%18%Full time100%0%0%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

54%Junior to win@1.85

28%Draw@3.60

18%Cucuta to win@5.49

Over 1.5 goals78%

Over 2.5 goals54%

Over 3.5 goals33%

Both teams to score56%

Junior or draw82%

Cucuta or draw46%

Junior to score84%

Cucuta to score64%

Most likely scores

1-113%1-09%2-19%2-09%0-08%

Expected goals per the model: Junior 1.85 · Cucuta 1.03

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.88.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.7 in total · Junior 4.8 · Cucuta 4.9

59%Over 8.5@1.70

48%Over 9.5@2.06

39%Over 10.5@2.59

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 5.7

78%Over 3.5@1.29

64%Over 4.5@1.57

49%Over 5.5@2.05

⏱️ First half

49% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.42

76%Goal in the 1st half@1.32

41%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.41

77%Goal in the 2st half@1.30

⚽ Goals per team

55%Junior +1.5@1.81

28%Cucuta +1.5@3.63

28%Junior to win to nil@3.56

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

1.21Expected goals (xG)1.39

5Shots on target5

5Saves3

1Offsides0

17Shots14

4Yellow cards2

5Corners3

9Fouls5

0Red cards0

52Possession %48

Goals in the last 10 matches

Junior · last 10 matches

4/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.6goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Cucuta · last 10 matches

5/10+2.5 goals3/10both teams to score2.4goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

JuniorCucuta

1.4Goals scored per match1.1

1.4Goals conceded per match1.6

79%Matches with over 1.5 goals81%

48%Matches with over 2.5 goals50%

56%Both teams to score56%

25%Clean sheet25%

23%Matches without scoring22%

4.6Corners won per match4.3

2.7Yellow cards per match2.6

Junior: 48 matches · Cucuta: 36 matches (all competitions with data).

Junior at home · Cucuta away

Junior at home

10G9E5P

WDDWD

Cucuta away

2G5E11P

LWLLW

When do they score and concede?

Junior · goals by minute in 44 matches scored conceded

Cucuta · goals by minute in 31 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Junior

Scores first in 21 of 42 matches and wins 13 of them.

Concedes first in 21 and avoids defeat in 5.

Cucuta

Scores first in 10 of 30 matches and wins 9 of them.

Concedes first in 20 and avoids defeat in 7.

Players in form

Junior

G. Paiva · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

J. Rivas · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

D. Caicedo · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Cucuta

D. Perez · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

L. Berdugo · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

J. Peralta · 0 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

4Junior to win

2Draws

2Cucuta to win

8 matches · 3.1 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-04-24	Cucuta 1-1 Junior	Primera A
2023-08-17	Junior 2-1 Cucuta	Copa Colombia
2023-07-27	Cucuta 4-3 Junior	Copa Colombia
2020-11-01	Cucuta 1-4 Junior	Primera A
2019-11-24	Junior 1-0 Cucuta	Primera A
2019-11-15	Cucuta 1-3 Junior	Primera A

Standings

Primera A standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Atlético Nacional	19	+20	40
2	Junior	19	+7	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	+4	34
4	América de Cali	19	+10	33
5	Once Caldas	19	+9	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	+10	31
7	Santa Fe	19	+7	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	0	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	+4	27
10	Millonarios	19	+8	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	+2	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	+6	23
14	Llaneros	19	-3	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	-5	22
16	Jaguares	19	-13	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	-14	17
18	Chico	19	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	-17	10

More stats

Half-time

Junior: 9 days since last match · Cucuta: 5 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-10 02:30 UTC.