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Internacional de Bogota vs Santa Fe prediction

Colombia · Primera A

Internacional de Bogota#8 · 28 ptsLWLWD

20:30Fri Nov 13

Santa Fe#7 · 29 ptsWLLWW

25%32%42%

Probability of each result according to the model

Friday, November 13 · 20:30 (Peru time) · Estadio Metropolitano de Techo

🎯 Model pick

Santa Fe to score

79%

Full data

Santa Fe scored in 41 of 53 matches this season
Santa Fe average 1.4 goals per match
Internacional de Bogota concede 1.5 goals per match

⚡ Summary

42%Santa Fe to win@2.36 51%Over 2.5 goals@1.98 59%Both teams to score@1.71 45%Corners +9.5 (9.4)@2.2155%Cards +4.5 (5.1)@1.831-1Most likely score · 15%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

Internacional de Bogota and Santa Fe meet in the Primera A.

The PickMania model gives Internacional de Bogota a 25% chance of winning, 32% for the draw and 42% for Santa Fe.

2.8 total goals are expected (1.2 from Internacional de Bogota and 1.6 from Santa Fe): over 2.5 goals has a 51% chance and both teams to score 59%.

The most likely score is 1-1.

Probabilities

25%Internacional de Bogota to win@3.94

32%Draw@3.10

42%Santa Fe to win@2.36

Over 1.5 goals76%

Over 2.5 goals51%

Over 3.5 goals31%

Both teams to score59%

Internacional de Bogota or draw58%

Santa Fe or draw75%

Internacional de Bogota to score70%

Santa Fe to score79%

Most likely scores

1-115%0-09%0-18%1-28%0-27%

Expected goals per the model: Internacional de Bogota 1.19 · Santa Fe 1.57

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.76.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.4 in total · Internacional de Bogota 4.5 · Santa Fe 4.9

56%Over 8.5@1.80

45%Over 9.5@2.21

36%Over 10.5@2.81

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 5.1

70%Over 3.5@1.42

55%Over 4.5@1.83

39%Over 5.5@2.53

⏱️ First half

38% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.05

65%Goal in the 1st half@1.54

28%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.52

82%Goal in the 2st half@1.22

⚽ Goals per team

33%Internacional de Bogota +1.5@3.00

47%Santa Fe +1.5@2.15

12%Internacional de Bogota to win to nil@8.24

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Internacional de Bogota · last 10 matches

6/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score2.9goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Santa Fe · last 10 matches

5/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.5goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Internacional de BogotaSanta Fe

1.3Goals scored per match1.4

1.5Goals conceded per match1.0

79%Matches with over 1.5 goals75%

59%Matches with over 2.5 goals43%

67%Both teams to score58%

18%Clean sheet26%

28%Matches without scoring23%

4.8Corners won per match4.3

2.4Yellow cards per match2.4

Internacional de Bogota: 39 matches · Santa Fe: 53 matches (all competitions with data).

Internacional de Bogota at home · Santa Fe away

Internacional de Bogota at home

9G6E4P

WWDLW

Santa Fe away

8G9E9P

LLLWW

When do they score and concede?

Internacional de Bogota · goals by minute in 37 matches scored conceded

Santa Fe · goals by minute in 51 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Internacional de Bogota

Scores first in 16 of 32 matches and wins 7 of them.

Concedes first in 16 and avoids defeat in 9.

Santa Fe

Scores first in 27 of 47 matches and wins 19 of them.

Concedes first in 20 and avoids defeat in 9.

Players in form

Internacional de Bogota

F. Sanguinetti · 2 goals, 0 assists in 5 matches

C. Dajome · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

D. S. Victoria Palacios · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

Santa Fe

F. Fagundez · 4 goals, 1 assists in 4 matches

H. Rodallega · 3 goals, 1 assists in 5 matches

L. Palacios · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

3Internacional de Bogota to win

2Draws

5Santa Fe to win

10 matches · 2.3 goals per match

Recent meetings
Fecha	Local		Visitante	Competition
03-05-2026	Santa Fe	3-1	Internacional de Bogota	Primera A
28-09-2025	Santa Fe	3-0	Internacional de Bogota	Primera A
10-04-2025	Internacional de Bogota	2-1	Santa Fe	Primera A
27-07-2024	Santa Fe	0-1	Internacional de Bogota	Primera A
26-05-2024	Santa Fe	2-0	Internacional de Bogota	Primera A
12-05-2024	Internacional de Bogota	0-2	Santa Fe	Primera A

Standings · Apertura

Santa Fe es 7.º con 29 pts y Internacional de Bogota 8.º con 28: 1 punto de diferencia.

Primera A standings
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts	Form
1	Atlético Nacional	19	13	1	5	35:15	+20	40	WWWDW
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31:24	+7	35	DWDLW
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29:25	+4	34	LWLWL
4	América de Cali	19	10	3	6	25:15	+10	33	DWWDD
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31:22	+9	33	WDDWW
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27:17	+10	31	LLLWW
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29:22	+7	29	WWLLW
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	26:26	0	28	DWLWL
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20:16	+4	27	DWDWD
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31:23	+8	26	DWDDL
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26:24	+2	26	LLLWW
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20:25	-5	26	WLWWL
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26:20	+6	23	LLWDW
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17:20	-3	22	WLLWW
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22:27	-5	22	LDLLL
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20:33	-13	18	LWLLL
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13:27	-14	17	WWLLL
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15:32	-17	17	LWDLW
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22:35	-13	16	WLLWL
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15:32	-17	10	WDWLL