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Internacional de Bogota vs Santa Fe prediction
Colombia · Primera A
Internacional de Bogota
Santa FeProbabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo
Thursday, November 12 · 16:00 (Peru time) · Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Santa Fe to score
79%- Santa Fe scored in 41 of 53 matches this season
- Santa Fe average 1.4 goals per match
- Internacional de Bogota concede 1.5 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
📝 Preview
Internacional de Bogota and Santa Fe meet in the Primera A.
The PickMania model gives Internacional de Bogota a 25% chance of winning, 32% for the draw and 42% for Santa Fe.
2.8 total goals are expected (1.2 from Internacional de Bogota and 1.6 from Santa Fe): over 2.5 goals has a 51% chance and both teams to score 59%.
The most likely score is 1-1.
Probabilities
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Internacional de Bogota 1.19 · Santa Fe 1.57
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.76.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.4 in total · Internacional de Bogota 4.5 · Santa Fe 4.9
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 5.1
⏱️ First half
38% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.05
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Internacional de Bogota: 39 matches · Santa Fe: 53 matches (all competitions with data).
Internacional de Bogota at home · Santa Fe away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 16 of 32 matches and wins 7 of them.
Concedes first in 16 and avoids defeat in 9.
Scores first in 27 of 47 matches and wins 19 of them.
Concedes first in 20 and avoids defeat in 9.
Players in form
F. Sanguinetti · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
C. Dajome · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
D. S. Victoria Palacios · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
F. Fagundez · 4 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches
H. Rodallega · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
L. Palacios · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.3 goals per match
| 2026-05-03 | Santa Fe 3-1 Internacional de Bogota | Primera A |
| 2025-09-28 | Santa Fe 3-0 Internacional de Bogota | Primera A |
| 2025-04-11 | Internacional de Bogota 2-1 Santa Fe | Primera A |
| 2024-07-27 | Santa Fe 0-1 Internacional de Bogota | Primera A |
| 2024-05-26 | Santa Fe 2-0 Internacional de Bogota | Primera A |
| 2024-05-12 | Internacional de Bogota 0-2 Santa Fe | Primera A |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Nacional | 19 | +20 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | +7 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | +4 | 34 |
| 4 | América de Cali | 19 | +10 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | +9 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | +10 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | +4 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | +8 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | +2 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | +6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | -17 | 10 |
More stats
Internacional de Bogota: 5 days since last match · Santa Fe: 4 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.