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Instituto Córdoba vs Newells Old Boys prediction
Argentina · Liga Profesional
Instituto Córdoba
Newells Old BoysPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 20:00 (Peru time) · Estadio Presidente Peron · Referee: Leandro Rey Hilfer
Instituto Córdoba or draw
84%- Instituto Córdoba unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 (D W W D W)
- At home, Instituto Córdoba are 10W 2D 3L this season
- #9 in the table, Newells Old Boys #14
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Instituto Córdoba 1.36 · Newells Old Boys 0.68
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.04.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.6 in total · Instituto Córdoba 5.6 · Newells Old Boys 4.0
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.8 · el árbitro Leandro Rey Hilfer saca 4.3 por partido
⏱️ First half
27% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.56
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Instituto Córdoba: 31 matches · Newells Old Boys: 31 matches (all competitions with data).
Instituto Córdoba at home · Newells Old Boys away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 16 of 18 matches and wins 12 of them.
Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 0.
Scores first in 5 of 15 matches and wins 5 of them.
Concedes first in 10 and avoids defeat in 7.
Players in form
Jeremías Ezequiel Lázaro · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Alex Luna · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Leonel Mosevich · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
3 matches · 2.7 goals per match
| 2026-04-26 | Newells Old Boys 1-1 Instituto Córdoba | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2024-06-14 | Newells Old Boys 0-2 Instituto Córdoba | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| 2023-02-27 | Instituto Córdoba 3-1 Newells Old Boys | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | +12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | +13 | 30 |
| 3 | Vélez Sarsfield | 16 | +6 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Córdoba | 16 | +4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | +4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | +3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Unión Santa Fe | 16 | +4 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Córdoba | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Córdoba de Santiago | 16 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | -7 | 11 |
More stats
41 matches · 4.3 yellows and 0.06 reds per match · 0.13 penalties
Instituto Córdoba: 7 days since last match · Newells Old Boys: 6 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 03:30 UTC.