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Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem prediction

Israel · Ligat Ha'al
Ironi Tiberias badgeIroni Tiberias#14 · 4 ptsDDLLL
1 - 1Full time
Beitar Jerusalem badgeBeitar Jerusalem#4 · 18 ptsDWDWW

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ M. Badjie 47'⚽ Nana Kwame Antwi 61'

Saturday, November 7 · 12:30 (Peru time) · Tiberias Municipal Stadium

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Beitar Jerusalem to win

73%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+3🟨 Guy SankerIroni Tiberias
90'🟨 bar cohenIroni Tiberias
84'🔁 Sub: Chris Kouakou · Gal Gabi MatukIroni Tiberias
84'🔁 Sub: niv gotlieb · bar cohenIroni Tiberias
80'🟨 Chris KouakouIroni Tiberias
80'🔁 Sub: Adi Menachem Yona · Dagats WorkoBeitar Jerusalem
80'🔁 Sub: Gil Cohen · roey elimelechBeitar Jerusalem
77'📺 Adi Menachem YonaBeitar Jerusalem
69'🔁 Sub: Eden Shamir · ariel cohenIroni Tiberias
69'🔁 Sub: Artur Miranyan · Ghanam CaseIroni Tiberias
61'⚽ Nana Kwame Antwi assist Eugene AnsahBeitar Jerusalem
57'🔁 Sub: Shon Weissman · Eugene AnsahBeitar Jerusalem
57'🔁 Sub: Omer Atzili · Azo natan oriBeitar Jerusalem
47'⚽ M. Badjie assist niv gotliebIroni Tiberias
45'🔁 Sub: Boris Enow Takang · Tomer YosefiBeitar Jerusalem
44'🟨 Shon WeissmanBeitar Jerusalem
42'🟨 Nana Kwame AntwiBeitar Jerusalem
31'🔁 Sub: Daniel Joulani · M. BadjieIroni Tiberias
16'🟨 junior nene bi gbambleIroni Tiberias
8'🟨 Boris Enow TakangBeitar Jerusalem

Win probability minute by minute

Ironi TiberiasDrawBeitar Jerusalem
At kick-off11%16%73%Full time0%100%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

11%Ironi Tiberias to win@9.12
16%Draw@6.11
73%Beitar Jerusalem to win@1.38
Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams to score56%
Ironi Tiberias or draw27%
Beitar Jerusalem or draw89%
Ironi Tiberias to score59%
Beitar Jerusalem to score92%

Most likely scores

0-210%1-29%0-38%0-18%1-38%

Expected goals per the model: Ironi Tiberias 0.91 · Beitar Jerusalem 2.58

How many goals will there be?

3%0 goals11%1 goals19%2 goals22%3 goals19%4 goals27%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.49.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 8.6 in total · Ironi Tiberias 2.3 · Beitar Jerusalem 6.3

47%Over 8.5@2.15
36%Over 9.5@2.75
27%Over 10.5@3.64
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.6

64%Over 3.5@1.57
47%Over 4.5@2.11
33%Over 5.5@3.07

⏱️ First half

36% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.25

71%Goal in the 1st half@1.40
36%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.80
89%Goal in the 2st half@1.12

⚽ Goals per team

23%Ironi Tiberias +1.5@4.33
73%Beitar Jerusalem +1.5@1.37
4%Ironi Tiberias to win to nil@22.94

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

4Shots on target7
6Saves3
4Offsides2
12Shots26
4Yellow cards3
1Corners2
12Fouls15
0Red cards0
31Possession %69
1.48Expected goals (xG)1.83

Goals in the last 10 matches

Ironi Tiberias · last 10 matches
3/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.4goals per match
2.5vs Hapoel Petah Tikva: 1-0 1-0 en Ironi Kiryat Shmona: 0-2 0-2 en Maccabi Petah Tikva: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Hapoel Katamon: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Maccabi Haifa: 2-3 2-3 ambosvs Hapoel Beer Sheva: 0-2 0-2 en Hapoel Tel Aviv: 0-1 0-1 vs Maccabi Netanya: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Bnei Sakhnin: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Beitar Jerusalem: 1-1 1-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Beitar Jerusalem · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score2.5goals per match
2.5vs Maccabi Netanya: 1-4 1-4 ambosen Hapoel Tel Aviv: 0-3 0-3 en Bnei Sakhnin: 1-0 1-0 vs Maccabi Petah Tikva: 3-1 3-1 ambosvs Hapoel Haifa: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Hapoel Ramat Gan: 4-0 4-0 vs Maccabi Tel Aviv: 0-0 0-0 en Hapoel Petah Tikva: 1-0 1-0 vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona: 1-1 1-1 ambosat Ironi Tiberias: 1-1 1-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Ironi TiberiasBeitar Jerusalem
1.0Goals scored per match1.5
1.4Goals conceded per match1.2
78%Matches with over 1.5 goals69%
33%Matches with over 2.5 goals62%
56%Both teams to score54%
11%Clean sheet38%
33%Matches without scoring15%
2.3Corners won per match5.2
1.3Yellow cards per match2.9

Ironi Tiberias: 9 matches · Beitar Jerusalem: 13 matches (all competitions with data).

Ironi Tiberias at home · Beitar Jerusalem away

Ironi Tiberias at home
1G2E1P
DLDWW
Beitar Jerusalem away
5G0E1P
WWWLW

When do they score and concede?

Ironi Tiberias · goals by minute in 9 matches scored conceded
110-152016-301231-451246-602561-752376-90
Beitar Jerusalem · goals by minute in 13 matches scored conceded
300-153216-305131-453346-602461-753676-90

The first goal

Ironi Tiberias

Scores first in 4 of 9 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 1.

Beitar Jerusalem

Scores first in 10 of 12 matches and wins 7 of them.

Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Ironi Tiberias

Q. Ghanem · 2 goles, 0 assists in 1 matches

bar cohen · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

M. Badjie · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Beitar Jerusalem

Omer Atzili · 2 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Yarden Shua · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches

E. Ansah · 2 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches

Head to head

1Ironi Tiberias to win
2Draws
3Beitar Jerusalem to win

6 matches · 3.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-04-04Beitar Jerusalem 3-2 Ironi TiberiasLigat Ha'al
2025-12-27Ironi Tiberias 1-2 Beitar JerusalemState Cup
2025-12-03Ironi Tiberias 0-5 Beitar JerusalemLigat Ha'al
2024-12-23Beitar Jerusalem 1-1 Ironi TiberiasLigat Ha'al
2024-08-31Ironi Tiberias 1-0 Beitar JerusalemLigat Ha'al
2023-01-03Beitar Jerusalem 1-1 Ironi TiberiasState Cup

Standings

Ligat Ha'al standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Hapoel Tel Aviv10+1525
2Maccabi Tel Aviv10+2124
3Hapoel Beer Sheva10+922
4Beitar Jerusalem10+318
5Maccabi Haifa10+118
6Maccabi Netanya10+816
7Bnei Sakhnin10013
8Hapoel Haifa10-512
9Maccabi Petah Tikva10-710
10Hapoel Katamon10-79
11Ironi Kiryat Shmona10-87
12Hapoel Petah Tikva10-126
13Hapoel Ramat Gan10-146
14Ironi Tiberias10-44

More stats

Half-time

Ironi Tiberias: 7 days since last match · Beitar Jerusalem: 7 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 20:00 UTC.

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