Home › Greece · Super League 1 › Iraklis 1908 vs Panathinaikos

Iraklis 1908 vs Panathinaikos prediction

Greece · Super League 1

Iraklis 1908#9 · 10 ptsDLLWD

1 - 2Full time

Panathinaikos#1 · 27 ptsWWWWW

10%18%72%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Pedro Marques 17'⚽ Cyriel Dessers 56'⚽ Davide Calabria 90' (p)

Sunday, November 8 · 10:30 (Peru time) · Kaftanzoglio Stadio · Referee: Angelos Evangelou

🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

77%

Partial data

2+ goals in 8 of 9 Iraklis 1908 matches
Also in 15 of 18 Panathinaikos matches
Picky expects 2.9 goals (0.7 - 2.2)

⚡ Summary

72%Panathinaikos to win@1.39 54%Over 2.5 goals@1.85 43%Both teams to score@2.32 39%Corners +9.5 (8.8)@2.5416%Cards +4.5 (2.7)@6.310-2Most likely score · 14%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+4⚽ Davide Calabria (pen.)Panathinaikos

90'+4🟨 Sofian ChaklaIraklis 1908

90'+2📺 Vicente TabordaPanathinaikos

90'🟨 Edgar Yoel BárcenasIraklis 1908

87'🟨 Stefan de VrijPanathinaikos

84'🔁 Sub: Ivi López · Rob NizetIraklis 1908

84'🔁 Sub: Pedro Marques · Adam ŽulevičIraklis 1908

84'🔁 Sub: Cyriel Dessers · Elmin RastoderPanathinaikos

78'🟨 S. KontourisPanathinaikos

77'🟨 Yohan RocheIraklis 1908

76'🔁 Sub: Santino Andino · Triantafyllos TsaprasPanathinaikos

76'🔁 Sub: Andrews Tetteh · S. KontourisPanathinaikos

68'🔁 Sub: Xande Silva · Edgar Yoel BárcenasIraklis 1908

61'🟨 Santino AndinoPanathinaikos

60'🔁 Sub: Carles Soria · Sofian ChaklaIraklis 1908

59'🔁 Sub: Vassilis Sourlis · Jakub HromadaIraklis 1908

56'⚽ Cyriel Dessers assist Giorgos KyriakopoulosPanathinaikos

45'🔁 Sub: Anass Salah-Eddine · Giorgos KyriakopoulosPanathinaikos

45'🔁 Sub: Etiene Camara · Levi GarcíaPanathinaikos

27'🟨 Vassilis SourlisIraklis 1908

25'🟨 Etiene CamaraPanathinaikos

17'⚽ Pedro Marques assist Praxitelis VourosIraklis 1908

16'🟨 Davide CalabriaPanathinaikos

Win probability minute by minute

Iraklis 1908DrawPanathinaikos

At kick-off10%18%72%Full time0%100%0%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

10%Iraklis 1908 to win@9.95

18%Draw@5.52

72%Panathinaikos to win@1.39

Over 1.5 goals77%

Over 2.5 goals54%

Over 3.5 goals32%

Both teams to score43%

Iraklis 1908 or draw28%

Panathinaikos or draw90%

Iraklis 1908 to score49%

Panathinaikos to score88%

Most likely scores

0-214%0-113%0-310%1-29%1-18%

Expected goals per the model: Iraklis 1908 0.67 · Panathinaikos 2.19

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.86.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 8.8 in total · Iraklis 1908 3.3 · Panathinaikos 5.5

50%Over 8.5@2.01

39%Over 9.5@2.54

30%Over 10.5@3.32

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 2.7 · el árbitro Angelos Evangelou saca 0.5 por partido

29%Over 3.5@3.49

16%Over 4.5@6.31

8%Over 5.5@12.32

⏱️ First half

34% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.98

62%Goal in the 1st half@1.61

26%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.92

85%Goal in the 2st half@1.18

⚽ Goals per team

15%Iraklis 1908 +1.5@6.88

64%Panathinaikos +1.5@1.56

5%Iraklis 1908 to win to nil@18.76

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

1.13Expected goals (xG)2.61

3Shots on target4

1Saves2

9Shots14

4Yellow cards5

1Corners4

0Offsides1

11Fouls24

0Red cards0

34Possession %66

Goals in the last 10 matches

Iraklis 1908 · last 10 matches

4/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.5goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Panathinaikos · last 10 matches

6/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score2.9goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Iraklis 1908Panathinaikos

1.1Goals scored per match2.2

1.3Goals conceded per match0.8

89%Matches with over 1.5 goals83%

33%Matches with over 2.5 goals67%

56%Both teams to score67%

33%Clean sheet28%

22%Matches without scoring6%

2.8Corners won per match7.5

2.3Yellow cards per match2.2

Iraklis 1908: 9 matches · Panathinaikos: 18 matches (all competitions with data).

Iraklis 1908 at home · Panathinaikos away

Iraklis 1908 at home

1G1E1P

LWD

Panathinaikos away

7G0E1P

WWLWW

When do they score and concede?

Iraklis 1908 · goals by minute in 9 matches scored conceded

Panathinaikos · goals by minute in 18 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Iraklis 1908

Scores first in 5 of 8 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 2.

Panathinaikos

Scores first in 16 of 18 matches and wins 14 of them.

Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

Iraklis 1908

Carles Soria · 0 goles, 4 assists in 5 matches

Pedro Marques · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

M. Krainz · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Panathinaikos

A. Tetteh · 2 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches

Cyriel Dessers · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

V. Taborda · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Standings

Super League 1 standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	10	+17	27
2	Olympiakos Piraeus	10	+11	23
3	AEK Athens FC	9	+17	20
4	PAOK	10	+6	19
5	Aris Thessalonikis	10	-1	19
6	OFI	10	+2	17
7	Kifisia	10	0	14
8	Kalamata	10	-4	12
9	Iraklis 1908	10	-3	10
10	Panetolikos	10	-12	9
11	Asteras Tripolis	10	-9	7
12	Atromitos	9	-3	6
13	Levadiakos	10	-9	6
14	Volos NFC	10	-12	0

More stats

Referee: Angelos Evangelou

6 matches · 0.5 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties

Half-time

Iraklis 1908: 5 days since last match · Panathinaikos: 2 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 18:00 UTC.