Home › Sweden · Allsvenskan › IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF
IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF prediction
Sweden · Allsvenskan
IFK Goteborg
Malmo FFPre-match probabilities
Sunday, 8 November · 08:00 (Peru time) · Gamla Ullevi · Referee: Adi Aganovic
Malmo FF to score
78%- Malmo FF scored in 22 of 27 matches this season
- Malmo FF average 1.6 goals per match
- IFK Goteborg concede 1.6 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: IFK Goteborg 1.31 · Malmo FF 1.54
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.85.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 11.0 in total · IFK Goteborg 5.9 · Malmo FF 5.1
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.1 · el árbitro Adi Aganovic saca 4.0 por partido
⏱️ First half
47% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.33
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
IFK Goteborg: 31 matches · Malmo FF: 27 matches (all competitions with data).
IFK Goteborg at home · Malmo FF away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 16 of 31 matches and wins 10 of them.
Concedes first in 15 and avoids defeat in 5.
Scores first in 14 of 25 matches and wins 12 of them.
Concedes first in 11 and avoids defeat in 2.
Players in form
Nino Žugelj · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Sam Larsson · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
A. Simmelhack · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Otto Rosengren · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Diego García · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Jovan Milosavljević · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.5 goals per match
| 2026-07-12 | Malmo FF 4-0 IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-08-24 | Malmo FF 0-0 IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-05-25 | IFK Goteborg 1-0 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-03-16 | Malmo FF 3-2 IFK Goteborg | Svenska Cupen |
| 2024-10-28 | Malmo FF 2-1 IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan |
| 2024-05-13 | IFK Goteborg 0-3 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby FF | 28 | +37 | 58 |
| 2 | Sirius | 28 | +23 | 58 |
| 3 | Djurgardens IF | 28 | +29 | 52 |
| 4 | BK Hacken | 28 | +17 | 49 |
| 5 | IF Elfsborg | 28 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 | Vasteras SK FK | 28 | +2 | 45 |
| 7 | Malmo FF | 28 | +6 | 41 |
| 8 | AIK Stockholm | 28 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Gais | 28 | +8 | 40 |
| 10 | IFK Goteborg | 28 | -10 | 39 |
| 11 | IF Brommapojkarna | 28 | -5 | 35 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 28 | -13 | 28 |
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 28 | -18 | 26 |
| 14 | Degerfors IF | 28 | -25 | 20 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 28 | -27 | 20 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 28 | -32 | 20 |
More stats
34 matches · 3.9 yellows and 0.06 reds per match · 0.18 penalties
IFK Goteborg: 6 days since last match · Malmo FF: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 15:30 UTC.