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Inter vs Como prediction

Italy · Serie A

Inter#2 · 28 ptsWLWWW

2 - 0Full time

Como#5 · 23 ptsWWWWW

48%28%23%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Pio Esposito 12'⚽ Marcus Thuram 19'

Sunday, 8 November · 12:00 (Peru time) · San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza · Referee: Daniele Chiffi

🎯 Model pick

Inter to score

84%

Full data

Inter scored in 14 of 14 matches this season
Inter average 2.4 goals per match
Como kept a clean sheet in only 3 of 14

⚡ Summary

48%Inter to win@2.07 60%Over 2.5 goals@1.66 65%Both teams to score@1.54 50%Corners +9.5 (9.8)@2.0223%Cards +4.5 (3.1)@4.361-1Most likely score · 13%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

88'🔁 Cambio: Marcus Thuram · Benjamin PavardInter

87'🔁 Cambio: Federico Dimarco · Andy DioufInter

81'🔁 Cambio: Hakan Çalhanoğlu · Petar SučićInter

74'🔁 Cambio: Lucas Da Cunha · Maxence CaqueretComo

74'🔁 Cambio: Yan Couto · Mattia LiberaliComo

74'🔁 Cambio: Álex Valle · Kaiki BrunoComo

73'🔁 Cambio: Pio Esposito · Ange-Yoan BonnyInter

72'🔁 Cambio: Piotr Zieliński · Henrikh MkhitaryanInter

72'🟨 Pio EspositoInter

45'🔁 Cambio: Martin Baturina · Ivan SmolcicComo

45'🔁 Cambio: Maximo Perrone · Samuele RicciComo

19'⚽ Marcus ThuramInter

12'⚽ Pio Esposito asist. Djed SpenceInter

Win probability minute by minute

InterDrawComo

At kick-off48%28%23%Full time100%0%0%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

48%Inter to win@2.07

28%Draw@3.51

23%Como to win@4.30

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals60%

Over 3.5 goals40%

Both teams to score65%

Inter or draw77%

Como or draw52%

Inter to score84%

Como to score73%

Most likely scores

1-113%2-19%2-27%2-07%1-07%

Expected goals per the model: Inter 1.90 · Como 1.31

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.21.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.8 in total · Inter 5.3 · Como 4.5

60%Over 8.5@1.67

50%Over 9.5@2.02

40%Over 10.5@2.52

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 3.1 · el árbitro Daniele Chiffi saca 3.1 por partido

38%Over 3.5@2.64

23%Over 4.5@4.36

13%Over 5.5@7.80

⏱️ First half

46% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.48

77%Goal in the 1st half@1.29

44%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.29

82%Goal in the 2st half@1.22

⚽ Goals per team

57%Inter +1.5@1.77

38%Como +1.5@2.65

21%Inter to win to nil@4.75

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

1.90Expected goals (xG)0.22

4Shots on target1

1Saves2

8Offsides3

14Shots5

1Yellow cards0

4Corners2

13Fouls6

0Red cards0

43Possession %57

Goals in the last 10 matches

Inter · last 10 matches

7/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score3.3goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Como · last 10 matches

5/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score3.5goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

InterComo

2.4Goals scored per match2.6

1.4Goals conceded per match1.0

86%Matches with over 1.5 goals86%

79%Matches with over 2.5 goals64%

64%Both teams to score71%

36%Clean sheet21%

0%Matches without scoring14%

6.2Corners won per match5.6

1.8Yellow cards per match1.3

Inter: 14 matches · Como: 14 matches (all competitions with data).

Inter at home · Como away

Inter at home

6G0E1P

WWLWW

Como away

5G1E2P

WWWLL

When do they score and concede?

Inter · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded

Como · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Inter

Scores first in 6 of 14 matches and wins 6 of them.

Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 5.

Como

Scores first in 9 of 13 matches and wins 8 of them.

Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 3.

Players in form

Inter

Piotr Zieliński · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Pio Esposito · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Alessandro Bastoni · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Como

Nico Paz · 4 goles, 4 assists in 4 matches

Anastasios Douvikas · 6 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Lucas Da Cunha · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

5Inter to win

1Draws

0Como to win

6 matches · 3.3 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-04-21	Inter 3-2 Como	Coppa Italia
2026-04-12	Como 3-4 Inter	Serie A
2026-03-03	Como 0-0 Inter	Coppa Italia
2025-12-06	Inter 4-0 Como	Serie A
2025-05-23	Como 0-2 Inter	Serie A
2024-12-23	Inter 2-0 Como	Serie A

Standings

Serie A standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Lazio	11	+16	29
2	Inter	11	+15	28
3	AS Roma	11	+21	27
4	AC Milan	11	+10	24
5	Como	11	+8	23
6	Frosinone	11	+9	20
7	Juventus	11	+3	18
8	Bologna	11	+2	17
9	Cagliari	11	-5	16
10	Napoli	11	+4	15
11	Torino	11	-2	14
12	Atalanta	11	-3	14
13	Genoa	11	-5	13
14	Lecce	11	-10	10
15	Fiorentina	11	-8	9
16	Parma	11	-8	8
17	Sassuolo	11	-13	8
18	Monza	11	-8	7
19	Venezia	11	-13	6
20	Udinese	11	-13	5

More stats

Referee: Daniele Chiffi

19 matches · 3.1 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.50 penalties

Half-time

Inter: 4 days since last match · Como: 3 days

Inter absences

Sin bajas conocidas

Como absences

Sin bajas conocidas

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 19:30 UTC.